Prediction of drought trigger thresholds for future winter wheat yield losses in China based on the DSSAT-CERES-Wheat model and Copula conditional probabilities

• Published in: Agricultural water management Vol. 299; p. 108881
• Main Authors: Yang, Cuiping, Liu, Changhong, Liu, Yanxin, Gao, Yunhe, Xing, Xuguang, Ma, Xiaoyi
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier B.V 30.06.2024; Elsevier
• Subjects: adverse effects; algorithms; China; climate; climate change; Conditional probability; crop yield; drought; Drought trigger threshold; DSSAT-CERES-Wheat; Future climate change; prediction; resource allocation; risk; risk management; temperature; water management; winter wheat; Yield loss; China; DSSAT-CERES-Wheat; Conditional probability; Future climate change; Yield loss; Drought trigger threshold

Predicting the risk of diminished wheat yields caused by drought under future climate change climate is essential for the long-term sustainability of agriculture. Although studies have explored the relationship between drought and crop yield loss, the precise thresholds triggering yield losses in th...