Optimal treatment allocations in space and time for on-line control of an emerging infectious disease
A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that...
Saved in:
| Published in | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics Vol. 67; no. 4; pp. 743 - 789 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , , , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
England
Wiley
01.08.2018
Oxford University Press |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 0035-9254 1467-9876 |
| DOI | 10.1111/rssc.12266 |
Cover
Loading…
| Abstract | A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious disease to a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategy optimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographic footprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategy for an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interference between locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number of locations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at outbreak. We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combines simulation–optimization with Thompson sampling. The estimator proposed performs favourably in simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread of white nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations in North America. |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious disease to a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategy optimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographic footprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategy for an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interference between locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number of locations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at outbreak. We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combines simulation–optimization with Thompson sampling. The estimator proposed performs favourably in simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread of white nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations in North America. A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious disease to a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategy optimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographic footprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategy for an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interference between locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number of locations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at out-break. We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combines simulation-optimization with Thompson sampling. The estimator proposed performs favourably in simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread of white nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations in North America. A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious disease to a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategy optimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographic footprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategy for an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interference between locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number of locations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at out-break. We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combines simulation-optimization with Thompson sampling. The estimator proposed performs favourably in simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread of white nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations in North America.A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that map up-to-date information on the spread of an infectious disease to a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategy optimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographic footprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategy for an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interference between locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number of locations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at out-break. We derive a Bayesian on-line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combines simulation-optimization with Thompson sampling. The estimator proposed performs favourably in simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread of white nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations in North America. Summary A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to inform these decisions in realtime. We formalize a treatment allocation strategy as a sequence of functions, one per treatment period, that map up‐to‐date information on the spread of an infectious disease to a subset of locations where treatment should be allocated. An optimal allocation strategy optimizes some cumulative outcome, e.g. the number of uninfected locations, the geographic footprint of the disease or the cost of the epidemic. Estimation of an optimal allocation strategy for an emerging infectious disease is challenging because spatial proximity induces interference between locations, the number of possible allocations is exponential in the number of locations, and because disease dynamics and intervention effectiveness are unknown at outbreak. We derive a Bayesian on‐line estimator of the optimal allocation strategy that combines simulation–optimization with Thompson sampling. The estimator proposed performs favourably in simulation experiments. This work is motivated by and illustrated using data on the spread of white nose syndrome, which is a highly fatal infectious disease devastating bat populations in North America. |
| Author | Collazo, Jaime A. Meyer, Nick J. Drake, John M. Reich, Brian J. Laber, Eric B. Pacifici, Krishna |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Eric B. surname: Laber fullname: Laber, Eric B. – sequence: 2 givenname: Nick J. surname: Meyer fullname: Meyer, Nick J. – sequence: 3 givenname: Brian J. surname: Reich fullname: Reich, Brian J. – sequence: 4 givenname: Krishna surname: Pacifici fullname: Pacifici, Krishna – sequence: 5 givenname: Jaime A. surname: Collazo fullname: Collazo, Jaime A. – sequence: 6 givenname: John M. surname: Drake fullname: Drake, John M. |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30662097$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
| BookMark | eNp9kc1rVDEUxYNU7LS6ca8E3Ijwar7z3qYgg19QKFhdh0zezZghLxmTN0r_e9NOp2gRswnh_s7hnpwTdJRyAoSeU3JG23lbanVnlDGlHqEFFUp3Q6_VEVoQwmU3MCmO0UmtG9IOJeIJOuZEKUYGvUBwuZ3DZCOeC9h5gjRjG2N2dg45VRwSrlvrANs04gYC9rngnLoYEmCX01xyxNm3OYYJyjqkdRN5cE2_q3gMFWyFp-ixt7HCs7v7FH378P7r8lN3cfnx8_LdReeEJqrz3EI_MKe9lU5L6qSj7QnUcSakkp4KUKtRjqvewqg96wnlnnIq7CA5l_wUne99t7vVBKNrcYqNZltaxHJtsg3m70kK3806_zSKc6Hl0Axe3xmU_GMHdTZTqA5itAlaHsOoHrjWmvQNffUA3eRdSS2eYURTwdWgRKNe_rnR_SqHBhpA9oArudYC3rgw3_5-WzBEQ4m5KdnclGxuS26SNw8kB9d_wnQP_woRrv9Dmi9XV8uD5sVes6lzLvcapnpCpGb8N90lwns |
| CitedBy_id | crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_statistics_030718_105251 crossref_primary_10_1214_22_AOAS1700 crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_statistics_031219_041220 crossref_primary_10_1177_2158244019851675 crossref_primary_10_1080_01621459_2023_2284422 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_clinthera_2021_11_002 crossref_primary_10_1111_insr_12536 crossref_primary_10_1007_s13253_023_00551_4 crossref_primary_10_1016_j_spasta_2022_100714 crossref_primary_10_1002_sim_8678 crossref_primary_10_1002_sim_9107 crossref_primary_10_1080_01621459_2022_2152343 crossref_primary_10_1146_annurev_statistics_040120_010730 crossref_primary_10_1111_insr_12583 crossref_primary_10_1111_insr_12452 crossref_primary_10_1097_CORR_0000000000001865 crossref_primary_10_1111_2041_210X_13110 crossref_primary_10_1515_jci_2020_0031 |
