Phase‐Locked Rossby Wave‐4 Pattern Dominates the 2022‐Like Concurrent Heat Extremes Across the Northern Hemisphere
Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase‐locking behavior in Wave‐4 pattern, particularly afte...
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Published in | Geophysical research letters Vol. 51; no. 4 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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Washington
John Wiley & Sons, Inc
28.02.2024
Wiley |
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Abstract | Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase‐locking behavior in Wave‐4 pattern, particularly after mid‐1990s, giving rise to a prominent CHE mode akin to heat extreme pattern observed in 2022, which swept most NH regions. Wave‐4 pattern significantly amplifies the likelihood of CHEs in Eastern Europe (∼30%), Northeast Asia (∼25%), and northwestern coast of North America (∼15%), while reducing the likelihood in central North America and northern Central Asia. During 1979–2022, the identified pattern accounted for over 69.7% of the trends in heat extremes over the mid‐high latitudes of the NH, directly exposing approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes. Observations and simulations indicate that radiation anomalies over Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as primary forcing sources for Wave‐4 pattern.
Plain Language Summary
Researchers have found that concurrent heat extremes are becoming more common in the Northern Hemisphere. This study discovered that a specific weather pattern, called as Wave‐4, became more prominent after the mid‐1990s and is linked to these heat extremes. This pattern increases the probability of heatwave occurrences in Eastern Europe, Northeast Asia, and northwestern coast of North America while decreasing them in central North America and northern Central Asia. Between 1979 and 2022, the identified Wave‐4 pattern contributed to more than two‐thirds of the increase in heat extremes in the northern hemisphere, affecting around 333.5 million people. It is also determined that unusual radiation levels over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain are significant factors contributing to the Wave‐4 pattern. This information helps us better understand the causes and characteristics of heat extremes in different parts of the world.
Key Points
The Phase‐locked Rossby wave‐4 pattern dominates the concurrent heat extremes across the Northern Hemisphere
The identified pattern exposed approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes
Radiation anomalies over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as forcing sources of the pattern |
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AbstractList | Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase‐locking behavior in Wave‐4 pattern, particularly after mid‐1990s, giving rise to a prominent CHE mode akin to heat extreme pattern observed in 2022, which swept most NH regions. Wave‐4 pattern significantly amplifies the likelihood of CHEs in Eastern Europe (∼30%), Northeast Asia (∼25%), and northwestern coast of North America (∼15%), while reducing the likelihood in central North America and northern Central Asia. During 1979–2022, the identified pattern accounted for over 69.7% of the trends in heat extremes over the mid‐high latitudes of the NH, directly exposing approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes. Observations and simulations indicate that radiation anomalies over Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as primary forcing sources for Wave‐4 pattern.
Plain Language Summary
Researchers have found that concurrent heat extremes are becoming more common in the Northern Hemisphere. This study discovered that a specific weather pattern, called as Wave‐4, became more prominent after the mid‐1990s and is linked to these heat extremes. This pattern increases the probability of heatwave occurrences in Eastern Europe, Northeast Asia, and northwestern coast of North America while decreasing them in central North America and northern Central Asia. Between 1979 and 2022, the identified Wave‐4 pattern contributed to more than two‐thirds of the increase in heat extremes in the northern hemisphere, affecting around 333.5 million people. It is also determined that unusual radiation levels over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain are significant factors contributing to the Wave‐4 pattern. This information helps us better understand the causes and characteristics of heat extremes in different parts of the world.
