The perpetual state of emergency that sacrifices protected areas in a changing climate

• Published in: Conservation biology Vol. 32; no. 4; pp. 905 - 915
• Main Authors: Twidwell, Dirac, Wonkka, Carissa L., Bielski, Christine H., Allen, Craig R., Angeler, David G., Drozda, Jacob, Garmestani, Ahjond S., Johnson, Julia, Powell, Larkin A., Roberts, Caleb P.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States Wiley Blackwell, Inc 01.08.2018; Blackwell Publishing Ltd
• Subjects: Agriculture; Annual rainfall; análisis de escenarios; Atmospheric precipitations; Biology; Biomass; Buffers; cambio climático; Climate; Climate change; Climate Research; Conservation; conservation areas; Conservation biology; Conservation Reserve Program; Conservation Reserve Program (CRP); CRP; Emergencies; emergency haying and grazing; Emissions; Environmental changes; Environmental Sciences related to Agriculture and Land-use; Grandes Planicies; Grasslands; Great Plains; Great Plains region; growing season; guidelines; Harvest; Harvesting; Impact analysis; issues and policy; Klimatforskning; Miljö- och naturvårdsvetenskap; Mitigation; no inmovilidad; nonstationarity; Norms; pastoreo y alimentación con heno por emergencia; Plains; Policies; policy threshold; Precipitation; Programa de Reservas para Reservas (CRP); Protected areas; Rain; Rainfall; Removal; scenario analysis; umbral de políticas; wildlife management; áreas protegidas; 保护地; 北美大平原; 土地休耕保护计划; 情景分析; 政策门槛; 气候变化; 紧急割草和放牧; 非稳定状态; Great Plains; Great Plains region; CRP; umbral de políticas; pastoreo y alimentación con heno por emergencia; nonstationarity; 北美大平原; 紧急割草和放牧; Conservation Reserve Program (CRP); áreas protegidas; 非稳定状态; 政策门槛; 保护地; scenario analysis; cambio climático; 气候变化; 情景分析; climate change; Programa de Reservas para Reservas (CRP); policy threshold; 土地休耕保护计划; Great Plains; análisis de escenarios; no inmovilidad; protected areas; Grandes Planicies; emergency haying and grazing

A modern challenge for conservation biology is to assess the consequences of policies that adhere to assumptions of stationarity (e.g., historic norms) in an era of global environmental change. Such policies may result in unexpected and surprising levels of mitigation given future climate-change tra...