| Cites_doi | 10.1038/nature02007 10.1177/1740774513517063 10.1002/asmb.874 10.1198/016214506000000636 10.1890/1051-0761(2001)011[1778:POLDDU]2.0.CO;2 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000416 10.1007/978-3-642-34106-9_18 10.1038/nature04324 10.1093/biomet/asu050 10.1097/01.ede.0000181633.80269.4c 10.1056/NEJMsa025075 10.7589/2014-08-202 10.1126/science.1163874 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2012.01763.x 10.1214/13-STS450 10.1080/01621459.2012.695674 10.3201/eid1005.030419 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002699 10.1007/978-93-86279-38-5 10.2307/j.ctvcm4gk0 10.1073/pnas.0308344101 10.1007/978-94-015-3711-7 10.1002/9780470172445 10.1007/978-1-4471-4285-0_4 10.1073/pnas.162282799 10.1073/pnas.1617482114 10.1038/nm0506-497 10.1186/s12866-014-0246-y 10.1007/978-0-387-88146-1 10.1093/biomet/25.3-4.285 10.1002/9780470182963 10.1080/01621459.2015.1086353 10.1007/978-1-4419-9076-1_11 10.1038/ncomms2301 10.1098/rspb.2003.2629 10.1093/biomet/asu043 10.1093/biostatistics/kxw011 10.1097/00001648-199503000-00010 10.1198/016214506000000447 10.1111/1467-9868.00389 10.1016/0025-5564(88)90031-4 10.1080/01621459.2014.937488 10.1126/science.1201366 10.1007/978-1-4614-7428-9 10.1038/35004572 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2006.00609.x 10.1016/S0277-9536(03)00414-3 10.1093/pan/mpv007 10.1126/science.1061020 10.1201/b18188 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001045 10.1214/aos/1176344064 10.1097/EDE.0b013e3181f5d3fd 10.4049/jimmunol.192.Supp.207.13 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.05.031 10.1017/9781139029834 10.1214/aos/1176347507 10.1126/science.1134695 10.1002/sta.411 10.1086/422341 10.1111/biom.12191 10.1613/jair.301 10.1016/S0304-4076(97)00011-0 10.1002/sim.3301 10.1073/pnas.1507082112 10.1017/CBO9780511546921 10.1198/016214508000000292 10.1093/biomet/asv028 10.1007/978-1-4757-3766-0 10.1091/mbc.10.8.2703 10.1016/j.physbeh.2014.12.013 10.1090/S0002-9904-1952-09620-8 10.1038/35097116 10.1038/35065725 10.1016/S1389-1286(00)00083-9 10.1093/biomet/ast014 10.1142/7223 10.1515/jci-2012-0002 10.1097/00002030-200003310-00013 10.1214/12-AOS968 10.1126/science.1201010 10.1016/j.spl.2011.02.019 10.1371/journal.pone.0121329 |
| ContentType | Journal Article |
| Copyright | 2018 Royal Statistical Society Copyright © 2018 The Royal Statistical Society and Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
| Copyright_xml | – notice: 2018 Royal Statistical Society – notice: Copyright © 2018 The Royal Statistical Society and Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
| DBID | AAYXX CITATION NPM 7SC 8BJ 8FD FQK JBE JQ2 L7M L~C L~D 7X8 5PM |
| DOI | 10.1111/rssc.12266 |
| DatabaseName | CrossRef PubMed Computer and Information Systems Abstracts International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS) Technology Research Database International Bibliography of the Social Sciences International Bibliography of the Social Sciences ProQuest Computer Science Collection Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Academic Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Professional MEDLINE - Academic PubMed Central (Full Participant titles) |
| DatabaseTitle | CrossRef PubMed International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS) Technology Research Database Computer and Information Systems Abstracts – Academic ProQuest Computer Science Collection Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Professional MEDLINE - Academic |
| DatabaseTitleList | CrossRef PubMed International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS) MEDLINE - Academic |
| Database_xml | – sequence: 1 dbid: NPM name: PubMed url: https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?db=PubMed sourceTypes: Index Database |
| DeliveryMethod | fulltext_linktorsrc |
| Discipline | Statistics Computer Science |
| EISSN | 1467-9876 |
| EndPage | 789 |
| ExternalDocumentID | PMC6334759 30662097 10_1111_rssc_12266 RSSC12266 26800572 |
| Genre | article Journal Article |
| GrantInformation_xml | – fundername: National Science Foundation funderid: DMS‐1555141; DMS‐1513579 – fundername: Gates Foundation |
| GroupedDBID | -~X .3N .4S .DC .GA 05W 10A 1OC 29L 2AX 33P 3SF 4.4 50Y 50Z 51W 51X 52M 52N 52O 52P 52S 52T 52U 52W 52X 5HH 5LA 66C 7PT 8-0 8-1 8-3 8UM 8VB 930 A03 AAESR AAEVG AAMMB AAONW AASGY AAUAY AAWIL AAXRX AAZKR ABAWQ ABBHK ABCQN ABCSF ABCUV ABDFA ABEML ABFAN ABIVO ABLJU ABPFR ABPQH ABPTD ABWST ABXSQ ABYWD ACAHQ ACCZN ACGFS ACHJO ACIWK ACMTB ACNCT ACPOU ACSCC ACTMH ACUBG ACXBN ACXQS ADBBV ADEOM ADIZJ ADKYN ADMGS ADODI ADOZA ADRDM ADVEK ADZMN AEFGJ AEGXH AEIMD AEMOZ AEUPB AFBPY AFEBI AFGKR AFVYC AFXHP AFZJQ AGLNM AGXDD AHQJS AIDQK AIDYY AIHAF AIURR AJAOE AJNCP AJXKR AKVCP ALAGY ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS ALRMG ALUQN AMBMR AMVHM AMYDB ARCSS ATUGU AUFTA AZBYB AZVAB BAFTC BCRHZ BDRZF BHBCM BMNLL BMXJE BNHUX BROTX BRXPI BY8 CO8 D-E DCZOG DPXWK DQDLB DR2 DRFUL DRSTM DSRWC EBA EBO EBR EBS EBU ECEWR EDO EJD EMK F00 F5P G-S G.N GODZA H.T H.X HQ6 HZI HZ~ IHE IPSME IX1 J0M JAAYA JAS JBMMH JBZCM JENOY JHFFW JKQEH JLEZI JLXEF JMS JPL JST K1G K48 LATKE LC2 LC3 LEEKS LH4 LITHE LOXES LP6 LP7 LUTES LW6 LYRES MK4 MRFUL MRSTM MSFUL MSSTM MXFUL MXSTM N04 N05 NF~ NU- O66 O9- OIG P2W P2X P4D PQQKQ PZZ Q.N Q11 QB0 QWB R.K ROL ROX RX1 SA0 SUPJJ TH9 TUS U5U UB1 W8V W99 WBKPD WH7 WIH WIK WOHZO WQJ WYISQ XBAML XG1 YF5 ZL0 ZZTAW ~IA ~WT .Y3 1OB 1OL 3-9 31~ 3R3 AAHHS AANHP AARHZ ABYAD ACBWZ ACCFJ ACFRR ACRPL ACTWD ACYXJ ADNMO ADQBN ADULT AEEZP AELPN AEQDE AEUQT AFPWT AIWBW AJBDE ANFBD ASPBG AS~ ATGXG AVWKF AZFZN CAG COF FEDTE FVMVE HF~ HVGLF H~9 JSODD RJQFR RNS UAP ZGI AAYXX CITATION NPM 7SC 8BJ 8FD FQK JBE JQ2 L7M L~C L~D 7X8 5PM |
| ID | FETCH-LOGICAL-c4706-f3ae892c7fa5c751c5c192ce1c324565f14e6bd5db8aed7f28013f1314a953353 |
| IEDL.DBID | DR2 |
| ISSN | 0035-9254 |
| IngestDate | Thu Aug 21 14:05:06 EDT 2025 Thu Sep 04 17:58:08 EDT 2025 Wed Aug 13 04:42:53 EDT 2025 Thu Apr 03 07:03:20 EDT 2025 Thu Apr 24 23:07:05 EDT 2025 Tue Jul 01 01:20:39 EDT 2025 Wed Jan 22 16:20:47 EST 2025 Thu Jul 03 22:05:29 EDT 2025 |
| IsDoiOpenAccess | false |
| IsOpenAccess | true |
| IsPeerReviewed | true |
| IsScholarly | true |
| Issue | 4 |
| Keywords | Infectious disease control White nose syndrome Thompson sampling Optimal allocation strategy Treatment allocation |
| Language | English |
| License | https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model |
| LinkModel | DirectLink |
| MergedId | FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c4706-f3ae892c7fa5c751c5c192ce1c324565f14e6bd5db8aed7f28013f1314a953353 |
| Notes | Read before The Royal Statistical Society on Wednesday, March 14th, 2018, Professor R. Henderson in the Chair ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 content type line 23 |
| OpenAccessLink | https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1111/rssc.12266 |
| PMID | 30662097 |
| PQID | 2071436964 |
| PQPubID | 32577 |
| PageCount | 47 |
| ParticipantIDs | pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_6334759 proquest_miscellaneous_2179377708 proquest_journals_2071436964 pubmed_primary_30662097 crossref_citationtrail_10_1111_rssc_12266 crossref_primary_10_1111_rssc_12266 wiley_primary_10_1111_rssc_12266_RSSC12266 jstor_primary_26800572 |
| ProviderPackageCode | CITATION AAYXX |
| PublicationCentury | 2000 |
| PublicationDate | August 2018 |
| PublicationDateYYYYMMDD | 2018-08-01 |
| PublicationDate_xml | – month: 08 year: 2018 text: August 2018 |
| PublicationDecade | 2010 |
| PublicationPlace | England |
| PublicationPlace_xml | – name: England – name: Oxford |
| PublicationTitle | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics |
| PublicationTitleAlternate | J R Stat Soc Ser C Appl Stat |
| PublicationYear | 2018 |
| Publisher | Wiley Oxford University Press |
| Publisher_xml | – name: Wiley – name: Oxford University Press |
