Does Exposure to the Refugee Crisis Make Natives More Hostile?
Although Europe has experienced unprecedented numbers of refugee arrivals in recent years, there exists almost no causal evidence regarding the impact of the refugee crisis on natives’ attitudes, policy preferences, and political engagement. We exploit a natural experiment in the Aegean Sea, where G...
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Published in | The American political science review Vol. 113; no. 2; pp. 442 - 455 |
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Main Authors | , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
New York, USA
Cambridge University Press
01.05.2019
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Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Abstract | Although Europe has experienced unprecedented numbers of refugee arrivals in recent years, there exists almost no causal evidence regarding the impact of the refugee crisis on natives’ attitudes, policy preferences, and political engagement. We exploit a natural experiment in the Aegean Sea, where Greek islands close to the Turkish coast experienced a sudden and massive increase in refugee arrivals, while similar islands slightly farther away did not. Leveraging a targeted survey of 2,070 island residents and distance to Turkey as an instrument, we find that direct exposure to refugee arrivals induces sizable and lasting increases in natives’ hostility toward refugees, immigrants, and Muslim minorities; support for restrictive asylum and immigration policies; and political engagement to effect such exclusionary policies. Since refugees only passed through these islands, our findings challenge both standard economic and cultural explanations of anti-immigrant sentiment and show that mere exposure suffices in generating lasting increases in hostility. |
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AbstractList | Although Europe has experienced unprecedented numbers of refugee arrivals in recent years, there exists almost no causal evidence regarding the impact of the refugee crisis on natives’ attitudes, policy preferences, and political engagement. We exploit a natural experiment in the Aegean Sea, where Greek islands close to the Turkish coast experienced a sudden and massive increase in refugee arrivals, while similar islands slightly farther away did not. Leveraging a targeted survey of 2,070 island residents and distance to Turkey as an instrument, we find that direct exposure to refugee arrivals induces sizable and lasting increases in natives’ hostility toward refugees, immigrants, and Muslim minorities; support for restrictive asylum and immigration policies; and political engagement to effect such exclusionary policies. Since refugees only passed through these islands, our findings challenge both standard economic and cultural explanations of anti-immigrant sentiment and show that mere exposure suffices in generating lasting increases in hostility. |
Author | MARBACH, MORITZ DINAS, ELIAS XEFTERIS, DIMITRIOS MATAKOS, KONSTANTINOS HANGARTNER, DOMINIK |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: DOMINIK surname: HANGARTNER fullname: HANGARTNER, DOMINIK email: d.hangartner@lse.ac.uk organization: 1ETH Zurich and London School of Economics – sequence: 2 givenname: ELIAS surname: DINAS fullname: DINAS, ELIAS email: elias.dinas@eui.eu organization: 2European University Institute and University of Oxford – sequence: 3 givenname: MORITZ orcidid: 0000-0002-7101-2821 surname: MARBACH fullname: MARBACH, MORITZ email: moritz.marbach@gess.ethz.ch organization: 3ETH Zurich – sequence: 4 givenname: KONSTANTINOS surname: MATAKOS fullname: MATAKOS, KONSTANTINOS email: konstantinos.matakos@kcl.ac.uk organization: 4King’s College London – sequence: 5 givenname: DIMITRIOS surname: XEFTERIS fullname: XEFTERIS, DIMITRIOS email: xefteris.dimitrios@ucy.ac.cy organization: 5University of Cyprus |
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Copyright | Copyright © American Political Science Association 2018 American Political Science Association 2018 2018 This article is published under (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/) (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. |
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DocumentTitleAlternate | Dominik Hangartner et al. Does Exposure to the Refugee Crisis Make Natives More Hostile? |
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SubjectTerms | Attitudes Behavioral Science Research Behavioral Sciences Calculus College professors Crises Departments Displaced persons Economics Government School Relationship Hostility Human subjects Immigrants Immigration Immigration policy Indigenous peoples International relations International Studies Islands Migration Minority groups Muslims Noncitizens Outcome Measures Political asylum Political attitudes Political participation Political science Politics Preferences Refugee camps Refugees Residents Social exclusion |
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Title | Does Exposure to the Refugee Crisis Make Natives More Hostile? |
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