Taking full advantage of ‘low-quality’ datasets in watershed modeling and management: From a perspective of parameter calibration
The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An eva...
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Published in | Journal of environmental management Vol. 351; p. 119955 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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England
Elsevier Ltd
01.02.2024
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Abstract | The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An evaluation framework for the impact of model calibration data on parameter identifiability, sensitivity, and uncertainty (ISU) was established. Three quantitative and normalized indicators were designed to describe the magnitude of ISU. With the case study of the upper Daqing River watershed, China and the model SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), one ideal dataset without quality flaws and 79 datasets with different types of flaws including observation error, low monitoring frequency, short data duration and low data resolution were evaluated. The result showed that 4 of 13 parameters that control canopy, groundwater and channel processes have higher ISU values, indicating the high identifiability, high sensitivity, and low uncertainty. The largest gap of parameter ISU between dataset with quality flaw and ideal dataset was 0.61 due to short data duration, while the smallest gap was −0.28 due to low monitoring data frequency. Although some defective datasets caused unacceptable calibration results and model output, some defective datasets can still be valuable for model calibration which depends on the hydrological processes of interest when applying the model. Equivalent calibration results were yielded by the datasets with similar statistical properties. When using datasets with traditional defective issues for calibration, a new step checking the consistency among decision goal, representative system process, determinative parameters and calibration datasets is suggested. Practices including process-related data selection, dataset regrouping and risk self-reporting when using low-quality datasets are encouraged to increase the reliability of model-based watershed management.
•An evaluation framework was designed for the influence of calibration data quality.•Three quantitative and normalized indicators were defined to measure parameter ISU.•Defective datasets are still process-dependently valuable for model calibration.•Datasets with similar statistical properties lead to equivalent calibration effects.•Consistency check is suggested when data quality is concerned for management. |
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AbstractList | The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An evaluation framework for the impact of model calibration data on parameter identifiability, sensitivity, and uncertainty (ISU) was established. Three quantitative and normalized indicators were designed to describe the magnitude of ISU. With the case study of the upper Daqing River watershed, China and the model SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), one ideal dataset without quality flaws and 79 datasets with different types of flaws including observation error, low monitoring frequency, short data duration and low data resolution were evaluated. The result showed that 4 of 13 parameters that control canopy, groundwater and channel processes have higher ISU values, indicating the high identifiability, high sensitivity, and low uncertainty. The largest gap of parameter ISU between dataset with quality flaw and ideal dataset was 0.61 due to short data duration, while the smallest gap was -0.28 due to low monitoring data frequency. Although some defective datasets caused unacceptable calibration results and model output, some defective datasets can still be valuable for model calibration which depends on the hydrological processes of interest when applying the model. Equivalent calibration results were yielded by the datasets with similar statistical properties. When using datasets with traditional defective issues for calibration, a new step checking the consistency among decision goal, representative system process, determinative parameters and calibration datasets is suggested. Practices including process-related data selection, dataset regrouping and risk self-reporting when using low-quality datasets are encouraged to increase the reliability of model-based watershed management. The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An evaluation framework for the impact of model calibration data on parameter identifiability, sensitivity, and uncertainty (ISU) was established. Three quantitative and normalized indicators were designed to describe the magnitude of ISU. With the case study of the upper Daqing River watershed, China and the model SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), one ideal dataset without quality flaws and 79 datasets with different types of flaws including observation error, low monitoring frequency, short data duration and low data resolution were evaluated. The result showed that 4 of 13 parameters that control canopy, groundwater and channel processes have higher ISU values, indicating the high identifiability, high sensitivity, and low uncertainty. The largest gap of parameter ISU between dataset with quality flaw and ideal dataset was 0.61 due to short data duration, while the smallest gap was -0.28 due to low monitoring data frequency. Although some defective datasets caused unacceptable calibration results and model output, some defective datasets can still be valuable for model calibration which depends on the hydrological processes of interest when applying the model. Equivalent calibration results were yielded by the datasets with similar statistical properties. When using datasets with traditional defective issues for calibration, a new step checking the consistency among decision goal, representative system process, determinative parameters and calibration datasets is suggested. Practices including process-related data selection, dataset regrouping and risk self-reporting when using low-quality datasets are encouraged to increase the reliability of model-based watershed management.The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An evaluation framework for the impact of model calibration data on parameter identifiability, sensitivity, and uncertainty (ISU) was established. Three quantitative and normalized indicators were designed to describe the magnitude of ISU. With the case study of the upper Daqing River watershed, China and the model SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), one ideal dataset without quality flaws and 79 datasets with different types of flaws including observation error, low monitoring frequency, short data duration and low data resolution were evaluated. The result showed that 4 of 13 parameters that control canopy, groundwater and channel processes have higher ISU values, indicating the high identifiability, high sensitivity, and low uncertainty. The largest gap of parameter ISU between dataset with quality flaw and ideal dataset was 0.61 due to short data duration, while the smallest gap was -0.28 due to low monitoring data frequency. Although some defective datasets caused unacceptable calibration results and model output, some defective datasets can still be valuable for model calibration which depends on the hydrological processes of interest when applying the model. Equivalent calibration results were yielded by the datasets with similar statistical properties. When using datasets with traditional defective issues for calibration, a