Climate change could shift disease burden from malaria to arboviruses in Africa

Malaria is a long-standing public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, whereas arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) such as dengue and chikungunya cause an under-recognised burden of disease. Many human and environmental drivers affect the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. In this Personal View,...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inThe Lancet. Planetary health Vol. 4; no. 9; pp. e416 - e423
Main Authors Mordecai, Erin A, Ryan, Sadie J, Caldwell, Jamie M, Shah, Melisa M, LaBeaud, A Desiree
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Netherlands 01.09.2020
Subjects
Africa - epidemiology
Animals
Arbovirus Infections - epidemiology
Arbovirus Infections - transmission
Arthropod Vectors - physiology
Climate Change
Cost of Illness
Humans
Incidence
Malaria - epidemiology
Malaria - transmission
Mosquito Vectors - physiology
Prevalence
Africa
Online AccessGet full text

Cover

Abstract Malaria is a long-standing public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, whereas arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) such as dengue and chikungunya cause an under-recognised burden of disease. Many human and environmental drivers affect the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. In this Personal View, we argue that the direct effects of warming temperatures are likely to promote greater environmental suitability for dengue and other arbovirus transmission by Aedes aegypti and reduce suitability for malaria transmission by Anopheles gambiae. Environmentally driven changes in disease dynamics will be complex and multifaceted, but given that current public efforts are targeted to malaria control, we highlight Ae aegypti and dengue, chikungunya, and other arboviruses as potential emerging public health threats in sub-Saharan Africa.
AbstractList Malaria is a longstanding public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, while arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) like dengue and chikungunya cause an underrecognized burden of disease. While many human and environmental drivers affect the dynamics of vector-borne diseases, here we argue that the direct effects of warming temperatures are likely to promote greater environmental suitability for dengue and other arboviruses transmitted by Aedes aegypti while reducing the suitability for malaria transmitted by Anopheles gambiae . Environmentally-driven changes in disease dynamics will no doubt be complex and heterogeneous, but given that current public efforts are targeted to malaria control, we encourage the public health community to consider Aedes aeypgti and dengue, chikungunya, and other arboviruses as potential emerging public health threats in sub-Saharan Africa.
Malaria is a long-standing public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, whereas arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) such as dengue and chikungunya cause an under-recognised burden of disease. Many human and environmental drivers affect the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. In this Personal View, we argue that the direct effects of warming temperatures are likely to promote greater environmental suitability for dengue and other arbovirus transmission by Aedes aegypti and reduce suitability for malaria transmission by Anopheles gambiae. Environmentally driven changes in disease dynamics will be complex and multifaceted, but given that current public efforts are targeted to malaria control, we highlight Ae aegypti and dengue, chikungunya, and other arboviruses as potential emerging public health threats in sub-Saharan Africa.
Author Shah, Melisa M
Mordecai, Erin A
LaBeaud, A Desiree
Caldwell, Jamie M
Ryan, Sadie J
AuthorAffiliation 2 Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States; Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States; School of Life Sciences, College of Agriculture, Engineering, and Science, University of KwaZulu Natal, KwaZulu Natal, South Africa
1 Biology Department, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, United States
5 Department of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Disease, School of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
4 Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States
3 Biology Department, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, United States
AuthorAffiliation_xml – name: 2 Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States; Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States; School of Life Sciences, College of Agriculture, Engineering, and Science, University of KwaZulu Natal, KwaZulu Natal, South Africa
– name: 1 Biology Department, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, United States
– name: 4 Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States
– name: 5 Department of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Disease, School of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
– name: 3 Biology Department, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, United States
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Erin A
  surname: Mordecai
  fullname: Mordecai, Erin A
  email: emordeca@stanford.edu
  organization: Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. Electronic address: emordeca@stanford.edu
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Sadie J
  surname: Ryan
  fullname: Ryan, Sadie J
  organization: Department of Geography and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA; College of Agriculture, Engineering, and Science, University of KwaZulu Natal, KwaZulu Natal, South Africa
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Jamie M
  surname: Caldwell
  fullname: Caldwell, Jamie M
  organization: Department of Biology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Melisa M
  surname: Shah
  fullname: Shah, Melisa M
  organization: School of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
– sequence: 5
  givenname: A Desiree
  surname: LaBeaud
  fullname: LaBeaud, A Desiree
