Agricultural products price prediction based on improved RBF neural network model

• Published in: Applied artificial intelligence Vol. 37; no. 1
• Main Author: Wang, Yijia
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Philadelphia Taylor & Francis 31.12.2023; Taylor & Francis Ltd; Taylor & Francis Group
• Subjects: Forecasting; Garlic; Market prices; Mathematical models; Neural networks; Pork; Pricing; Raw materials; Social security; Statistical methods; China
• ISSN: 0883-9514; 1087-6545
• DOI: 10.1080/08839514.2023.2204600

The agricultural products price has been affecting people's livelihood issues and economic and social security and stability. The cyclical fluctuation of the price of agricultural products often indirectly affects the inner psychological demand of agricultural consumers. If the prices of production and processing industries, which rely on cheap raw materials as basic raw materials, are subject to frequent and abnormal fluctuations, it is likely to cause further widespread concerns about people's lives, and ultimately lead to a vicious cycle of falling commodity prices. In recent years, as a result of lack of timely authoritative information all the time, the market price of agricultural products appeared a lot of varieties before short-term rise and fall repeatedly phenomenon. This paper attempts to take the quantity of garlic produced and sold by pork in China as the key object of analysis and research, and analyzes the level of market price index and the main factors influencing the price of pork sales and edible garlic demand in China in recent ten years. In information economics, financial market theory, statistical methods and other relevant mathematical model as the main guidance, combined with China's agricultural prices during the period of policy, select the RBF neural network theory and the analysis methods for technical improvements, in a variety of market factors affecting economic operation under the mixed operation China period in our country agricultural prices technology wave prediction rule, broken Based on the traditional artificial statistics and forecasting model method of agricultural product price, the short-term forecasting model of Chinese agricultural product market price theory based on information technology innovation method was established.