new step checking the consistency among decision goal, representative system process, determinative parameters and calibration datasets is suggested. Practices including process-related data selection, dataset regrouping and risk self-reporting when using low-quality datasets are encouraged to increase the reliability of model-based watershed management. The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An evaluation framework for the impact of model calibration data on parameter identifiability, sensitivity, and uncertainty (ISU) was established. Three quantitative and normalized indicators were designed to describe the magnitude of ISU. With the case study of the upper Daqing River watershed, China and the model SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), one ideal dataset without quality flaws and 79 datasets with different types of flaws including observation error, low monitoring frequency, short data duration and low data resolution were evaluated. The result showed that 4 of 13 parameters that control canopy, groundwater and channel processes have higher ISU values, indicating the high identifiability, high sensitivity, and low uncertainty. The largest gap of parameter ISU between dataset with quality flaw and ideal dataset was 0.61 due to short data duration, while the smallest gap was −0.28 due to low monitoring data frequency. Although some defective datasets caused unacceptable calibration results and model output, some defective datasets can still be valuable for model calibration which depends on the hydrological processes of interest when applying the model. Equivalent calibration results were yielded by the datasets with similar statistical properties. When using datasets with traditional defective issues for calibration, a new step checking the consistency among decision goal, representative system process, determinative parameters and calibration datasets is suggested. Practices including process-related data selection, dataset regrouping and risk self-reporting when using low-quality datasets are encouraged to increase the reliability of model-based watershed management. The quality of calibration datasets is critical for establishing well-calibrated models for reliable decision-making support. However, the analysis of the influence of calibration dataset quality and the discussion on how to use flawed and/or incomplete datasets are still far from sufficient. An evaluation framework for the impact of model calibration data on parameter identifiability, sensitivity, and uncertainty (ISU) was established. Three quantitative and normalized indicators were designed to describe the magnitude of ISU. With the case study of the upper Daqing River watershed, China and the model SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), one ideal dataset without quality flaws and 79 datasets with different types of flaws including observation error, low monitoring frequency, short data duration and low data resolution were evaluated. The result showed that 4 of 13 parameters that control canopy, groundwater and channel processes have higher ISU values, indicating the high identifiability, high sensitivity, and low uncertainty. The largest gap of parameter ISU between dataset with quality flaw and ideal dataset was 0.61 due to short data duration, while the smallest gap was −0.28 due to low monitoring data frequency. Although some defective datasets caused unacceptable calibration results and model output, some defective datasets can still be valuable for model calibration which depends on the hydrological processes of interest when applying the model. Equivalent calibration results were yielded by the datasets with similar statistical properties. When using datasets with traditional defective issues for calibration, a new step checking the consistency among decision goal, representative system process, determinative parameters and calibration datasets is suggested. Practices including process-related data selection, dataset regrouping and risk self-reporting when using low-quality datasets are encouraged to increase the reliability of model-based watershed management. •An evaluation framework was designed for the influence of calibration data quality.•Three quantitative and normalized indicators were defined to measure parameter ISU.•Defective datasets are still process-dependently valuable for model calibration.•Datasets with similar statistical properties lead to equivalent calibration effects.•Consistency check is suggested when data quality is concerned for management. |
ArticleNumber | 119955 |
Author | Sun, Fu Rong, Yi Du, Pengfei Qin, Chengxin Yen, Haw Zeng, Siyu |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Yi surname: Rong fullname: Rong, Yi organization: Tsinghua University, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Chengxin surname: Qin fullname: Qin, Chengxin organization: Tsinghua University, China – sequence: 3 givenname: Haw orcidid: 0000-0002-5509-8792 surname: Yen fullname: Yen, Haw organization: Environmental Exposure Modeling, Regulatory Science North America, Bayer US Crop Science Division, Chesterfield, 63017, USA – sequence: 4 givenname: Fu surname: Sun fullname: Sun, Fu organization: Tsinghua University, China – sequence: 5 givenname: Pengfei surname: Du fullname: Du, Pengfei organization: Tsinghua University, China – sequence: 6 givenname: Siyu surname: Zeng fullname: Zeng, Siyu email: szeng@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn organization: Tsinghua University, China |
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Cites_doi | 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000991 10.1080/1369118X.2012.678878 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.03.029 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.05.012 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.040 10.1007/s40808-017-0328-6 10.1002/2015WR017635 10.1525/elementa.431 10.5194/hess-22-5001-2018 10.1029/WR011i003p00405 10.13031/2013.27886 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127093 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000421 10.1049/rpg2.12027 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141731 10.5194/hess-21-5293-2017 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1998.tb05961.x 10.5194/hess-13-883-2009 10.1080/02626667.2015.1031761 10.1007/s11269-021-02774-x 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.07.007 10.5194/hess-21-3325-2017 10.1007/s40710-015-0064-8 10.1029/2009WR007706 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124114 10.1007/s40808-020-00978-5 10.1080/02626667.2010.504677 10.1093/bioinformatics/btp358 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.01.004 10.2166/nh.2017.197 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.09.027 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.01.041 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.02.008 10.11648/j.wros.20200901.14 10.1007/s12665-012-2154-5 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105235 10.1007/s00267-015-0636-4 10.1002/hyp.7587 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.03.001 10.1002/hyp.3360060305 10.1016/j.jcp.2019.06.032 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126184 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125098 10.1016/j.watres.2019.04.016 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.01.004 10.2134/jeq2000.00472425002900040019x 10.1002/hyp.11300 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.05.084 |
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Title | Taking full advantage of ‘low-quality’ datasets in watershed modeling and management: From a perspective of parameter calibration |
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