Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing
Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanity&...
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Published in | Population and development review Vol. 38; no. s1; pp. 221 - 242 |
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Main Authors | , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Oxford, UK
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
01.02.2013
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc |
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Abstract | Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanity's pressure will not overwhelm Nature. Beginning with the examples of crops in the large and fast-developing countries of India and China as well as the United States, this essay examine the recent half-century. |
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AbstractList | Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanity's pressure will not overwhelm Nature. Beginning with the examples of crops in the large and fast-developing countries of India and China as well as the United States, we examine the recent half-century. We also look back over the past 150 years when regions like Europe and the United States became the maiden beneficiaries of chemical, biological, and mechanical innovations in agriculture from the Industrial Revolution. Organizing our analysis with the ImPACT identity, we examine the elements contributing to the use of land for crop production, including population, affluence, diet, and the performance of agricultural producers. Adapted from the source document. Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanitys pressure will not overwhelm Nature. Beginning with the examples of crops in the large and fast-developing countries of India and China as well as the United States, we examine the recent half-century. We also look back over the past 150 years when regions like Europe and the United States became the maiden beneficiaries of chemical, biological, and mechanical innovations in agriculture from the Industrial Revolution. Organizing our analysis with the ImPACT identity, we examine the elements contributing to the use of land for crop production, including population, affluence, diet, and the performance of agricultural producers. Reprinted by permission of Population Council Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanity's pressure will not overwhelm Nature. Beginning with the examples of crops in the large and fast-developing countries of India and China as well as the United States, this essay examine the recent half-century. |
Author | Waggoner, Paul E. Ausubel, Jesse H. Wernick, Iddo K. |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Jesse H. surname: Ausubel fullname: Ausubel, Jesse H. – sequence: 2 givenname: Iddo K. surname: Wernick fullname: Wernick, Iddo K. – sequence: 3 givenname: Paul E. surname: Waggoner fullname: Waggoner, Paul E. |
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References_xml | – year: 2011 – volume: 14 start-page: 1863 issue: 10 year: 2010 end-page: 1880 article-title: “Groundwater use for irrigation—a global inventory,” publication-title: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences – year: 2009 – start-page: 51 year: 1994 end-page: 78 – volume: 27 start-page: 239 issue: 2 year: 2001 end-page: 257 article-title: “How much will feeding more and wealthier people encroach on forests?,” publication-title: Population and Development Review – year: 1929 – volume: 6 start-page: e19577 issue: 5 year: 2011 article-title: “A national and international analysis of changing forest density,” publication-title: PLoS ONE – year: 2002 – year: 2010b – year: 2008 – volume: 103 start-page: 17574 issue: 46 year: 2006 end-page: 17579 article-title: “Returning forests analyzed with forest identity” publication-title: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America – year: 2010a – year: 1995 – volume: 51 start-page: 2516 issue: 11 year: 2012 end-page: 2518 article-title: “The nonsense of biofuels,” publication-title: Angewandte Chemie International Edition – year: 1975 – volume: 99 start-page: 7860 issue: 12 year: 2002 end-page: 7865 article-title: “A framework for sustainability science: A renovated IPAT identity,” publication-title: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America – year: 1992 – year: 1993 – year: 1994 – year: 2010 – year: 2012 – volume: 13 start-page: 997 issue: 4 year: 1999 end-page: 1027 article-title: “Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700 to 1992,” publication-title: Global Biogeochemical Cycles – volume-title: “Towards mapping the extent of irrigation in the last century: Time series of irrigated area per country,” year: 2008 ident: e_1_2_1_9_1 contributor: fullname: Freydank Katharina – volume-title: Renewable Fuel Standard: Potential Economic and Environmental Effects of U.S. Biofuel Policy year: 2011 ident: e_1_2_1_20_1 contributor: fullname: National Research Council – volume-title: Global Environmental Outlook 3: Past, Present and Future Perspectives year: 2002 ident: e_1_2_1_29_1 contributor: fullname: United Nations Environment Program – start-page: 51 volume-title: Population, Economic Development, and the Environment year: 1994 ident: e_1_2_1_24_1 contributor: fullname: Sen Amartya K. – volume-title: “World Agriculture: towards 2030/2050—Interim Report,” year: 2012 ident: e_1_2_1_3_1 contributor: fullname: Alexandratos Nikos – volume-title: “How much land can ten billion people spare for Nature?,” year: 1994 ident: e_1_2_1_32_1 contributor: fullname: Waggoner Paul E. – ident: e_1_2_1_34_1 doi: 10.1073/pnas.122235999 – volume-title: “A revealed preference approach to measuring hunger and undernutrition,” year: 2011 ident: e_1_2_1_11_1 contributor: fullname: Jensen Robert T. – ident: e_1_2_1_12_1 doi: 10.1073/pnas.0608343103 – volume-title: From Captivity to Fame or The Life of George Washington Carver year: 1929 ident: e_1_2_1_14_1 contributor: fullname: Merritt Raleigh H. – volume-title: Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices year: 2008 ident: e_1_2_1_27_1 contributor: fullname: Trostle Ronald – volume-title: Global Forest Resources Assessment 2010 year: 2010 ident: e_1_2_1_6_1 contributor: fullname: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – ident: e_1_2_1_13_1 doi: 10.3133/cir1344 – ident: e_1_2_1_19_1 doi: 10.1007/978-1-349-24069-2 – ident: e_1_2_1_31_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_4_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_23_1 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0019577 – volume-title: “Forest resources of the United States, 2007,” year: 2009 ident: e_1_2_1_26_1 contributor: fullname: Smith W. Brad – volume-title: The Ethanol Decade: An Expansion of U.S. Corn Production, 2000–09 year: 2011 ident: e_1_2_1_35_1 contributor: fullname: Wallander Steven – volume-title: “India forestry outlook study,” year: 2009 ident: e_1_2_1_16_1 contributor: fullname: Ministry of Environment and Forests, Government of India – volume-title: Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970 year: 1975 ident: e_1_2_1_30_1 contributor: fullname: US Bureau of the Census – ident: e_1_2_1_18_1 doi: 10.1007/978-1-349-13071-9 – volume-title: Global Forest Resources Assessment 2010: Country Report, China year: 2010 ident: e_1_2_1_7_1 contributor: fullname: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – ident: e_1_2_1_8_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_2_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_22_1 doi: 10.1029/1999GB900046 – volume-title: OECD‐FAO Agricultural Outlook 2011 year: 2011 ident: e_1_2_1_21_1 contributor: fullname: OECD/FAO – ident: e_1_2_1_17_1 doi: 10.1007/978-1-349-12791-7 – ident: e_1_2_1_15_1 doi: 10.1002/anie.201200218 – ident: e_1_2_1_33_1 doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2001.00239.x – volume-title: “Census of India 2011: Rural urban distribution of population (Provisional population totals),” year: 2011 ident: e_1_2_1_5_1 contributor: fullname: Chandramouli C. – ident: e_1_2_1_10_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_25_1 doi: 10.5194/hess-14-1863-2010 – ident: e_1_2_1_28_1 – ident: e_1_2_1_36_1 |
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SubjectTerms | Agricultural industry Agricultural innovations Agricultural land Agricultural Production Calories China Crop production Crops Diet Energy crops ENVIRONMENT, TECHNOLOGY, AND WEALTH Europe Farmlands Farms Food crops Food supply Identity India Industrialization Innovations Land Use Peoples Republic of China Population economics Population growth Sustainable agriculture U.S.A United States of America |
Title | Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing |
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