  organization: Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32918887$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
BookMark eNpVkE1LAzEQhoMottb-BCVHPaxOstlNchFK8QsKPajnkM0mbWQ_SrJb8N-7tVrq6R1meN-ZeS7QadM2FqErAncESH4facZokhGZ31C4TYFwkcgTND60T4_qEZrG-AkARNA8z8g5GqVUEiEEH6PlvPK17iw2a92sBmn7qsRx7V2HSx-tjhYXfShtg11oa1zrSgevcddiHYp260MfbcS-wTMXvNGX6MzpKtrpr07Qx9Pj-_wlWSyfX-ezRWIY513CoaApoYZmWlAhpADDcsm4LJ3hw-W2yK0kFkQKjqW21JwI5jRlMuMauEgn6GGfu-mL2pbGNl3QldqE4ZvwpVrt1f9J49dq1W4VZxIEsCEg2weY0MYYrDt4CagdZPW2I6h2BBUF9QNZycF3fbz44PpDmn4DzI96SQ
CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1186_s12992_021_00793_2
crossref_primary_10_3390_biology11030370
crossref_primary_10_1080_26896583_2023_2267332
crossref_primary_10_2987_22_7103
crossref_primary_10_3389_fpubh_2023_1252910
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0276437
crossref_primary_10_3390_v14020233
crossref_primary_10_1111_ecog_06942
crossref_primary_10_1186_s12859_023_05433_7
crossref_primary_10_4269_ajtmh_22_0189
crossref_primary_10_1525_elementa_2022_00047
crossref_primary_10_3390_challe14010008
crossref_primary_10_55908_sdgs_v12i6_3628
crossref_primary_10_4081_gh_2023_1184
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2542_5196_23_00056_6
crossref_primary_10_7554_eLife_69630
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_023_01746_w
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_epidem_2021_100523
crossref_primary_10_1093_wbro_lkae001
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jenvman_2023_117264
crossref_primary_10_1088_1742_6596_1988_1_012102
crossref_primary_10_3390_ijerph192315578
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10526_024_10267_0
crossref_primary_10_1136_bmjgh_2022_011338
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ecochg_2023_100070
crossref_primary_10_20525_ijrbs_v11i9_2233
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jenvp_2023_102175
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pgph_0000505
crossref_primary_10_1021_acs_estlett_1c00517
crossref_primary_10_1111_all_15229
crossref_primary_10_1080_09603123_2024_2350609
crossref_primary_10_1186_s13071_022_05558_3
crossref_primary_10_3390_ijerph17249469
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41579_024_01026_0
crossref_primary_10_3389_fimmu_2021_769942
crossref_primary_10_1128_jvi_00672_22
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10653_022_01429_z
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_envres_2022_114028
crossref_primary_10_3390_ijerph181910556
crossref_primary_10_3389_fitd_2021_758393
crossref_primary_10_1007_s40124_024_00314_w
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2214_109X_23_00046_3
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41390_023_02878_7
crossref_primary_10_3390_insects12030213
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11908_023_00799_4
crossref_primary_10_1007_s00267_023_01914_w
crossref_primary_10_1098_rsbl_2022_0365
crossref_primary_10_3389_fmala_2024_1338648
crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_resource_111820_024214
crossref_primary_10_3389_fpubh_2023_1162535
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pntd_0010839
crossref_primary_10_1186_s12879_023_08157_4
crossref_primary_10_3390_pathogens10030294
crossref_primary_10_1111_1748_5967_12693
crossref_primary_10_3390_microorganisms10101914
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_envres_2022_114537
crossref_primary_10_1126_science_adk8755
crossref_primary_10_7759_cureus_57517
crossref_primary_10_1080_20477724_2023_2290375
crossref_primary_10_1186_s13071_021_05005_9
crossref_primary_10_1513_AnnalsATS_202110_1193OC
crossref_primary_10_1007_s40572_021_00322_8
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_crm_2023_100566
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_pdpdt_2024_103977
crossref_primary_10_3389_fitd_2022_953212
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_scitotenv_2022_160732
crossref_primary_10_1186_s12879_023_08335_4
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pntd_0011761
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_bjid_2024_103766
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_jhazmat_2024_134316
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_022_29613_w
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_envadv_2022_100316
crossref_primary_10_1098_rstb_2022_0011
crossref_primary_10_1186_s13002_023_00597_1
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_biocon_2023_109943
crossref_primary_10_1038_s43017_023_00397_x
crossref_primary_10_3389_fitd_2024_1387092
crossref_primary_10_3390_insects13020162
crossref_primary_10_1093_jme_tjab161
crossref_primary_10_1093_ve_veac006
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pcbi_1011666
crossref_primary_10_3390_idr15050050
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_scitotenv_2021_147090
crossref_primary_10_1186_s12936_022_04135_4
crossref_primary_10_1177_20503121241229847
crossref_primary_10_3390_microorganisms10050928
crossref_primary_10_1056_NEJMp2308420
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ccr_2023_215633
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pone_0297744
crossref_primary_10_3178_hrl_15_98
crossref_primary_10_3390_children10101662
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2542_5196_23_00136_5
crossref_primary_10_1016_S0140_6736_24_00302_7
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_joclim_2021_100057
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ijbiomac_2024_130136
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_lana_2022_100250
crossref_primary_10_1137_22M1509862
crossref_primary_10_1007_s41745_021_00235_3
crossref_primary_10_1098_rspb_2020_3217
crossref_primary_10_3390_biology13030182
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2542_5196_20_30269_2
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41558_023_01752_y
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_joclim_2022_100162
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_medj_2021_03_010
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_024_47265_w
crossref_primary_10_1111_ele_14228
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_gloenvcha_2020_102192
crossref_primary_10_2166_wh_2022_199
crossref_primary_10_3390_v13050891
