Crude oil price analysis and forecasting: A perspective of “new triangle” - Lu, Quanying; Li, Yuze; Chai, Jian; Wang, Shouyang (Energy economics, 2020)
Keywords: Bayesian analysis; Bayesian model average; Crude oil; Crude oil prices; Data; Data search; Dynamic Bayesian structural time series model; Economic crisis; Energy economics; Financial market; Google trend; Kalman filtering; Oil; Petroleum; Predictions; Shale; Shale oil; Spike and slab prior; Supply & demand; Time series; Turning points; Google trend; C53; C11; C22; Q4; Crude oil; Dynamic Bayesian structural time series model; Bayesian model average; C15; Spike and slab prior; Kalman filtering; C2