Revisiting hurricane track model for wind risk assessment

• Published in: Structural safety Vol. 87; p. 102003
• Main Authors: Snaiki, Reda, Wu, Teng
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Amsterdam Elsevier Ltd 01.11.2020; Elsevier BV
• Subjects: Decay; Hurricane size; Hurricane track; Hurricane tracking; Hurricanes; Intensity model; Probabilistic methods; Risk analysis; Risk assessment; Simulation; Statistical analysis; Trajectory analysis; Translation; Wind; Wind directionality; Wind effects; Wind speed; Wind directionality; Intensity model; Risk analysis; Hurricane size; Hurricane track

•A novel physics-based hurricane intensity model controlled by growth and decay terms is developed.•The important wind directionality effect on simulated hurricane wind speed is highlighted.•The joint annual exceedance probability of hurricane surface wind speed and size can be efficiently obtained....