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41467_023_41017_y
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41598_023_29657_y
crossref_primary_10_1111_eea_13401
crossref_primary_10_1093_jtm_taad008
crossref_primary_10_1007_s00248_023_02283_x
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_cegh_2024_101550
crossref_primary_10_1186_s13071_023_05752_x
crossref_primary_10_1111_gcb_15950
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41435_022_00192_6
crossref_primary_10_3390_idr15040036
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_pt_2022_01_005
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_ppat_1011727
crossref_primary_10_3390_ijms231911802
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2542_5196_21_00132_7
crossref_primary_10_1038_s42003_022_03030_7
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pbio_3001864
crossref_primary_10_3389_fitd_2023_1145340
crossref_primary_10_3390_pathogens12111370
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2542_5196_22_00039_0
crossref_primary_10_1177_17579139211058299
crossref_primary_10_12688_wellcomeopenres_18580_2
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_accre_2023_09_015
crossref_primary_10_12688_wellcomeopenres_18580_1
crossref_primary_10_1371_journal_pclm_0000312
crossref_primary_10_3390_pathogens12111368
crossref_primary_10_1007_s13399_023_04214_9
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ebiom_2024_105134
crossref_primary_10_1002_gch2_202200246
crossref_primary_10_1016_j_resenv_2022_100080
crossref_primary_10_1038_s41598_023_39233_z
Cites_doi 10.1016/j.pt.2013.12.010
10.1371/journal.pntd.0007137
10.1371/journal.pmed.1000168
10.1371/journal.pntd.0007213
10.1186/s12985-016-0621-4
10.1038/s41586-018-0157-4
10.4049/jimmunol.198.Supp.122.12
10.1186/s13071-017-2271-9
10.3390/ijerph15020220
10.1016/S1471-4906(01)01867-1
10.4081/gh.2016.380
10.1086/321314
10.1371/journal.pone.0104915
10.1371/journal.pntd.0005568
10.1890/13-1964.1
10.1073/pnas.1806094116
10.4269/ajtmh.2004.71.118
10.1371/journal.pbio.2003489
10.1111/ele.12015
10.1371/journal.pntd.0002207
10.1186/1472-6785-9-17
10.1126/science.aaf9590
10.2807/ese.15.07.19490-en
10.4269/ajtmh.16-0562
10.4269/ajtmh.2008.78.333
10.4269/ajtmh.14-0368
10.1146/annurev-ento-010814-020828
10.1371/journal.pone.0078263
10.1289/ehp.0901256
10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117892
10.1016/S0305-750X(03)00088-3
10.1038/s41598-018-38034-z
10.1016/j.aogh.2017.10.011
10.4269/ajtmh.2007.76.33
10.3201/eid2311.170807
10.1073/pnas.1504964112
10.4269/ajtmh.2007.77.6
10.1371/journal.pmed.1002181
10.1111/j.0269-283X.2004.00495.x
10.1371/journal.pntd.0002590
10.1890/08-0079.1
10.1136/bmj.38251.658229.55
10.1186/s12936-017-2021-7
10.1016/S0264-2751(03)00010-6
10.1111/j.1365-3156.2007.01818.x
10.1038/s41598-019-50135-x
10.1038/nature15535
10.1016/j.actatropica.2014.02.017
10.1186/s40249-019-0597-6
10.1098/rstb.2012.0145
10.1186/1475-2875-4-12
10.1186/1472-6785-9-16
10.1098/rspb.2018.0795
10.1038/nature09098
10.1016/S0966-842X(01)02288-0
10.1186/s13071-019-3547-z
10.1111/j.1365-2915.2008.00740.x
10.1371/journal.pntd.0005751
10.1186/s12936-016-1502-4
10.1603/033.046.0105
10.1089/vbz.2015.1822
10.4269/ajtmh.2011.10-0203
10.1111/ele.13335
10.1038/nclimate3085
10.1371/journal.pntd.0000935
10.1016/j.actatropica.2020.105468
10.1371/journal.pntd.0003436
10.1126/science.1239401
10.1093/ofid/ofx110
10.1086/648310
10.1016/S0035-9203(00)90246-3
10.7554/eLife.37762
10.4269/ajtmh.12-0478
10.1016/S0065-308X(05)62010-6
10.18203/2320-6012.ijrms20182271
10.1126/science.aal1717
10.4269/ajtmh.18-0297
10.1371/journal.pone.0089783
10.1371/journal.pntd.0005640
10.1080/20477724.2019.1678939
10.1007/s00436-016-4971-z
10.1371/journal.pone.0039453
10.1093/jmedent/42.5.726
ContentType Journal Article
Copyright Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.
Copyright_xml – notice: Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.
DBID CGR
CUY
CVF
ECM
EIF
NPM
AAYXX
CITATION
5PM
DOI 10.1016/s2542-5196(20)30178-9
DatabaseName Medline
MEDLINE
MEDLINE (Ovid)
MEDLINE
MEDLINE
PubMed
CrossRef
PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)
DatabaseTitle MEDLINE
Medline Complete
MEDLINE with Full Text
PubMed
MEDLINE (Ovid)
CrossRef
DatabaseTitleList
MEDLINE
Database_xml – sequence: 1
  dbid: NPM
  name: PubMed
  url: https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?db=PubMed
  sourceTypes: Index Database
– sequence: 2
  dbid: EIF
  name: MEDLINE
  url: https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=https://www.webofscience.com/wos/medline/basic-search
  sourceTypes: Index Database
DeliveryMethod fulltext_linktorsrc
Discipline Meteorology & Climatology
EISSN 2542-5196
EndPage e423
ExternalDocumentID 10_1016_S2542_5196_20_30178_9
32918887
Genre Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S
Review
Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Journal Article
Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
GeographicLocations Africa
GeographicLocations_xml – name: Africa
GrantInformation_xml – fundername: NCEZID CDC HHS
  grantid: U01 CK000510
– fundername: NIAID NIH HHS
  grantid: R01 AI102918
– fundername: NIGMS NIH HHS
  grantid: R35 GM133439
GroupedDBID .1-
.FO
0R~
0SF
53G
6I.
AAEDW
AAFTH
AALRI
AAMRU
AAXUO
ACGFS
ADBBV
AEXQZ
AFRHN
AFTJW
AITUG
AJUYK
ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS
BCNDV
CGR
CUY
CVF
EBS
ECM
EIF
EJD
FDB
GROUPED_DOAJ
M~E
NCXOZ
NPM
OK1
ROL
SSZ
Z5R
AAYXX
CITATION
5PM
ID FETCH-LOGICAL-c477t-70b2312c25a8288980c469479dfc7254eb6e91e0830f43eda7184fa24957a0783
ISSN 2542-5196
IngestDate Tue Sep 17 21:07:29 EDT 2024
Thu Sep 26 16:56:27 EDT 2024
Sat Nov 02 12:30:14 EDT 2024
IsDoiOpenAccess false
IsOpenAccess true
IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 9
Language English
License Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.
LinkModel OpenURL
MergedId FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c477t-70b2312c25a8288980c469479dfc7254eb6e91e0830f43eda7184fa24957a0783
Notes Contributors: EAM and ADL conceived of the study; EAM, JMC, SJR, MMS, and ADL conducted the study; EAM wrote the first draft of the manuscript; all authors revised the manuscript and approved of the final version.
