A robust estimation model for surgery durations with temporal, operational, and surgery team effects

• Published in: Health care management science Vol. 18; no. 3; pp. 222 - 233
• Main Authors: Kayış, Enis, Khaniyev, Taghi T., Suermondt, Jaap, Sylvester, Karl
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: New York Springer US 01.09.2015; Springer Nature B.V
• Subjects: Accuracy; Algorithms; Appointments and Schedules; Business and Management; Econometrics; Estimates; Estimating techniques; General Surgery; Health Administration; Health Informatics; Health Services Research; Hospitals; Humans; Industrial engineering; Management; Mathematical models; Methods; Models, Theoretical; Operating Rooms - organization & administration; Operations research; Operations Research/Decision Theory; Personnel Staffing and Scheduling - organization & administration; Quality of Health Care; Scheduling; Studies; Surgeons; Surgery; Surgery Department, Hospital - organization & administration; Time Factors; EHR data; Operating room planning; Surgical team composition and experience; Health care analytics; Surgery duration estimation

For effective operating room (OR) planning, surgery duration estimation is critical. Overestimation leads to underutilization of expensive hospital resources (e.g., OR time) whereas underestimation leads to overtime and high waiting times for the patients. In this paper, we consider a particular est...