| References | 2015; 140 2004; 164 2014; 70 2013; 1 2015; 102 1990; 18 2004; 7 2002; 99 2008; 103 2014; 29 2017; 114 1933; 25 1978; 6 2010; 21 2001; 410 2010; 26 2006; 62 2000; 14 2000; 404 2008; 27 1985 2014; 14 2006; 440 1999; 10 2005; 71 2016a; 17 2014; 17 2001; 11 1996; 4 2009; 323 2010; 6 2014; 11 2004; 101 2011; 334 1952; 58 2005; 272 2012 2006; 12 2011 2015; 51 2010 2011; 81 2016b; 111 2001b; 413 2015; 10 1998 2009 2006; 273 2012b; 68 2008 2013; 100 1996 2007 2006 2005 2004 1992 2014; 192 2003 1991 1988; 92 2012a; 1 2011; 5 2011; 332 1995; 6 2012; 107 2004; 10 2015; 23 2009; 30 2007; 316 2012; 3 2003; 348 2003; 425 2016; 3 2004; 58 2000; 33 2015; 112 2004; 271 1997; 79 2001a; 292 2015; 110 2017 2005; 6 2009; 260 2015 2014 2013 2009; 3 2005; 16 2006; 101 2003; 65 2014; 101 1990; 5 2012; 8 2012; 40 2014; 102 Mahadevan (2023030208144926900_) 2009 Thompson (2023030208144926900_) 1933; 25 Borkar (2023030208144926900_) 2008 Hong (2023030208144926900_) 2006; 101 Kang (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 70 Jacquez (2023030208144926900_) 1988; 92 Robins (2023030208144926900_) 2008; 27 Hufnagel (2023030208144926900_) 2004; 101 Keele (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 23 Sobel (2023030208144926900_) 2006; 101 Liu (2023030208144926900_) 1990; 18 Zhang (2023030208144926900_) 2012; 68 Neyman (2023030208144926900_) 1990; 5 Le Menach (2023030208144926900_) 2006; 273 Kolaczyk (2023030208144926900_) 2009 Tildesley (2023030208144926900_) 2006; 440 Diez Roux (2023030208144926900_) 2004; 58 Kohn (2023030208144926900_) 1999; 10 Murphy (2023030208144926900_) 2003; 65 Anderson (2023030208144926900_) 1992 Spall (2023030208144926900_) 2005 Barbu (2023030208144926900_) 2009; 3 Hoyt (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 10 Newey (2023030208144926900_) 1997; 79 Agrawal (2023030208144926900_) 2012 Robins (2023030208144926900_) 2004 Agrawal (2023030208144926900_) 2011 Agrawal (2023030208144926900_) 2013 Hollingsworth (2023030208144926900_) 2006; 12 Schulte (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 29 Scott (2023030208144926900_) 2010; 26 Ferguson (2023030208144926900_) 2003; 425 Orellana (2023030208144926900_) 2010; 6 Broder (2023030208144926900_) 2000; 33 Bertsekas (2023030208144926900_) 1996 Maher (2023030208144926900_) 2012; 3 Szymanski (2023030208144926900_) 2009 Chapelle (2023030208144926900_) 2011 Keeling (2023030208144926900_) 2011 Strogatz (2023030208144926900_) 2001; 410 Subcommittee on Fisheries, Wildlife, and Oceans (2023030208144926900_) 2011 Ertefaie (2023030208144926900_) 2014 Xu (2023030208144926900_) 2016; 17 Hudgens (2023030208144926900_) 2008; 103 Zhao (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 102 Bossenbroek (2023030208144926900_) 2001; 11 Kaplan (2023030208144926900_) 2002; 99 Truscott (2023030208144926900_) 2012; 8 Cesa-Bianchi (2023030208144926900_) 2006 Gosavi (2023030208144926900_) 2003 Halloran (2023030208144926900_) 1995; 6 Kaelbling (2023030208144926900_) 1996; 4 Chakraborty (2023030208144926900_) 2013 Gelman (2023030208144926900_) 2014 Osband (2023030208144926900_) 2013 Ferguson (2023030208144926900_) 2001; 413 Law (2023030208144926900_) 1991 Rubin (2023030208144926900_) 1978; 6 O’Donoghue (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 112 Kushner (2023030208144926900_) 2003 Gopalan (2023030208144926900_) 2014 Gopalan (2023030208144926900_) 2015 Hollingsworth (2023030208144926900_) 2009; 30 Kaufmann (2023030208144926900_) 2012 Pearl (2023030208144926900_) 2010; 21 Powell (2023030208144926900_) 2007 Banks (2023030208144926900_) 1998 Korda (2023030208144926900_) 2013 Lekone (2023030208144926900_) 2006; 62 US Fish and Wildlife Service (2023030208144926900_) 2015 Keeling (2023030208144926900_) 2005; 272 Goldberg (2023030208144926900_) 2012; 40 Rich (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 11 Robbins (2023030208144926900_) 1952; 58 Ghosal (2023030208144926900_) 2017 Kramer (2023030208144926900_) 2016; 3 Field (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 192 Laber (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 102 Riley (2023030208144926900_) 2007; 316 Williams (2023030208144926900_) 2000; 404 Xu (2023030208144926900_) 2016; 111 Korenromp (2023030208144926900_) 2000; 14 Huang (2023030208144926900_) 2004; 7 Kilpatrick (2023030208144926900_) 2011; 334 VanderWeele (2023030208144926900_) 2011; 81 Jung (2023030208144926900_) 2009; 260 Laber (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 101 Sutton (2023030208144926900_) 1998 Ma (2023030208144926900_) 2009 Estrada (2023030208144926900_) 2005; 71 Barbu (2023030208144926900_) 2011; 5 Russo (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 17 Xia (2023030208144926900_) 2004; 164 Drake (2023030208144926900_) 2004; 271 Blatt (2023030208144926900_) 2004 Ferguson (2023030208144926900_) 2001; 292 Kretzschmar (2023030208144926900_) 2004; 10 Maei (2023030208144926900_) 2010 Berry (2023030208144926900_) 1985 Zhang (2023030208144926900_) 2012; 1 Li (2023030208144926900_) 2017; 114 Zhao (2023030208144926900_) 2012; 107 Cornelison (2023030208144926900_) 2014; 14 Ghavamzadeh (2023030208144926900_) 2015 VanderWeele (2023030208144926900_) 2013; 1 Rich (2023030208144926900_) 2013 Sen (2023030208144926900_) 2012 Bhatnagar (2023030208144926900_) 2013 Zhang (2023030208144926900_) 2013; 100 Ogburn (2023030208144926900_) 2014 Bauch (2023030208144926900_) 2005; 16 Sugiyama (2023030208144926900_) 2015 Turner (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 140 Murphy (2023030208144926900_) 2005; 6 Blehert (2023030208144926900_) 2009; 323 Bernard (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 51 Zhao (2023030208144926900_) 2015; 110 Boyles (2023030208144926900_) 2011; 332 Bozzette (2023030208144926900_) 2003; 348 |
| References_xml | – year: 2011 – volume: 8 start-page: e1002699 year: 2012 article-title: Evaluating the adequacy of gravity models as a description of human mobility for epidemic modelling publication-title: PLOS Computnl Biol. – volume: 332 start-page: 41 year: 2011 end-page: 42 article-title: Economic importance of bats in agriculture publication-title: Science – volume: 18 start-page: 405 year: 1990 end-page: 414 article-title: On a notion of data depth based on random simplices publication-title: Ann. Statist. – volume: 192 start-page: 207 year: 2014 end-page: 213 article-title: Anti‐fungal immune responses to pseudogymnoasces destructans in bats affected by white‐nose syndrome (vet2p. 1041) publication-title: J. Immun. – year: 2005 – start-page: 100 year: 2014 end-page: 108 – volume: 6 start-page: 1 year: 2010 end-page: 49 article-title: Dynamic regime marginal structural mean models for estimation of optimal dynamic treatment regimes, part i: main content publication-title: Int. J. Biostatist. – volume: 323, start-page: 227 year: 2009 article-title: Bat white‐nose syndrome: an emerging fungal pathogen publication-title: Science – volume: 1 start-page: 1 year: 2013 end-page: 20 article-title: Causal inference under multiple versions of treatment publication-title: J Causl Inf. – volume: 65 start-page: 331 year: 2003 end-page: 366 article-title: Optimal dynamic treatment regimes (with discussion) publication-title: J. R. Statist. Soc. – volume: 21 start-page: 872 year: 2010 end-page: 875 article-title: On the consistency rule in causal inference: axiom, definition, assumption, or theorem publication-title: Epidemiology – volume: 4 start-page: 237 year: 1996 end-page: 285 article-title: Reinforcement learning: a survey publication-title: J. Artif. Intell. Res. – year: 2014 – year: 1998 – volume: 7 year: 2004 article-title: Simulating SARS: small‐world epidemiological modeling and public health policy assessments publication-title: J. Artif. Soc. Socl Simuln – start-page: 189 year: 2004 end-page: 326 – volume: 58 start-page: 1953 year: 2004 end-page: 1960 article-title: Estimating neighborhood health effects: the challenges of causal inference in a complex world publication-title: Socl Sci. Med. – start-page: 39.1 year: 2012 end-page: 39.26 – volume: 103 start-page: 832 year: 2008 