OpenAccessLink http://www.thelancet.com/article/S2542519620301789/pdf
PMID 32918887
ParticipantIDs pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_7490804
crossref_primary_10_1016_S2542_5196_20_30178_9
pubmed_primary_32918887
PublicationCentury 2000
PublicationDate 2020-09-00
20200901
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD 2020-09-01
PublicationDate_xml – month: 09
  year: 2020
  text: 2020-09-00
PublicationDecade 2020
PublicationPlace Netherlands
PublicationPlace_xml – name: Netherlands
PublicationTitle The Lancet. Planetary health
PublicationTitleAlternate Lancet Planet Health
PublicationYear 2020
References 33278372 - Lancet Planet Health. 2020 Dec;4(12):e555. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30269-2
Delatte (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib21) 2009; 46
Yamana (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib68) 2016; 6
Tompkins (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib78) 2016; 11
Stewart Ibarra (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib20) 2013; 8
Nyaruaba (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib11) 2019; 113
Shocket (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib28) 2018; 7
Li (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib22) 2019; 116
Vu (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib33) 2017; 23
Rodriguez-Barraquer (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib73) 2011; 5
Njoh (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib40) 2003; 20
Ferguson (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib94) 2016; 353
Liu (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib80) 2015; 60
Simard (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib85) 2009; 9
Stewart-Ibarra (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib71) 2013; 88
Tedjou (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib57) 2019; 13
LaBeaud (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib52) 2015; 9
Keiser (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib45) 2004; 1
Smith (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib6) 2013; 368
Patz (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib74) 2001; 22
Anyamba (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib76) 2019; 9
Tjaden (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib24) 2013; 7
Huey (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib27) 2001; 158
Angilletta (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib25) 2009
O'Hearn (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib62) 2016; 13
Gubler (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib91) 2002; 10
Hay (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib37) 2000; 94
Ryan (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib39) 2015; 15
Demina (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib63) 2017; 198
Zahouli (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib42) 2017; 11
Bhatt (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib5) 2015; 526
Mordecai (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib32) 2019; 22
Murdock (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib46) 2017; 11
Sergon (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib65) 2008; 78
Liu-Helmersson (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib2) 2014; 9
Hooft (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib34) 2017; 16
Flasche (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib95) 2016; 13
Rogers (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib1) 2006; 62
Johansson (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib72) 2009; 6
Ryan (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib88) 2019; 13
Simo (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib8) 2019; 9
Stoler (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib47) 2014; 134
Reyburn (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib49) 2004; 329
Kamgang (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib58) 2013; 7
Ngugi (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib43) 2017; 10
Waggoner (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib53) 2017; 4
Gething (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib77) 2010; 465
Mordecai (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib15) 2013; 16
Donnelly (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib44) 2005; 4
Erlanger (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib92) 2008; 22
Weetman (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib10) 2018; 15
Johansson (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib18) 2014; 9
Lafferty (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib14) 2009; 90
Perkins (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib19) 2015; 7
Boyd (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib23) 1932; 16
Gwer (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib50) 2007; 77
Vu (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib60) 2017; 96
Spiegel (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib93) 2007; 12
Peña-García (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib38) 2017; 83
Djamouko-Djonkam (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib87) 2019; 8
Ghai (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib48) 2016; 15
Franco (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib55) 2010; 15
Mabaso (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib75) 2007; 76
Fokam (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib67) 2010; 87
Wesolowski (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib69) 2015; 112
Kamdem (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib86) 2012; 7
Carter (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib90) 2015; 92
Johnson (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib31) 2015; 96
Amarasinghe (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib54) 2011; 17
Parham (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib4) 2010; 118
Buchwald (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib13) 2020; 209
Hortion (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib35) 2019; 100
Gudo (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib12) 2018
Berry (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib64) 2018
Simard (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib56) 2005; 42
Powell (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib82) 2016; 354
Kingsolver (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib26) 2009; 174
Sutherland (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib51) 2011; 85
Sternberg (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib79) 2014; 30
Rose (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib83) 2020
Tesla (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib17) 2018; 285
Mordecai (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib16) 2017; 11
Costantini (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib84) 2009; 9
Salje (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib70) 2018; 557
Shapiro (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib81) 2017; 15
Bayoh (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib30) 2004; 18
Altizer (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib3) 2013; 341
Shah (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib36) 2019; 12
Tiffen (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib41) 2003; 31
Bayoh (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib29) 2001
Abdelaziz (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib66)
Benelli (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib89) 2016; 115
Kamau (10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib59) 2018; 6
