Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude...

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Published inEarth system science data Vol. 15; no. 6; pp. 2295 - 2327
Main Authors Forster, Piers M., Smith, Christopher J., Walsh, Tristram, Lamb, William F., Lamboll, Robin, Hauser, Mathias, Ribes, Aurélien, Rosen, Debbie, Gillett, Nathan, Palmer, Matthew D., Rogelj, Joeri, von Schuckmann, Karina, Seneviratne, Sonia I., Trewin, Blair, Zhang, Xuebin, Allen, Myles, Andrew, Robbie, Birt, Arlene, Borger, Alex, Boyer, Tim, Broersma, Jiddu A., Cheng, Lijing, Dentener, Frank, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Gutiérrez, José M., Gütschow, Johannes, Hall, Bradley, Ishii, Masayoshi, Jenkins, Stuart, Lan, Xin, Lee, June-Yi, Morice, Colin, Kadow, Christopher, Kennedy, John, Killick, Rachel, Minx, Jan C., Naik, Vaishali, Peters, Glen P., Pirani, Anna, Pongratz, Julia, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Szopa, Sophie, Thorne, Peter, Rohde, Robert, Rojas Corradi, Maisa, Schumacher, Dominik, Vose, Russell, Zickfeld, Kirsten, Masson-Delmotte, Valérie, Zhai, Panmao
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 08.06.2023
Copernicus Publications
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Abstract Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, surface temperature changes, the Earth's energy imbalance, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open data, open science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8000192, Smith et al., 2023a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel. The indicators show that human-induced warming reached 1.14 [0.9 to 1.4] ∘C averaged over the 2013–2022 decade and 1.26 [1.0 to 1.6] ∘C in 2022. Over the 2013–2022 period, human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2 ∘C per decade. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 54 ± 5.3 GtCO2e over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have slowed, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for human influence on climate.
AbstractList Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5-10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles.We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, surface temperature changes, the Earth's energy imbalance, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open data, open science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain (10.5281/zenodo.8000192, Smith et al., 2023a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel.The indicators show that human-induced warming reached 1.14 [0.9 to 1.4] ∘C averaged over the 2013–2022 decade and 1.26 [1.0 to 1.6] ∘C in 2022. Over the 2013–2022 period, human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2 ∘C per decade. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 54 ± 5.3 GtCO2e over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have slowed, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for human influence on climate.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5-10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, surface temperature changes, the Earth's energy imbalance, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open data, open science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain ( The indicators show that human-induced warming reached 1.14 [0.9 to 1.4] .sup." C averaged over the 2013-2022 decade and 1.26 [1.0 to 1.6] .sup." C in 2022. Over the 2013-2022 period, human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2 .sup." C per decade. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 54 ± 5.3 GtCO.sub.2 e over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have slowed, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for human influence on climate.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, surface temperature changes, the Earth's energy imbalance, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open data, open science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8000192, Smith et al., 2023a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel. The indicators show that human-induced warming reached 1.14 [0.9 to 1.4] ∘C averaged over the 2013–2022 decade and 1.26 [1.0 to 1.6] ∘C in 2022. Over the 2013–2022 period, human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2 ∘C per decade. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 54 ± 5.3 GtCO2e over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have slowed, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for human influence on climate.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. We follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, surface temperature changes, the Earth's energy imbalance, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort, grounded in an open data, open science approach, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain ( https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8000192 , Smith et al., 2023a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel. The indicators show that human-induced warming reached 1.14 [0.9 to 1.4]  ∘ C averaged over the 2013–2022 decade and 1.26 [1.0 to 1.6]  ∘ C in 2022. Over the 2013–2022 period, human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2  ∘ C per decade. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 54  ±  5.3 GtCO 2 e over the last decade, as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have slowed, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for human influence on climate.
Audience Academic
Author Rogelj, Joeri
Borger, Alex
Masson-Delmotte, Valérie
Rosen, Debbie
Jenkins, Stuart
Rojas Corradi, Maisa
von Schuckmann, Karina
Peters, Glen P.
Zhang, Xuebin
Lamb, William F.
Smith, Christopher J.
Ribes, Aurélien
Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
Minx, Jan C.
Palmer, Matthew D.
Boyer, Tim
Pirani, Anna
Gutiérrez, José M.
Birt, Arlene
Kadow, Christopher
Lamboll, Robin
Naik, Vaishali
Friedlingstein, Pierre
Dentener, Frank
Thorne, Peter
Hauser, Mathias
Allen, Myles
Rohde, Robert
Schumacher, Dominik
Zickfeld, Kirsten
Broersma, Jiddu A.
Kennedy, John
Lee, June-Yi
Morice, Colin
Killick, Rachel
Walsh, Tristram
Vose, Russell
Trewin, Blair
Forster, Piers M.
Seneviratne, Sonia I.
Zhai, Panmao
Gütschow, Johannes
Pongratz, Julia
Cheng, Lijing
Andrew, Robbie
Hall, Bradley
Lan, Xin
Szopa, Sophie
Gillett, Nathan
Ishii, Masayoshi
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Snippet Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the...
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SubjectTerms Air pollution
Carbon
Carbon budget
Climate change
Climate system
Continental interfaces, environment
Datasets
Decision making
Direction
Economic indicators
Emissions
Estimates
Gases
Global climate
Global temperature changes
Global temperatures
Global warming
Greenhouse effect
Greenhouse gases
Human influences
Indicators
Initiatives
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
International organizations
Methods
Negotiations
Ocean, Atmosphere
Paris Agreement
Precipitation
Public domain
Radiative forcing
Science
Sciences of the Universe
Surface temperature
Temperature
Temperature changes
Temperature extremes
Trends
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Title Indicators of Global Climate Change 2022: annual update of large-scale indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence
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https://hal.science/hal-04199069
https://doaj.org/article/e952f4d56e24497ca4d925f11b488255
Volume 15
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