end-page: 842 article-title: Toward causal inference with interference publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. – year: 2008 – volume: 425 start-page: 681 year: 2003 end-page: 685 article-title: Planning for smallpox outbreaks publication-title: Nature – volume: 3 start-page: 160294 year: 2016 article-title: Spatial spread of the West Africa Ebola epidemic publication-title: Open Sci. – volume: 81 start-page: 861 year: 2011 end-page: 869 article-title: Effect partitioning under interference in two‐stage randomized vaccine trials publication-title: Statist. Probab. Lett. – volume: 6 start-page: 142 year: 1995 end-page: 151 article-title: Causal inference in infectious diseases publication-title: Epidemiology – volume: 58 start-page: 527 year: 1952 end-page: 535 article-title: Some aspects of the sequential design of experiments publication-title: Bull. Am. Math. Soc. – volume: 40 start-page: 529 year: 2012 end-page: 560 article-title: Q‐learning with censored data publication-title: Ann. Statist. – volume: 111 start-page: 921 year: 2016b end-page: 950 article-title: Bayesian nonparametric estimation for dynamic treatment regimes with sequential transition times publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. – year: 2007 – volume: 140 start-page: 71 year: 2015 end-page: 78 article-title: Conspecific disturbance contributes to altered hibernation patterns in bats with white‐nose syndrome publication-title: Physiol. Behav. – start-page: 2249 year: 2011 end-page: 2257 – volume: 11 start-page: 435 year: 2014 end-page: 444 article-title: Simulating sequential multiple assignment randomized trials to generate optimal personalized warfarin dosing strategies publication-title: Clin. Trials – volume: 107 start-page: 1106 year: 2012 end-page: 1118 article-title: Estimating individualized treatment rules using outcome weighted learning publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. – year: 1992 – volume: 3 start-page: 1306 year: 2012 article-title: Spread of white‐nose syndrome on a network regulated by geography and climate publication-title: Nat. Communs – volume: 164 start-page: 267 year: 2004 end-page: 281 article-title: Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model for epidemiological coupling and dynamics publication-title: Am. Natlst – volume: 271 start-page: 575 year: 2004 end-page: 580 article-title: Global hot spots of biological invasions: evaluating options for ballast–water management publication-title: Proc. R. Soc. Lond. – volume: 29 start-page: 640 year: 2014 end-page: 661 article-title: Q‐ and a‐learning methods for estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes publication-title: Statist. Sci. – volume: 413 start-page: 542 year: 2001b end-page: 548 article-title: Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain publication-title: Nature – volume: 17 start-page: 619 year: 2016a end-page: 633 article-title: Bayesian non‐parametric inference for stochastic epidemic models using Gaussian processes publication-title: Biostatistics – volume: 17 start-page: 1 year: 2014 end-page: 30 article-title: An information‐theoretic analysis of Thompson sampling publication-title: J. Mach. Learn. Res. – volume: 316 start-page: 1298 year: 2007 end-page: 1301 article-title: Large‐scale spatial‐transmission models of infectious disease publication-title: Science – start-page: 719 year: 2010 end-page: 726 – volume: 79 start-page: 147 year: 1997 end-page: 168 article-title: Convergence rates and asymptotic normality for series estimators publication-title: J. Econmetr. – volume: 5 start-page: e1045 year: 2011 article-title: Evaluation of spatially targeted strategies to control non‐domiciliated triatoma dimidiata vector of Chagas disease publication-title: PLOS Negl. Trop. Dis. – volume: 102 start-page: 501 year: 2015 end-page: 514 article-title: Tree‐based methods for estimating individualized treatment regimes publication-title: Biometrika – year: 2013 – year: 1985 – year: 2009 – volume: 101 start-page: 1398 year: 2006 end-page: 1407 article-title: What do randomized studies of housing mobility demonstrate?: Causal inference in the face of interference publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. – volume: 404 start-page: 180 year: 2000 end-page: 183 article-title: Simple rules yield complex food webs publication-title: Nature – volume: 14 start-page: 246 year: 2014 article-title: A preliminary report on the contact‐independent antagonism of pseudogymnoascus destructans by rhodococcus rhodochrous strain dap96253 publication-title: BMC Micrbiol. – volume: 23 start-page: 313 year: 2015 end-page: 335 article-title: The statistics of causal inference: a view from political methodology publication-title: Polit. Anal. – volume: 272 start-page: 1195 year: 2005 end-page: 1202 article-title: Models of foot‐and‐mouth disease publication-title: Proc. R. Soc. Lond. – volume: 5 start-page: 465 year: 1990 end-page: 472 article-title: On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments: essay on principles, section 9 (Engl. transl. D. M. Dabrowska and T. P. Speed) publication-title: Statist. Sci. – volume: 3 start-page: e416 year: 2009 article-title: Optimization of control strategies for non‐domiciliated triatoma dimidiata, Chagas disease vector in the Yucatán Peninsula, Mexico publication-title: PLOS Negl. Trop. Dis. – volume: 440 start-page: 83 year: 2006 end-page: 86 article-title: Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot‐and‐mouth outbreak in the UK publication-title: Nature – volume: 70 start-page: 695 year: 2014 end-page: 707 article-title: Combining biomarkers to optimize patient treatment recommendations publication-title: Biometrics – start-page: 31 year: 2013 end-page: 39 – volume: 6 start-page: 1073 year: 2005 end-page: 1097 article-title: A generalization error for Q‐learning publication-title: J. Mach. Learn. Res. – volume: 62 start-page: 1170 year: 2006 end-page: 1177 article-title: Statistical inference in a stochastic epidemic SEIR model with control intervention: Ebola as a case study publication-title: Biometrics – volume: 16 start-page: 791 year: 2005 end-page: 801 article-title: Dynamically modeling SARS and other newly emerging respiratory illnesses: past, present, and future publication-title: Epidemiology – year: 2004 – volume: 101 start-page: 15124 year: 2004 end-page: 15129 article-title: Forecast and control of epidemics in a globalized world publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA – volume: 10 start-page: e0121329 year: 2015 article-title: Bacteria isolated from bats inhibit the growth of pseudogymnoascus destructans, the causative agent of white‐nose syndrome publication-title: PLOS One – volume: 71 start-page: 056103 year: 2005 article-title: Subgraph centrality in complex networks publication-title: Phys. Rev. – volume: 273 start-page: 2467 year: 2006 end-page: 2475 article-title: Key strategies for reducing spread of avian influenza among commercial poultry holdings: lessons for transmission to humans publication-title: Proc. R. Soc. Lond. – volume: 10 start-page: 832 year: 2004 end-page: 841 article-title: Ring vaccination and smallpox control publication-title: Emergng Infect. Dis. – volume: 33 start-page: 309 year: 2000 end-page: 320 article-title: Graph structure in the web publication-title: Comput. Netwrks – volume: 101 start-page: 831 year: 2014 end-page: 847 article-title: Interactive model building for q‐learning publication-title: Biometrika – start-page: 861 year: 2015 end-page: 898 – volume: 410 start-page: 268 year: 2001 end-page: 276 article-title: Exploring complex networks publication-title: Nature – start-page: 1448 year: 2013 end-page: 1456 – volume: 12 start-page: 497 year: 2006 end-page: 499 article-title: Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza publication-title: Nat. Med. – year: 2015 – volume: 6 start-page: 34 year: 1978 end-page: 58 article-title: Bayesian inference for causal effects: the