References_xml – volume: 30
  start-page: 115
  year: 2014
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib79
  article-title: Local adaptation to temperature and the implications for vector-borne diseases
  publication-title: Trends Parasitol
  doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2013.12.010
  contributor:
    fullname: Sternberg
– volume: 13
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib57
  article-title: Update on the geographical distribution and prevalence of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae), two major arbovirus vectors in Cameroon
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007137
  contributor:
    fullname: Tedjou
– volume: 6
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib72
  article-title: Multiyear climate variability and dengue—El Niño southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis
  publication-title: PLoS Med
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000168
  contributor:
    fullname: Johansson
– volume: 13
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib88
  article-title: Global expansion and redistribution of Aedes-borne virus transmission risk with climate change
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007213
  contributor:
    fullname: Ryan
– volume: 13
  start-page: 163
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib62
  article-title: Serosurveillance of viral pathogens circulating in west Africa
  publication-title: Virol J
  doi: 10.1186/s12985-016-0621-4
  contributor:
    fullname: O'Hearn
– volume: 557
  start-page: 719
  year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib70
  article-title: Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue risk
  publication-title: Nature
  doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0157-4
  contributor:
    fullname: Salje
– volume: 198
  start-page: 122
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib63
  article-title: Assessing the serological antibody repertoire to flaviviruses in the endemic population of the Zika forest in Uganda
  publication-title: J Immunol
  doi: 10.4049/jimmunol.198.Supp.122.12
  contributor:
    fullname: Demina
– volume: 10
  start-page: 331
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib43
  article-title: Characterisation and productivity profiles of Aedes aegypti (L) breeding habitats across rural and urban landscapes in western and coastal Kenya
  publication-title: Parasit Vectors
  doi: 10.1186/s13071-017-2271-9
  contributor:
    fullname: Ngugi
– volume: 15
  start-page: 220
  year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib10
  article-title: Aedes mosquitoes and Aedes-borne arboviruses in Africa: current and future threats
  publication-title: Int J Environ Res Public Health
  doi: 10.3390/ijerph15020220
  contributor:
    fullname: Weetman
– volume: 22
  start-page: 171
  year: 2001
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib74
  article-title: Immunology, climate change and vector-borne diseases
  publication-title: Trends Immunol
  doi: 10.1016/S1471-4906(01)01867-1
  contributor:
    fullname: Patz
– volume: 11
  start-page: 380
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib78
  article-title: Assessment of malaria transmission changes in Africa, due to the climate impact of land use change using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 earth system models
  publication-title: Geospat Health
  doi: 10.4081/gh.2016.380
  contributor:
    fullname: Tompkins
– start-page: 305
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib25
  contributor:
    fullname: Angilletta
– year: 2001
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib29
  contributor:
    fullname: Bayoh
– volume: 17
  start-page: 1349
  year: 2011
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib54
  article-title: Dengue virus infection in Africa
  publication-title: Emerg Infect Dis
  contributor:
    fullname: Amarasinghe
– volume: 158
  start-page: 204
  year: 2001
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib27
  article-title: Temperature, demography, and ectotherm fitness
  publication-title: Am Nat
  doi: 10.1086/321314
  contributor:
    fullname: Huey
– volume: 9
  year: 2014
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib18
  article-title: Nowcasting the spread of chikungunya virus in the Americas
  publication-title: PLoS One
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0104915
  contributor:
    fullname: Johansson
– volume: 11
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib16
  article-title: Detecting the impact of temperature on transmission of Zika, dengue, and chikungunya using mechanistic models
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005568
  contributor:
    fullname: Mordecai
– volume: 96
  start-page: 203
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib31
  article-title: Understanding uncertainty in temperature effects on vector-borne disease: a Bayesian approach
  publication-title: Ecology
  doi: 10.1890/13-1964.1
  contributor:
    fullname: Johnson
– volume: 116
  start-page: 3624
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib22
  article-title: Climate-driven variation in mosquito density predicts the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue
  publication-title: Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1806094116
  contributor:
    fullname: Li
– volume: 1
  start-page: 118
  year: 2004
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib45
  article-title: Urbanisation in sub-Saharan Africa and implication for malaria control
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2004.71.118
  contributor:
    fullname: Keiser
– volume: 15
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib81
  article-title: Quantifying the effects of temperature on mosquito and parasite traits that determine the transmission potential of human malaria
  publication-title: PLoS Biol
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2003489
  contributor:
    fullname: Shapiro
– volume: 16
  start-page: 22
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib15
  article-title: Optimal temperature for malaria transmission is dramatically lower than previously predicted
  publication-title: Ecol Lett
  doi: 10.1111/ele.12015
  contributor:
    fullname: Mordecai
– volume: 7
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib24
  article-title: Extrinsic incubation period of dengue: knowledge, backlog, and applications of temperature dependence
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002207
  contributor:
    fullname: Tjaden
– volume: 9
  start-page: 17
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib85
  article-title: Ecological niche partitioning between Anopheles gambiae molecular forms in Cameroon: the ecological side of speciation
  publication-title: BMC Ecol
  doi: 10.1186/1472-6785-9-17
  contributor:
    fullname: Simard
– volume: 7
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib19
  article-title: Estimating drivers of autochthonous transmission of chikungunya virus in its invasion of the Americas
  publication-title: PLoS Curr
  contributor:
    fullname: Perkins
– year: 2020
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib83
  article-title: Climate and urbanisation drive mosquito preference for humans
  publication-title: bioRxiv
  contributor:
    fullname: Rose
– volume: 353
  start-page: 1033
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib94
  article-title: Benefits and risks of the Sanofi-Pasteur dengue vaccine: modelling optimal deployment
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/science.aaf9590
  contributor:
    fullname: Ferguson
– volume: 15
  year: 2010
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib55
  article-title: Recent expansion of dengue virus serotype 3 in west Africa
  publication-title: Euro Surveill
  doi: 10.2807/ese.15.07.19490-en
  contributor:
    fullname: Franco
– volume: 96
  start-page: 141
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib60
  article-title: Dengue and West Nile virus transmission in children and adults in coastal Kenya
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0562
  contributor:
    fullname: Vu
– volume: 78
  start-page: 333
  year: 2008
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib65
  article-title: Seroprevalence of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection on Lamu Island, Kenya, October 2004
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2008.78.333
  contributor:
    fullname: Sergon
– volume: 92
  start-page: 302
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib90
  article-title: Malaria in the Americas: trends from 1959 to 2011
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.14-0368
  contributor:
    fullname: Carter
– volume: 60
  start-page: 537
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib80
  article-title: Insecticide resistance in mosquitoes: impact, mechanisms, and research directions
  publication-title: Annu Rev Entomol
  doi: 10.1146/annurev-ento-010814-020828
  contributor:
    fullname: Liu
– volume: 8
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib20
  article-title: Dengue vector dynamics (Aedes aegypti) influenced by climate and social factors in Ecuador: implications for targeted control
  publication-title: PLoS One
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0078263
  contributor:
    fullname: Stewart Ibarra
– volume: 118
  start-page: 620
  year: 2010
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib4
  article-title: Modeling the effects of weather and climate change on malaria transmission
  publication-title: Environ Health Perspect
  doi: 10.1289/ehp.0901256
  contributor:
    fullname: Parham
– volume: 16
  start-page: 851
  year: 1932
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib23
  article-title: Studies on Plasmodium vivax 2 the influence of temperature on the duration of the extrinsic incubation period
  publication-title: Am J Epidemiol
  doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117892
  contributor:
    fullname: Boyd
– volume: 31
  start-page: 1343
  year: 2003
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib41
  article-title: Transition in sub-Saharan Africa: agriculture, urbanisation and income growth
  publication-title: World Dev
  doi: 10.1016/S0305-750X(03)00088-3
  contributor:
    fullname: Tiffen
– volume: 9
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib76
  article-title: Global disease outbreaks associated with the 2015–2016 El Niño event
  publication-title: Sci Rep
  doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-38034-z
  contributor:
    fullname: Anyamba
– volume: 83
  start-page: 509
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib38
  article-title: Estimating effects of temperature on Dengue transmission in Colombian cities
  publication-title: Ann Glob Health
  doi: 10.1016/j.aogh.2017.10.011
  contributor:
    fullname: Peña-García
– volume: 76
  start-page: 33
  year: 2007
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib75
  article-title: Environmental predictors of the seasonality of malaria transmission in Africa: the challenge
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2007.76.33
  contributor:
    fullname: Mabaso
– volume: 23
  start-page: 1915
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib33
  article-title: Unrecognised Dengue virus infections in children, western Kenya, 2014–2015
  publication-title: Emerg Infect Dis
  doi: 10.3201/eid2311.170807
  contributor:
    fullname: Vu
– volume: 112
  start-page: 11887
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib69
  article-title: Impact of human mobility on the emergence of dengue epidemics in Pakistan
  publication-title: Proc Natl Acad Sci USA
  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1504964112
  contributor:
    fullname: Wesolowski
– volume: 77
  start-page: 6
  year: 2007
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib50
  article-title: Over-diagnosis and co-morbidity of severe malaria in African children: a guide for clinicians
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2007.77.6
  contributor:
    fullname: Gwer
– volume: 13
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib95
  article-title: The long-term safety, public health impact, and cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination with a recombinant, live-attenuated dengue vaccine (Dengvaxia): a model comparison study
  publication-title: PLoS Med
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002181
  contributor:
    fullname: Flasche
– volume: 18
  start-page: 174
  year: 2004
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib30
  article-title: Temperature-related duration of aquatic stages of the Afrotropical malaria vector mosquito Anopheles gambiae in the laboratory
  publication-title: Med Vet Entomol
  doi: 10.1111/j.0269-283X.2004.00495.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Bayoh
– volume: 7
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib58
  article-title: Temporal patterns of abundance of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) and mitochondrial DNA analysis of Ae albopictus in the Central African Republic
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002590
  contributor:
    fullname: Kamgang
– volume: 90
  start-page: 888
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib14
  article-title: The ecology of climate change and infectious diseases
  publication-title: Ecology
  doi: 10.1890/08-0079.1
  contributor:
    fullname: Lafferty
– volume: 329
  year: 2004
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib49
  article-title: Overdiagnosis of malaria in patients with severe febrile illness in Tanzania: a prospective study
  publication-title: BMJ
  doi: 10.1136/bmj.38251.658229.55
  contributor:
    fullname: Reyburn
– volume: 16
  start-page: 381
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib34
  article-title: Principles, practices and knowledge of clinicians when assessing febrile children: a qualitative study in Kenya
  publication-title: Malar J
  doi: 10.1186/s12936-017-2021-7
  contributor:
    fullname: Hooft
– volume: 20
  start-page: 167
  year: 2003
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib40
  article-title: Urbanization and development in sub-Saharan Africa
  publication-title: Cities
  doi: 10.1016/S0264-2751(03)00010-6
  contributor:
    fullname: Njoh
– volume: 12
  start-page: 503
  year: 2007
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib93
  article-title: Social and environmental determinants of Aedes aegypti infestation in central Havana: results of a case–control study nested in an integrated dengue surveillance programme in Cuba
  publication-title: Trop Med Int Health
  doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2007.01818.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Spiegel
– volume: 9
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib8
  article-title: Dengue virus infection in people residing in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prevalence studies
  publication-title: Sci Rep
  doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-50135-x
  contributor:
    fullname: Simo
– volume: 526
  start-page: 207
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib5