Key Points
The Phase‐locked Rossby wave‐4 pattern dominates the concurrent heat extremes across the Northern Hemisphere
The identified pattern exposed approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes
Radiation anomalies over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as forcing sources of the pattern Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase‐locking behavior in Wave‐4 pattern, particularly after mid‐1990s, giving rise to a prominent CHE mode akin to heat extreme pattern observed in 2022, which swept most NH regions. Wave‐4 pattern significantly amplifies the likelihood of CHEs in Eastern Europe (∼30%), Northeast Asia (∼25%), and northwestern coast of North America (∼15%), while reducing the likelihood in central North America and northern Central Asia. During 1979–2022, the identified pattern accounted for over 69.7% of the trends in heat extremes over the mid‐high latitudes of the NH, directly exposing approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes. Observations and simulations indicate that radiation anomalies over Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as primary forcing sources for Wave‐4 pattern. Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid-high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase-locking behavior in Wave-4 pattern, particularly after mid-1990s, giving rise to a prominent CHE mode akin to heat extreme pattern observed in 2022, which swept most NH regions. Wave-4 pattern significantly amplifies the likelihood of CHEs in Eastern Europe (similar to 30%), Northeast Asia (similar to 25%), and northwestern coast of North America (similar to 15%), while reducing the likelihood in central North America and northern Central Asia. During 1979-2022, the identified pattern accounted for over 69.7% of the trends in heat extremes over the mid-high latitudes of the NH, directly exposing approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes. Observations and simulations indicate that radiation anomalies over Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as primary forcing sources for Wave-4 pattern. Researchers have found that concurrent heat extremes are becoming more common in the Northern Hemisphere. This study discovered that a specific weather pattern, called as Wave-4, became more prominent after the mid-1990s and is linked to these heat extremes. This pattern increases the probability of heatwave occurrences in Eastern Europe, Northeast Asia, and northwestern coast of North America while decreasing them in central North America and northern Central Asia. Between 1979 and 2022, the identified Wave-4 pattern contributed to more than two-thirds of the increase in heat extremes in the northern hemisphere, affecting around 333.5 million people. It is also determined that unusual radiation levels over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain are significant factors contributing to the Wave-4 pattern. This information helps us better understand the causes and characteristics of heat extremes in different parts of the world. The Phase-locked Rossby wave-4 pattern dominates the concurrent heat extremes across the Northern Hemisphere The identified pattern exposed approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes Radiation anomalies over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as forcing sources of the pattern Abstract Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase‐locking behavior in Wave‐4 pattern, particularly after mid‐1990s, giving rise to a prominent CHE mode akin to heat extreme pattern observed in 2022, which swept most NH regions. Wave‐4 pattern significantly amplifies the likelihood of CHEs in Eastern Europe (∼30%), Northeast Asia (∼25%), and northwestern coast of North America (∼15%), while reducing the likelihood in central North America and northern Central Asia. During 1979–2022, the identified pattern accounted for over 69.7% of the trends in heat extremes over the mid‐high latitudes of the NH, directly exposing approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes. Observations and simulations indicate that radiation anomalies over Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as primary forcing sources for Wave‐4 pattern. Plain Language Summary Researchers have found that concurrent heat extremes are becoming more common in the Northern Hemisphere. This study discovered that a specific weather pattern, called as Wave‐4, became more prominent after the mid‐1990s and is linked to these heat extremes. This pattern increases the probability of heatwave occurrences in Eastern Europe, Northeast Asia, and northwestern coast of North America while decreasing them in central North America and northern Central Asia. Between 1979 and 2022, the identified Wave‐4 pattern contributed to more than two‐thirds of the increase in heat extremes in the northern hemisphere, affecting around 333.5 million people. It is also determined that unusual radiation levels over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain are significant factors contributing to the Wave‐4 pattern. This information helps us better understand the causes and characteristics of heat extremes in different parts of the world. Key Points The Phase‐locked Rossby wave‐4 pattern dominates the concurrent heat extremes across the Northern Hemisphere The identified pattern exposed approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes Radiation anomalies over the Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as forcing sources of the pattern Abstract Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to comprehend their spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying causes. Here we reveal a phase‐locking behavior in Wave‐4 pattern, particularly after mid‐1990s, giving rise to a prominent CHE mode akin to heat extreme pattern observed in 2022, which swept most NH regions. Wave‐4 pattern significantly amplifies the likelihood of CHEs in Eastern Europe (∼30%), Northeast Asia (∼25%), and northwestern coast of North America (∼15%), while reducing the likelihood in central North America and northern Central Asia. During 1979–2022, the identified pattern accounted for over 69.7% of the trends in heat extremes over the mid‐high latitudes of the NH, directly exposing approximately 333.5 million people to heat extremes. Observations and simulations indicate that radiation anomalies over Eastern European Plain and West Siberian Plain play pivotal roles as primary forcing sources for Wave‐4 pattern. |
Author | Iyakaremye, Vedaste Zeng, Gang Chen, Deliang Zhang, Shiyue Wang, Wei‐Chyung Yang, Xiaoye Shen, Cheng |
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Snippet | Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to... Abstract Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid‐high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need... Concurrent heat extremes (CHEs) are becoming increasingly common in the mid-high latitudes across the Northern Hemisphere (NH), underscoring the need to... |
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SubjectTerms | concurrent heat extreme Extreme heat Geologi Geology Heat Heat waves Latitude Northern Hemisphere Planetary waves Probability theory Radiation Radiation measurement Rossby waves summer Weather patterns |
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Title | Phase‐Locked Rossby Wave‐4 Pattern Dominates the 2022‐Like Concurrent Heat Extremes Across the Northern Hemisphere |
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