role of randomization publication-title: Ann. Statist. – volume: 25 start-page: 285 year: 1933 end-page: 294 article-title: On the likelihood that one unknown probability exceeds another in view of the evidence of two samples publication-title: Biometrika – volume: 30 start-page: 328 year: 2009 end-page: 341 article-title: Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: lessons from mathematical modelling publication-title: J. Publ. Hlth Poly – volume: 14 start-page: 573 year: 2000 end-page: 593 article-title: Model‐based evaluation of single‐round mass treatment of sexually transmitted diseases for HIV control in a rural African population publication-title: Aids – start-page: 127 year: 2013 end-page: 135 – volume: 114 start-page: 5659 year: 2017 end-page: 5664 article-title: Essential information: uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA – start-page: 199 year: 2012 end-page: 213 – start-page: 3003 year: 2013 end-page: 3011 – volume: 1 start-page: 103 year: 2012a end-page: 114 article-title: Estimating optimal treatment regimes from a classification perspective publication-title: Stat – year: 2003 – volume: 292 start-page: 1155 year: 2001a end-page: 1160 article-title: The foot‐and‐mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions publication-title: Science – volume: 92 start-page: 119 year: 1988 end-page: 199 article-title: Modeling and analyzing HIV transmission: the effect of contact patterns publication-title: Math. Biosci. – year: 1996 – volume: 102 start-page: 151 year: 2014 end-page: 168 article-title: Doubly robust learning for estimating individualized treatment with censored data publication-title: Biometrika – volume: 348 start-page: 416 year: 2003 end-page: 425 article-title: A model for a smallpox‐vaccination policy publication-title: New Engl. J. Med. – volume: 101 start-page: 901 year: 2006 end-page: 910 article-title: Evaluating kindergarten retention policy publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. – volume: 112 start-page: 7478 year: 2015 end-page: 7483 article-title: Destructin‐1 is a collagen‐degrading endopeptidase secreted by pseudogymnoascus destructans, the causative agent of white‐nose syndrome publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA – year: 2012 – volume: 68 start-page: 1010 year: 2012b end-page: 1018 article-title: A robust method for estimating optimal treatment regimes publication-title: Biometrics – volume: 10 start-page: 2703 year: 1999 end-page: 2734 article-title: Molecular interaction map of the mammalian cell cycle control and DNA repair systems publication-title: Molec. Biol. Cell – volume: 51 start-page: 519 year: 2015 end-page: 522 article-title: Molecular detection of the causative agent of white‐nose syndrome on Rafinesque's big‐eared bats (corynorhinus rafinesquii) and two species of migratory bats in the southeastern USA publication-title: J. Wldlif. Dis. – volume: 27 start-page: 4678 year: 2008 end-page: 4721 article-title: Estimation and extrapolation of optimal treatment and testing strategies publication-title: Statist. Med. – volume: 260 start-page: 220 year: 2009 end-page: 229 article-title: Optimal control strategy for prevention of avian influenza pandemic publication-title: J. Theoret. Biol. – volume: 99 start-page: 10935 year: 2002 end-page: 10940 article-title: Emergency response to a smallpox attack: the case for mass vaccination publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA – volume: 334 start-page: 323 year: 2011 end-page: 327 article-title: Globalization, land use, and the invasion of West Nile virus publication-title: Science – year: 2006 – volume: 100 start-page: 681 year: 2013 end-page: 694 article-title: Robust estimation of optimal dynamic treatment regimes for sequential treatment decisions publication-title: Biometrika – volume: 26 start-page: 639 year: 2010 end-page: 658 article-title: A modern bayesian look at the multi‐armed bandit publication-title: Appl. Stochast. Modls Bus. Indstry – year: 2017 – year: 1991 – volume: 11 start-page: 1778 year: 2001 end-page: 1788 article-title: Prediction of long‐distance dispersal using gravity models: zebra mussel invasion of inland lakes publication-title: Ecol. Appl. – volume: 110 start-page: 583 year: 2015 end-page: 598 article-title: New statistical learning methods for estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. – volume: 425 start-page: 681 year: 2003 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Planning for smallpox outbreaks publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/nature02007 – volume: 11 start-page: 435 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Simulating sequential multiple assignment randomized trials to generate optimal personalized warfarin dosing strategies publication-title: Clin. Trials doi: 10.1177/1740774513517063 – volume: 7 year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Simulating SARS: small-world epidemiological modeling and public health policy assessments publication-title: J. Artif. Soc. Socl Simuln – volume: 26 start-page: 639 year: 2010 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: A modern bayesian look at the multi-armed bandit publication-title: Appl. Stochast. Modls Bus. Indstry doi: 10.1002/asmb.874 – volume: 101 start-page: 1398 year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: What do randomized studies of housing mobility demonstrate?: Causal inference in the face of interference publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. doi: 10.1198/016214506000000636 – volume: 11 start-page: 1778 year: 2001 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Prediction of long-distance dispersal using gravity models: zebra mussel invasion of inland lakes publication-title: Ecol. Appl. doi: 10.1890/1051-0761(2001)011[1778:POLDDU]2.0.CO;2 – volume: 3 start-page: e416 year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Optimization of control strategies for non-domiciliated triatoma dimidiata, Chagas disease vector in the Yucatán Peninsula, Mexico publication-title: PLOS Negl. Trop. Dis. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000416 – volume-title: Bayesian Reinforcement Learning: a Survey year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – start-page: 199 volume-title: Algorithmic Learning Theory year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-34106-9_18 – start-page: 719 volume-title: Toward off-policy learning control with function approximation year: 2010 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 440 start-page: 83 year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/nature04324 – volume: 102 start-page: 151 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Doubly robust learning for estimating individualized treatment with censored data publication-title: Biometrika doi: 10.1093/biomet/asu050 – volume: 16 start-page: 791 year: 2005 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Dynamically modeling SARS and other newly emerging respiratory illnesses: past, present, and future publication-title: Epidemiology doi: 10.1097/01.ede.0000181633.80269.4c – volume: 348 start-page: 416 year: 2003 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: A model for a smallpox-vaccination policy publication-title: New Engl. J. Med. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa025075 – volume: 51 start-page: 519 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Molecular detection of the causative agent of white-nose syndrome on Rafinesque's big-eared bats (corynorhinus rafinesquii) and two species of migratory bats in the southeastern USA publication-title: J. Wldlif. Dis. doi: 10.7589/2014-08-202 – start-page: 2249 volume-title: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Stochastic Approximation and Recursive Algorithms and Applications year: 2003 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 323, start-page: 227 year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Bat white-nose syndrome: an emerging fungal pathogen publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.1163874 – volume: 68 start-page: 1010 year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: A robust method for estimating optimal treatment regimes publication-title: Biometrics doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2012.01763.x – volume: 29 start-page: 640 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Q- and a-learning methods for estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes publication-title: Statist. Sci. doi: 10.1214/13-STS450 – volume: 107 start-page: 1106 year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Estimating individualized treatment rules using outcome weighted learning publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2012.695674 – volume: 71 start-page: 056103 year: 2005 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Subgraph centrality in complex networks publication-title: Phys. Rev. – volume: 10 start-page: 832 year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Ring vaccination and smallpox control publication-title: Emergng Infect. Dis. doi: 10.3201/eid1005.030419 – volume: 8 start-page: e1002699 year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Evaluating the adequacy of gravity models as a description of human mobility for epidemic modelling publication-title: PLOS Computnl Biol. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002699 – start-page: 127 volume-title: Thompson sampling for contextual bandits with linear payoffs year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Stochastic Approximation year: 2008 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-93-86279-38-5 – volume-title: A-learning for approximate planning year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – start-page: 861 volume-title: Thompson sampling for learning parameterized Markov decision processes year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – start-page: 39.1 volume-title: Analysis of Thompson sampling for the multi-armed bandit problem year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.2307/j.ctvcm4gk0 – volume: 101 start-page: 15124 year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Forecast and control of epidemics in a globalized world publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA doi: 10.1073/pnas.0308344101 – volume-title: Learning Representation and Control in Markov Decision Processes year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Bandit Problems: Sequential Allocation of Experiments year: 1985 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-94-015-3711-7 – volume-title: Reinforcment Learning: an Introduction year: 1998 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Handbook of Simulation: Principles, Methodology, Advances, Applications, and Practice year: 1998 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1002/9780470172445 – start-page: 31 volume-title: Stochastic Recursive Algorithms for Optimization year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-1-4471-4285-0_4 – volume: 99 start-page: 10935 year: 2002 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Emergency response to a smallpox attack: the case for mass vaccination publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA doi: 10.1073/pnas.162282799 – volume: 114 start-page: 5659 year: 2017 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Essential information: uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA doi: 10.1073/pnas.1617482114 – volume: 6 start-page: 1 year: 2010 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Dynamic regime marginal structural mean models for estimation of optimal dynamic treatment regimes, part i: main content publication-title: Int. J. Biostatist. – volume: 12 start-page: 497 year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Will travel restrictions control the international spread of pandemic influenza publication-title: Nat. Med. doi: 10.1038/nm0506-497 – volume-title: Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control year: 1992 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 14 start-page: 246 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: A preliminary report on the contact-independent antagonism of pseudogymnoascus destructans by rhodococcus rhodochrous strain dap96253 publication-title: BMC Micrbiol. doi: 10.1186/s12866-014-0246-y – volume-title: Optimal dynamic treatment regime structural nested mean models: improving efficiency through diagnostics and re-weighting and application to adaptive individualized dosing year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Statistical Analysis of Network Data year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-0-387-88146-1 – volume-title: Simulation Modeling and Analysis year: 1991 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 25 start-page: 285 year: 1933 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: On the likelihood that one unknown probability exceeds another in view of the evidence of two samples publication-title: Biometrika doi: 10.1093/biomet/25.3-4.285 – volume-title: Approximate Dynamic Programming: Solving the Curses of Dimensionality year: 2007 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1002/9780470182963 – volume: 111 start-page: 921 year: 2016 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Bayesian nonparametric estimation for dynamic treatment regimes with sequential transition times publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2015.1086353 – start-page: 189 volume-title: Proc. 2nd Seattle Symp. Biostatistics year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-1-4419-9076-1_11 – volume: 3 start-page: 1306 year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Spread of white-nose syndrome on a network regulated by geography and climate publication-title: Nat. Communs doi: 10.1038/ncomms2301 – volume: 271 start-page: 575 year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Global hot spots of biological invasions: evaluating options for ballast–water management publication-title: Proc. R. Soc. Lond. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2003.2629 – volume: 101 start-page: 831 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Interactive model building for q-learning publication-title: Biometrika doi: 10.1093/biomet/asu043 – volume: 17 start-page: 619 year: 2016 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Bayesian non-parametric inference for stochastic epidemic models using Gaussian processes publication-title: Biostatistics doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxw011 – volume: 6 start-page: 142 year: 1995 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Causal inference in infectious diseases publication-title: Epidemiology doi: 10.1097/00001648-199503000-00010 – volume: 101 start-page: 901 year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Evaluating kindergarten retention policy publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. doi: 10.1198/016214506000000447 – volume: 65 start-page: 331 year: 2003 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Optimal dynamic treatment regimes (with discussion) publication-title: J. R. Statist. Soc. doi: 10.1111/1467-9868.00389 – volume-title: Why We Should Care about Bats: Devastating Impact White-nose Syndrome is having on One of Nature's Best Pest Controllers year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 92 start-page: 119 year: 1988 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Modeling and analyzing HIV transmission: the effect of contact patterns publication-title: Math. Biosci. doi: 10.1016/0025-5564(88)90031-4 – volume: 110 start-page: 583 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: New statistical learning methods for estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2014.937488 – volume: 332 start-page: 41 year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Economic