  article-title: The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015
  publication-title: Nature
  doi: 10.1038/nature15535
  contributor:
    fullname: Bhatt
– volume: 134
  start-page: 58
  year: 2014
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib47
  article-title: Deconstructing “malaria”: west Africa as the next front for dengue fever surveillance and control
  publication-title: Acta Trop
  doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2014.02.017
  contributor:
    fullname: Stoler
– start-page: 361
  year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib12
  article-title: Seroepidemiological studies of arboviruses in Africa
  contributor:
    fullname: Gudo
– volume: 8
  start-page: 84
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib87
  article-title: Spatial distribution of Anopheles gambiae sensu lato larvae in the urban environment of Yaoundé, Cameroon
  publication-title: Infect Dis Poverty
  doi: 10.1186/s40249-019-0597-6
  contributor:
    fullname: Djamouko-Djonkam
– volume: 368
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib6
  article-title: A sticky situation: the unexpected stability of malaria elimination
  publication-title: Philos Trans R Soc B Biol Sci
  doi: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0145
  contributor:
    fullname: Smith
– volume: 4
  start-page: 12
  year: 2005
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib44
  article-title: Malaria and urbanisation in sub-Saharan Africa
  publication-title: Malar J
  doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-4-12
  contributor:
    fullname: Donnelly
– volume: 9
  start-page: 16
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib84
  article-title: Living at the edge: biogeographic patterns of habitat segregation conform to speciation by niche expansion in Anopheles gambiae
  publication-title: BMC Ecol
  doi: 10.1186/1472-6785-9-16
  contributor:
    fullname: Costantini
– volume: 285
  year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib17
  article-title: Temperature drives Zika virus transmission: evidence from empirical and mathematical models
  publication-title: Proc R Soc B
  doi: 10.1098/rspb.2018.0795
  contributor:
    fullname: Tesla
– volume: 465
  start-page: 342
  year: 2010
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib77
  article-title: Climate change and the global malaria recession
  publication-title: Nature
  doi: 10.1038/nature09098
  contributor:
    fullname: Gething
– volume: 10
  start-page: 100
  year: 2002
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib91
  article-title: Epidemic dengue/dengue hemorrhagic fever as a public health, social and economic problem in the 21st century
  publication-title: Trends Microbiol
  doi: 10.1016/S0966-842X(01)02288-0
  contributor:
    fullname: Gubler
– volume: 12
  start-page: 288
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib36
  article-title: Malaria smear positivity among Kenyan children peaks at intermediate temperatures as predicted by ecological models
  publication-title: Parasit Vectors
  doi: 10.1186/s13071-019-3547-z
  contributor:
    fullname: Shah
– volume: 22
  start-page: 203
  year: 2008
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib92
  article-title: Effect of dengue vector control interventions on entomological parameters in developing countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis
  publication-title: Med Vet Entomol
  doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2915.2008.00740.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Erlanger
– volume: 11
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib42
  article-title: Urbanisation is a main driver for the larval ecology of Aedes mosquitoes in arbovirus-endemic settings in south-eastern Côte d'Ivoire
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005751
  contributor:
    fullname: Zahouli
– volume: 15
  start-page: 460
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib48
  article-title: Multi-method assessment of patients with febrile illness reveals over-diagnosis of malaria in rural Uganda
  publication-title: Malar J
  doi: 10.1186/s12936-016-1502-4
  contributor:
    fullname: Ghai
– year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib64
  article-title: Recent outbreaks of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) in Africa and Asia are driven by a variant carrying mutations associated with increased fitness for Aedes aegypti
  publication-title: bioRxiv
  contributor:
    fullname: Berry
– volume: 46
  start-page: 33
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib21
  article-title: Influence of temperature on immature development, survival, longevity, fecundity, and gonotrophic cycles of Aedes albopictus, vector of chikungunya and dengue in the Indian Ocean
  publication-title: J Med Entomol
  doi: 10.1603/033.046.0105
  contributor:
    fullname: Delatte
– volume: 15
  start-page: 718
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib39
  article-title: Mapping physiological suitability limits for malaria in Africa under climate change
  publication-title: Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis
  doi: 10.1089/vbz.2015.1822
  contributor:
    fullname: Ryan
– volume: 85
  start-page: 158
  year: 2011
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib51
  article-title: Serologic evidence of arboviral infections among humans in Kenya
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2011.10-0203
  contributor:
    fullname: Sutherland
– volume: 22
  start-page: 1690
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib32
  article-title: Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease
  publication-title: Ecol Lett
  doi: 10.1111/ele.13335
  contributor:
    fullname: Mordecai
– volume: 6
  start-page: 1009
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib68
  article-title: Climate change unlikely to increase malaria burden in west Africa
  publication-title: Nat Clim Change
  doi: 10.1038/nclimate3085
  contributor:
    fullname: Yamana
– volume: 5
  start-page: e935
  year: 2011
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib73
  article-title: From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the Dengue epidemic in Brazil
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000935
  contributor:
    fullname: Rodriguez-Barraquer
– volume: 209
  year: 2020
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib13
  article-title: Aedes-borne disease outbreaks in west Africa: a call for enhanced surveillance
  publication-title: Acta Trop
  doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2020.105468
  contributor:
    fullname: Buchwald
– volume: 9
  year: 2015
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib52
  article-title: High rates of O'Nyong Nyong and chikungunya virus transmission in coastal Kenya
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003436
  contributor:
    fullname: LaBeaud
– volume: 341
  start-page: 514
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib3
  article-title: Climate change and infectious diseases: from evidence to a predictive framework
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/science.1239401
  contributor:
    fullname: Altizer
– volume: 4
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib53
  article-title: Malaria and chikungunya detected using molecular diagnostics among febrile Kenyan children
  publication-title: Open Forum Infect Dis
  doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofx110
  contributor:
    fullname: Waggoner
– volume: 87
  start-page: 262
  year: 2010
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib67
