An Unscented Kalman Filter Approach to the Estimation of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems Models

In the past several decades, methodologies used to estimate nonlinear relationships among latent variables have been developed almost exclusively to fit cross-sectional models. We present a relatively new estimation approach, the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and illustrate its potential as a tool...

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Published inMultivariate behavioral research Vol. 42; no. 2; pp. 283 - 321
Main Authors Chow, Sy-Miin, Ferrer, Emilio, Nesselroade, John R.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published United States Taylor & Francis Group 01.04.2007
Lawrence Erlbaum
Taylor & Francis Ltd
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ISSN0027-3171
1532-7906
DOI10.1080/00273170701360423

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Abstract In the past several decades, methodologies used to estimate nonlinear relationships among latent variables have been developed almost exclusively to fit cross-sectional models. We present a relatively new estimation approach, the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and illustrate its potential as a tool for fitting nonlinear dynamic models in two ways: (1) as a building block for approximating the log-likelihood of nonlinear state-space models and (2) to fit time-varying dynamic models wherein parameters are represented and estimated online as other latent variables. Furthermore, the substantive utility of the UKF is demonstrated using simulated examples of (1) the classical predator-prey model with time series and multiple-subject data, (2) the chaotic Lorenz system and (3) an empirical example of dyadic interaction.
AbstractList In the past several decades, methodologies used to estimate nonlinear relationships among latent variables have been developed almost exclusively to fit cross-sectional models. We present a relatively new estimation approach, the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and illustrate its potential as a tool for fitting nonlinear dynamic models in two ways: (1) as a building block for approximating the log-likelihood of nonlinear state-space models and (2) to fit time-varying dynamic models wherein parameters are represented and estimated online as other latent variables. Furthermore, the substantive utility of the UKF is demonstrated using simulated examples of (1) the classical predator-prey model with time series and multiple-subject data, (2) the chaotic Lorenz system and (3) an empirical example of dyadic interaction.
In the past several decades, methodologies used to estimate nonlinear relationships among latent variables have been developed almost exclusively to fit cross-sectional models. We present a relatively new estimation approach, the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and illustrate its potential as a tool for fitting nonlinear dynamic models in two ways: (1) as a building block for approximating the log--likelihood of nonlinear state--space models and (2) to fit time-varying dynamic models wherein parameters are represented and estimated online as other latent variables. Furthermore, the substantive utility of the UKF is demonstrated using simulated examples of (1) the classical predator-prey model with time series and multiple-subject data, (2) the chaotic Lorenz system and (3) an empirical example of dyadic interaction. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
Author Nesselroade, John R.
Ferrer, Emilio
Chow, Sy-Miin
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Snippet In the past several decades, methodologies used to estimate nonlinear relationships among latent variables have been developed almost exclusively to fit...
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SubjectTerms Behavioral sciences
Estimating techniques
Item Response Theory
Latent Variables
Multivariate analysis
Research methodology
Statistical methods
Title An Unscented Kalman Filter Approach to the Estimation of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems Models
URI https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00273170701360423
http://eric.ed.gov/ERICWebPortal/detail?accno=EJ772339
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26765489
https://www.proquest.com/docview/230698793
https://www.proquest.com/docview/1760882873
Volume 42
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