importance of bats in agriculture publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.1201366 – volume-title: Constructing dynamic treatment regimes in infinite-horizon settings year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Statistical Methods for Dynamic Treatment Regimes year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-1-4614-7428-9 – volume: 404 start-page: 180 year: 2000 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Simple rules yield complex food webs publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/35004572 – volume: 62 start-page: 1170 year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Statistical inference in a stochastic epidemic SEIR model with control intervention: Ebola as a case study publication-title: Biometrics doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2006.00609.x – volume: 58 start-page: 1953 year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Estimating neighborhood health effects: the challenges of causal inference in a complex world publication-title: Socl Sci. Med. doi: 10.1016/S0277-9536(03)00414-3 – volume: 23 start-page: 313 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: The statistics of causal inference: a view from political methodology publication-title: Polit. Anal. doi: 10.1093/pan/mpv007 – start-page: 100 volume-title: Thompson sampling for complex online problems year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Neuro-dynamic Programming year: 1996 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 292 start-page: 1155 year: 2001 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.1061020 – volume: 3 start-page: 160294 year: 2016 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Spatial spread of the West Africa Ebola epidemic publication-title: Open Sci. – volume-title: Statistical Reinforcement Learning: Modern Machine Learning Approaches year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1201/b18188 – volume: 5 start-page: e1045 year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Evaluation of spatially targeted strategies to control non-domiciliated triatoma dimidiata vector of Chagas disease publication-title: PLOS Negl. Trop. Dis. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001045 – volume: 6 start-page: 34 year: 1978 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Bayesian inference for causal effects: the role of randomization publication-title: Ann. Statist. doi: 10.1214/aos/1176344064 – volume-title: White-nose syndrome management: report on structured decision making initiative year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 21 start-page: 872 year: 2010 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: On the consistency rule in causal inference: axiom, definition, assumption, or theorem publication-title: Epidemiology doi: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e3181f5d3fd – volume: 192 start-page: 207 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Anti-fungal immune responses to pseudogymnoasces destructans in bats affected by white-nose syndrome (vet2p. 1041) publication-title: J. Immun. doi: 10.4049/jimmunol.192.Supp.207.13 – volume: 260 start-page: 220 year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Optimal control strategy for prevention of avian influenza pandemic publication-title: J. Theoret. Biol. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.05.031 – volume-title: Fundamentals of Nonparametric Bayesian Inference year: 2017 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1017/9781139029834 – volume: 18 start-page: 405 year: 1990 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: On a notion of data depth based on random simplices publication-title: Ann. Statist. doi: 10.1214/aos/1176347507 – volume: 273 start-page: 2467 year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Key strategies for reducing spread of avian influenza among commercial poultry holdings: lessons for transmission to humans publication-title: Proc. R. Soc. Lond. – volume: 6 start-page: 1073 year: 2005 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: A generalization error for Q-learning publication-title: J. Mach. Learn. Res. – volume: 316 start-page: 1298 year: 2007 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious disease publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.1134695 – volume-title: White-nose syndrome: a coordinated response to the devastating bat disease year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 1 start-page: 103 year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Estimating optimal treatment regimes from a classification perspective publication-title: Stat doi: 10.1002/sta.411 – volume-title: Bayesian Data Analysis year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Analysis of Thompson sampling for the multi-armed bandit problem year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 164 start-page: 267 year: 2004 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Measles metapopulation dynamics: a gravity model for epidemiological coupling and dynamics publication-title: Am. Natlst doi: 10.1086/422341 – volume: 70 start-page: 695 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Combining biomarkers to optimize patient treatment recommendations publication-title: Biometrics doi: 10.1111/biom.12191 – volume: 4 start-page: 237 year: 1996 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Reinforcement learning: a survey publication-title: J. Artif. Intell. Res. doi: 10.1613/jair.301 – volume: 79 start-page: 147 year: 1997 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Convergence rates and asymptotic normality for series estimators publication-title: J. Econmetr. doi: 10.1016/S0304-4076(97)00011-0 – volume: 27 start-page: 4678 year: 2008 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Estimation and extrapolation of optimal treatment and testing strategies publication-title: Statist. Med. doi: 10.1002/sim.3301 – volume: 112 start-page: 7478 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Destructin-1 is a collagen-degrading endopeptidase secreted by pseudogymnoascus destructans, the causative agent of white-nose syndrome publication-title: Proc. Natn. Acad. Sci. USA doi: 10.1073/pnas.1507082112 – start-page: 1448 volume-title: Thompson sampling for 1-dimensional exponential family bandits year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume-title: Prediction, Learning, and Games year: 2006 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1017/CBO9780511546921 – volume-title: Introduction to Stochastic Search and Optimization: Estimation, Simulation, and Control year: 2005 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 103 start-page: 832 year: 2008 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Toward causal inference with interference publication-title: J. Am. Statist. Ass. doi: 10.1198/016214508000000292 – volume: 102 start-page: 501 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Tree-based methods for estimating individualized treatment regimes publication-title: Biometrika doi: 10.1093/biomet/asv028 – volume: 17 start-page: 1 year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: An information-theoretic analysis of Thompson sampling publication-title: J. Mach. Learn. Res. – volume-title: Simulation-based Optimization: Parametric Optimization Techniques and Reinforcement Learning year: 2003 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1007/978-1-4757-3766-0 – volume: 10 start-page: 2703 year: 1999 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Molecular interaction map of the mammalian cell cycle control and DNA repair systems publication-title: Molec. Biol. Cell doi: 10.1091/mbc.10.8.2703 – volume: 30 start-page: 328 year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Controlling infectious disease outbreaks: lessons from mathematical modelling publication-title: J. Publ. Hlth Poly – volume: 140 start-page: 71 