  article-title: Silent circulation of arboviruses in Cameroon
  publication-title: East Afr Med J
  contributor:
    fullname: Fokam
– ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib66
  contributor:
    fullname: Abdelaziz
– volume: 174
  start-page: 755
  year: 2009
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib26
  article-title: The well-temperatured biologist (American Society of Naturalists Presidential Address)
  publication-title: Am Nat
  doi: 10.1086/648310
  contributor:
    fullname: Kingsolver
– volume: 94
  start-page: 113
  year: 2000
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib37
  article-title: Annual Plasmodium falciparum entomological inoculation rates (EIR) across Africa: literature survey, internet access and review
  publication-title: Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.1016/S0035-9203(00)90246-3
  contributor:
    fullname: Hay
– volume: 7
  year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib28
  article-title: Temperature explains broad patterns of Ross River virus transmission
  publication-title: Elife
  doi: 10.7554/eLife.37762
  contributor:
    fullname: Shocket
– volume: 88
  start-page: 971
  year: 2013
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib71
  article-title: Climate and non-climate drivers of dengue epidemics in southern coastal Ecuador
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.12-0478
  contributor:
    fullname: Stewart-Ibarra
– volume: 62
  start-page: 345
  year: 2006
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib1
  article-title: Climate change and vector-borne diseases
  publication-title: Adv Parasitol
  doi: 10.1016/S0065-308X(05)62010-6
  contributor:
    fullname: Rogers
– volume: 6
  year: 2018
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib59
  article-title: Seroprevalence of chikungunya fever virus and O'nyong Nyong fever virus among febrile patients visiting selected hospitals in 2011–2012 Trans Nzoia County, Kenya
  publication-title: Int J Res Med Sci
  doi: 10.18203/2320-6012.ijrms20182271
  contributor:
    fullname: Kamau
– volume: 354
  start-page: 971
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib82
  article-title: Mosquitoes on the move
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/science.aal1717
  contributor:
    fullname: Powell
– volume: 100
  start-page: 170
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib35
  article-title: Acute flavivirus and alphavirus infections among children in two different areas of Kenya, 2015
  publication-title: Am J Trop Med Hyg
  doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.18-0297
  contributor:
    fullname: Hortion
– volume: 9
  year: 2014
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib2
  article-title: Vectorial capacity of Aedes aegypti: effects of temperature and implications for global dengue epidemic potential
  publication-title: PLoS One
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0089783
  contributor:
    fullname: Liu-Helmersson
– volume: 11
  year: 2017
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib46
  article-title: Fine-scale variation in microclimate across an urban landscape shapes variation in mosquito population dynamics and the potential of Aedes albopictus to transmit arboviral disease
  publication-title: PLoS Negl Trop Dis
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005640
  contributor:
    fullname: Murdock
– volume: 113
  start-page: 209
  year: 2019
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib11
  article-title: Arboviruses in the east African community partner states: a review of medically important mosquito-borne arboviruses
  publication-title: Pathog Glob Health
  doi: 10.1080/20477724.2019.1678939
  contributor:
    fullname: Nyaruaba
– volume: 115
  start-page: 1747
  year: 2016
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib89
  article-title: Declining malaria, rising of dengue and Zika virus: insights for mosquito vector control
  publication-title: Parasitol Res
  doi: 10.1007/s00436-016-4971-z
  contributor:
    fullname: Benelli
– volume: 7
  year: 2012
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib86
  article-title: Anthropogenic habitat disturbance and ecological divergence between incipient species of the malaria mosquito Anopheles gambiae
  publication-title: PLoS One
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0039453
  contributor:
    fullname: Kamdem
– volume: 42
  start-page: 726
  year: 2005
  ident: 10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30178-9_bib56
  article-title: Geographic distribution and breeding site preference of Aedes albopictus and Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) in Cameroon, central Africa
  publication-title: J Med Entomol
  doi: 10.1093/jmedent/42.5.726
  contributor:
    fullname: Simard
SSID ssj0001826651
Score 2.5587823
SecondaryResourceType review_article
Snippet Malaria is a long-standing public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, whereas arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) such as dengue and chikungunya cause an...
Malaria is a longstanding public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, while arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) like dengue and chikungunya cause an...
SourceID pubmedcentral
crossref
pubmed
SourceType Open Access Repository
Aggregation Database
Index Database
StartPage e416
SubjectTerms Africa - epidemiology
Animals
Arbovirus Infections - epidemiology
Arbovirus Infections - transmission
Arthropod Vectors - physiology
Climate Change
Cost of Illness
Humans
Incidence
Malaria - epidemiology
Malaria - transmission
Mosquito Vectors - physiology
Prevalence
Title Climate change could shift disease burden from malaria to arboviruses in Africa
URI https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32918887
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC7490804
Volume 4
hasFullText 1
inHoldings 1
isFullTextHit
isPrint
link http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwnV1bi9NAFB5q98UX8W69LPOgopTUSTLJJI9SlGWhu6C7UHwJM5MJDXRTaVNB_4h_1zOXTFJdxPUltJN0mMz5eubcD0Ivq5IKVcVxIDPCA8oSHnCWkiCKOZdVTOMq0cnJi7P05JKeLpPlaPRzELW0b8VM_rg2r-R_qApjQFedJXsDyvpJYQA-A33hChSG6z_ReL6uQeBULnt3KnW76uluVVdt53iZCpOmYLNIrjiosTXX4ibfis23ervfmXisqe0WNBRUNXxsfvTMNDZSrQ6vs1mTnki6bqe0_ayBnza9XfTTd2dX1QFlvedpztdlF4V9yq_gVt_NeMWNgWeh1vWOu3FnjQDVswu3ckwL9E1QbsPclbe-ZsxxXToAVz7goIqG6eA0VtSmI__B6a3R4bOfG-TxiLwC4QVYDLDw_njrXPq_nXo-FtGHuempCj1VEZHCTFPkt9CRrrBIx-jobL48_9Kb70AtS01zT7-CPj_sXb-sNxF565Z0IPl4cecwFHcg21zcRXecUoLfW4TdQyPV3EeTBehTm61xu-DX2GLNfHuAzh3ysEUeNsjDBnnYIQ9b5GGNPOyQh9sNHiAP1w22yHuILj9-uJifBK41RyApY23AiADFIJJRwkFlz_KMSJrmlOVlJRm8vBKpykMF8j2paKxKDiIQrbhudM649hw_QuNm06gnCIdlSuFXWaYkaA-pElkiRZKIinEQLcN4gmbdthVfbQWW4q80m6DHdk_943GUhxmcphPEDnbbP6BrrB_eaeqVqbXOtGOc0Kc3XcQzdLv_ezxH43a7Vy9AfG3FsTH7HDtA_QI2u5XY
link.rule.ids 230,314,780,784,864,885,27924,27925
linkProvider Elsevier
openUrl ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Climate+change+could+shift+disease+burden+from+malaria+to+arboviruses+in+Africa&rft.jtitle=The+Lancet.+Planetary+health&rft.au=Mordecai%2C+Erin+A&rft.au=Ryan%2C+Sadie+J&rft.au=Caldwell%2C+Jamie+M&rft.au=Shah%2C+Melisa+M&rft.date=2020-09-01&rft.issn=2542-5196&rft.eissn=2542-5196&rft.volume=4&rft.issue=9&rft.spage=e416&rft.epage=e423&rft_id=info:doi/10.1016%2FS2542-5196%2820%2930178-9&rft.externalDBID=n%2Fa&rft.externalDocID=10_1016_S2542_5196_20_30178_9
thumbnail_l http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=2542-5196&client=summon
thumbnail_m http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=2542-5196&client=summon
thumbnail_s http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=2542-5196&client=summon