Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being: A research agenda
•Integrated models can assess effects of ecosystem services on the global economy.•Insights from integrated models can improve management for sustainable development.•To be most useful, models need to link ecological impacts and human well-being.•Key advances include better incorporation of equity a...
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Published in | Global environmental change Vol. 88; p. 102891 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Elsevier Ltd
01.09.2024
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Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Abstract | •Integrated models can assess effects of ecosystem services on the global economy.•Insights from integrated models can improve management for sustainable development.•To be most useful, models need to link ecological impacts and human well-being.•Key advances include better incorporation of equity and social-ecological feedbacks.
Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community’s ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action. |
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AbstractList | Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community’s ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action. •Integrated models can assess effects of ecosystem services on the global economy.•Insights from integrated models can improve management for sustainable development.•To be most useful, models need to link ecological impacts and human well-being.•Key advances include better incorporation of equity and social-ecological feedbacks. Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community’s ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on ecosystems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) disaggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action. |
ArticleNumber | 102891 |
Author | Leclère, David Polasky, Stephen Hill, Samantha L.L. Andrew Johnson, Justin Visconti, Piero Pereira, Henrique M. Kim, HyeJin Snäll, Tord Schipper, Aafke M. Hertel, Thomas W. Burgess, Neil D. Janse, Jan H. Lonsdorf, Eric Wang-Erlandsson, Lan Harfoot, Mike Peterson, Garry D. José v. Jeetze, Patrick Cheung, William W.L. Popp, Alexander Mulligan, Mark Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca Stehfest, Elke Roe, Stephanie Soterroni, Aline C. Alkemade, Rob van Soesbergen, Arnout Wells, Geoff Fetzer, Ingo Kuiper, Jan J. van Vuuren, Detlef P. |
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Ruttan Hall, 231, 1994 Buford Ave, St Paul, MN 55108, USA – sequence: 3 givenname: Rob surname: Alkemade fullname: Alkemade, Rob organization: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, 2500GH The Hague, Netherlands – sequence: 4 givenname: Neil D. surname: Burgess fullname: Burgess, Neil D. organization: UN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC), 219 Huntingdon Road, CB3 0DL Cambridge, UK – sequence: 5 givenname: William W.L. surname: Cheung fullname: Cheung, William W.L. organization: Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada – sequence: 6 givenname: Ingo surname: Fetzer fullname: Fetzer, Ingo organization: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm SE-106 91, Sweden – sequence: 7 givenname: Mike surname: Harfoot fullname: Harfoot, Mike organization: Vizzuality, 123 Calle de Fuencarral, 28010 Madrid, Spain – sequence: 8 givenname: Thomas W. surname: Hertel fullname: Hertel, Thomas W. organization: Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, W. Lafayette, IN 47906, USA – sequence: 9 givenname: Samantha L.L. surname: Hill fullname: Hill, Samantha L.L. organization: UN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC), 219 Huntingdon Road, CB3 0DL Cambridge, UK – sequence: 10 givenname: Justin surname: Andrew Johnson fullname: Andrew Johnson, Justin organization: Dept. of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN 55108, USA – sequence: 11 givenname: Jan H. surname: Janse fullname: Janse, Jan H. organization: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, 2500GH The Hague, Netherlands – sequence: 12 givenname: Patrick surname: José v. Jeetze fullname: José v. Jeetze, Patrick organization: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany – sequence: 13 givenname: HyeJin surname: Kim fullname: Kim, HyeJin organization: Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Von-Seckendorff-Platz 4, 06120 Halle (Salle), Germany – sequence: 14 givenname: Jan J. surname: Kuiper fullname: Kuiper, Jan J. organization: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm SE-106 91, Sweden – sequence: 15 givenname: Eric surname: Lonsdorf fullname: Lonsdorf, Eric organization: Dept. of Environmental Sciences, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA – sequence: 16 givenname: David surname: Leclère fullname: Leclère, David organization: Biodiversity and Natural Resources Management Programme IIASA, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria – sequence: 17 givenname: Mark surname: Mulligan fullname: Mulligan, Mark organization: Department of Geography, King’s College London, Bush House (North East Wing), 30 Aldwych London WC2B 4BG, UK – sequence: 18 givenname: Garry D. surname: Peterson fullname: Peterson, Garry D. organization: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm SE-106 91, Sweden – sequence: 19 givenname: Alexander surname: Popp fullname: Popp, Alexander organization: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany – sequence: 20 givenname: Stephanie surname: Roe fullname: Roe, Stephanie organization: Global Science, WWF. 125 24th St. Washington, DC, USA – sequence: 21 givenname: Aafke M. surname: Schipper fullname: Schipper, Aafke M. organization: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, 2500GH The Hague, Netherlands – sequence: 22 givenname: Tord surname: Snäll fullname: Snäll, Tord organization: SLU Swedish Species Information Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, PO 7007, 75007 Uppsala, Sweden – sequence: 23 givenname: Arnout surname: van Soesbergen fullname: van Soesbergen, Arnout organization: UN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC), 219 Huntingdon Road, CB3 0DL Cambridge, UK – sequence: 24 givenname: Aline C. surname: Soterroni fullname: Soterroni, Aline C. organization: Biodiversity and Natural Resources Management Programme IIASA, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria – sequence: 25 givenname: Elke surname: Stehfest fullname: Stehfest, Elke organization: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, 2500GH The Hague, Netherlands – sequence: 26 givenname: Detlef P. surname: van Vuuren fullname: van Vuuren, Detlef P. organization: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 30314, 2500GH The Hague, Netherlands – sequence: 27 givenname: Piero surname: Visconti fullname: Visconti, Piero organization: Biodiversity and Natural Resources Management Programme IIASA, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria – sequence: 28 givenname: Lan surname: Wang-Erlandsson fullname: Wang-Erlandsson, Lan organization: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm SE-106 91, Sweden – sequence: 29 givenname: Geoff surname: Wells fullname: Wells, Geoff organization: Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm SE-106 91, Sweden – sequence: 30 givenname: Henrique M. surname: Pereira fullname: Pereira, Henrique M. organization: German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Puschstaße 4, 04103 Leipzig, Germany |
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CitedBy_id | crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ecoser_2025_101705 |
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Keywords | Climate change Ecosystem services Integrated assessment modeling Biodiversity Sustainable development Land-use change |
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