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Conspecific disturbance contributes to altered hibernation patterns in bats with white-nose syndrome publication-title: Physiol. Behav. doi: 10.1016/j.physbeh.2014.12.013 – volume: 272 start-page: 1195 year: 2005 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Models of foot-and-mouth disease publication-title: Proc. R. Soc. Lond. – volume: 58 start-page: 527 year: 1952 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Some aspects of the sequential design of experiments publication-title: Bull. Am. Math. Soc. doi: 10.1090/S0002-9904-1952-09620-8 – volume: 413 start-page: 542 year: 2001 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/35097116 – volume: 410 start-page: 268 year: 2001 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Exploring complex networks publication-title: Nature doi: 10.1038/35065725 – volume: 33 start-page: 309 year: 2000 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Graph structure in the web publication-title: Comput. Netwrks doi: 10.1016/S1389-1286(00)00083-9 – volume: 100 start-page: 681 year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Robust estimation of optimal dynamic treatment regimes for sequential treatment decisions publication-title: Biometrika doi: 10.1093/biomet/ast014 – volume-title: Modeling and Dynamics of Infectious Diseases year: 2009 ident: 2023030208144926900_ doi: 10.1142/7223 – volume: 1 start-page: 1 year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Causal inference under multiple versions of treatment publication-title: J Causl Inf. doi: 10.1515/jci-2012-0002 – volume: 14 start-page: 573 year: 2000 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Model-based evaluation of single-round mass treatment of sexually transmitted diseases for HIV control in a rural African population publication-title: Aids doi: 10.1097/00002030-200003310-00013 – volume: 5 start-page: 465 year: 1990 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments: essay on principles, section 9 (Engl. transl. D. M. Dabrowska and T. P. Speed) publication-title: Statist. Sci. – volume-title: Gravity Models of Spatial Interaction Behavior year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 40 start-page: 529 year: 2012 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Q-learning with censored data publication-title: Ann. Statist. doi: 10.1214/12-AOS968 – volume: 334 start-page: 323 year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Globalization, land use, and the invasion of West Nile virus publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.1201010 – start-page: 3003 volume-title: (More) efficient reinforcement learning via posterior sampling year: 2013 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 81 start-page: 861 year: 2011 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Effect partitioning under interference in two-stage randomized vaccine trials publication-title: Statist. Probab. Lett. doi: 10.1016/j.spl.2011.02.019 – volume-title: Vaccines, contagion, and social networks year: 2014 ident: 2023030208144926900_ – volume: 10 start-page: e0121329 year: 2015 ident: 2023030208144926900_ article-title: Bacteria isolated from bats inhibit the growth of pseudogymnoascus destructans, the causative agent of white-nose syndrome publication-title: PLOS One doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0121329 |
| SSID | ssj0000104 ssj0018311 |
| Score | 2.3751755 |
| Snippet | A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using data to... Summary A key component in controlling the spread of an epidemic is deciding where, when and to whom to apply an intervention. We develop a framework for using... |
| SourceID | pubmedcentral proquest pubmed crossref wiley jstor |
| SourceType | Open Access Repository Aggregation Database Index Database Enrichment Source Publisher |
| StartPage | 743 |
| SubjectTerms | Alliances Allocations Bats Bayesian analysis Disease control Epidemics Fungal diseases Infectious disease control Infectious diseases Information dissemination Intervention Optimal allocation strategy Optimization Proximity Sampling Simulation Strategy Thompson sampling Treatment allocation White nose syndrome |
| Title | Optimal treatment allocations in space and time for on-line control of an emerging infectious disease |
| URI | https://www.jstor.org/stable/26800572 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111%2Frssc.12266 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30662097 https://www.proquest.com/docview/2071436964 https://www.proquest.com/docview/2179377708 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC6334759 |
| Volume | 67 |
| hasFullText | 1 |
| inHoldings | 1 |
| isFullTextHit | |
| isPrint | |
| link | http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwnV1Nb9QwEB1VPfVCoVAIlMoILiBlFdtxnEi9oKpVxQGklkq9oMifUBWyqNm9cOIn8Bv5JfU4TtiFCgluK2USrZ2Z8XPm-Q3ACyFVUXhZ5IwZlZciuHFjmM0tRYEppQOijWqfb6uT8_LNhbjYgIPxLMygDzF9cMPIiPkaA1zpfiXIr_vezGhAD6i3jWQtRESnq9pRuNFI9YSaUzoKNDZhT5SESpHT8-s5a0vTwE68DXf-SZ9chbVxXTrehg_jiAY6ytVsudAz8-03scf_HfJduJMAK3k9eNg92HDdDmyPzSBIyg07sIWwdVB9vg8f34VM9CXcNvHYCRb40-dBctmRkMiMI6qzBLvbkwCdybz7-f0H_kmS-PNk7oMFwSPM2EqJjMSxZU9SXekBnB8fvT88yVNLh9yUsqhyz5WrG2akV8JIQY0wAWIaRw2PFVhPS1dpK6yulbPSs7CAck85LRXyYAXfhc1u3rlHQJRmzPla2PB2y8rZpvG-pAHfGa-tNjqDl-PbbE3SO8e2G5_bcd-D09nG6czg-WT7dVD5uNVqNzrFZMKqGg_zsgz2Ri9pUwroW4ZHw7BbYpnBs-lyCF6syKjOhclqGaZHKWVRZ_BwcKrp4Ry1-YtGZiDX3G0yQGHw9Svd5acoEF5xjjKOGbyK3vSXIbWnZ2eH8dfjfzF-AlsBONYDEXIPNhfXS_c0gLOF3o9BeANtMTcK |
| linkProvider | Wiley-Blackwell |
| linkToHtml | http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwnV1Nb9QwEB1BOdBLC4XSQAEjuICUVWwncXJEhWqBUqR-SL1F_oQKyKJm98KJn8Bv5JfgcZywCxUS3FbKJNo4M-Nnz_MbgCeFkFnmRJYypmWaF96Na81MaigKTEnlEW1Q-zwsp6f567PiLHJz8CxMrw8xbrhhZIR8jQGOG9JLUX7RdXpCPXwor8I1bOmNcfniaFk9CpcasaJQcUoHicbar4qiVCmyen49aGVy6vmJlyHPPwmUy8A2zEz7m3371S4IGiIh5eNkMVcT_fU3ucf_fukbsBExK3neO9lNuGLbLdgc-kGQmB62YB2Ray_8fAvev_PJ6LO_baSyE6zxxx1Cct4Sn8u0JbI1BBvcE4-eyaz98e07_ksSKfRk5rwFwVPM2E2JDNyxRUdiaek2nO6_PNmbprGrQ6pzkZWp49JWNdPCyUKLgupCe5SpLdU8FGEdzW2pTGFUJa0Rjvk5lDvKaS6RClvwbVhrZ63dASIVY9ZVhfGfNy-tqWvncuohnnbKKK0SeDp8zkZHyXPsvPGpGZY-OJxNGM4EHo-2X3qhj0uttoNXjCasrPA8L0tgd3CTJmaBrmF4OgwbJuYJPBov-_jFooxsrR-shmGGFEJkVQJ3eq8aH85Rnj-rRQJixd9GA9QGX73Snn8IGuEl56jkmMCz4E5_eaXm6Ph4L_y6-y_GD-H69OTtQXPw6vDNPVj3OLLqeZG7sDa_WNj7HqvN1YMQkT8Bo6s7Iw |
| linkToPdf | http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwnV1Nb9QwEB2VIqFeKBRaUgoYwQWkrGLHjhOJC2pZlQ8V1FKpFxQ5_oAKmq26uxdO_AR-I78Ej-OEXaiQ4LZSJtHamRk_Z57fADwWUmWZk1nKmFYpF96NK81MaigKTKnGI9qg9nlQ7B_zVyfiZAWe9WdhOn2I4YMbRkbI1xjg58YtBPnFdKpH1KOH4gpc5UVW4tZr73BRPAp3GrGgUOaU9gqNld8URaVSJPX8etDS2tTREy8Dnn_yJxdxbViYxuvwoR9Sx0f5PJrPmpH--pva4_-O-QZcj4iVPO9c7Cas2HYD1vtuECQmhw1YQ9zayT7fgo9vfSo687cNRHaCFf74fZCctsRnMm2Jag3B9vbEY2cyaX98-45_kkQCPZk4b0HwDDP2UiI9c2w-JbGwdBuOxy_e7-6nsadDqrnMitTlypYV09IpoaWgWmiPMbWlOg8lWEe5LRojTFMqa6RjfgXNHc0pV0iEFfkmrLaT1t4BohrGrCuF8W-XF9ZUlXOceoCnXWMa3STwpH-btY6C59h340vdb3xwOuswnQk8GmzPO5mPS602g1MMJqwo8TQvS2Cn95I65oBpzfBsGLZL5Ak8HC776MWSjGqtn6yaYX6UUmZlAludUw0Pz1GcP6tkAnLJ3QYDVAZfvtKefgoK4UWeo45jAk-DN_1lSPXh0dFu-LX9L8YP4Nq7vXH95uXB67uw5kFk2ZEid2B1djG39zxQmzX3Qzz-BPKkOds |
| openUrl | ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Optimal+treatment+allocations+in+space+and+time+for+on-line+control+of+an+emerging+infectious+disease&rft.jtitle=Journal+of+the+Royal+Statistical+Society.+Series+C%2C+Applied+statistics&rft.au=Laber%2C+Eric+B&rft.au=Meyer%2C+Nick+J&rft.au=Reich%2C+Brian+J&rft.au=Pacifici%2C+Krishna&rft.date=2018-08-01&rft.issn=0035-9254&rft.volume=67&rft.issue=4&rft.spage=743&rft_id=info:doi/10.1111%2Frssc.12266&rft.externalDBID=NO_FULL_TEXT |
| thumbnail_l | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=0035-9254&client=summon |
| thumbnail_m | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=0035-9254&client=summon |
| thumbnail_s | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=0035-9254&client=summon |