Disagreement and Evidential Attenuation
What sort of doxastic response is rational to learning that one disagrees with an epistemic peer who has evaluated the same evidence? I argue that even weak general recommendations run the risk of being incompatible with a pair of real epistemic phenomena, what I call evidential attenuation and evid...
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Published in | Noûs (Bloomington, Indiana) Vol. 47; no. 4; pp. 767 - 794 |
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Main Author | |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Malden, MA
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
01.12.2013
Wiley Blackwell Wiley-Blackwell |
Subjects | |
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Abstract | What sort of doxastic response is rational to learning that one disagrees with an epistemic peer who has evaluated the same evidence? I argue that even weak general recommendations run the risk of being incompatible with a pair of real epistemic phenomena, what I call evidential attenuation and evidential amplification. I focus on a popular and intuitive view of disagreement, the equal weight view. I take it to state that in cases of peer disagreement, a subject ought to end up equally confident that her own opinion is correct as that the opinion of her peer is. I say why we should regard the equal weight view as a synchronie constraint on (prior) credence functions. I then spell out a trilemma for the view: it violates what are intuitively correct updates (also leading to violations of conditionalisation), it poses implausible restrictions on prior credence functions, or it is non-substantive. The sorts of reasons why the equal weight view fails apply to other views as well: there is no blanket answer to the question of how a subject should adjust her opinions in cases of peer disagreement. |
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AbstractList | What sort of doxastic response is rational to learning that one disagrees with an epistemic peer who has evaluated the same evidence? I argue that even weak general recommendations run the risk of being incompatible with a pair of real epistemic phenomena, what I call
evidential attenuation
and
evidential amplification
. I focus on a popular and intuitive view of disagreement, the equal weight view. I take it to state that in cases of peer disagreement, a subject ought to end up equally confident that her own opinion is correct as that the opinion of her peer is. I say why we should regard the equal weight view as a synchronic constraint on (prior) credence functions. I then spell out a trilemma for the view: it violates what are intuitively correct updates (also leading to violations of conditionalisation), it poses implausible restrictions on prior credence functions, or it is non‐substantive. The sorts of reasons why the equal weight view fails apply to other views as well: there is no blanket answer to the question of how a subject should adjust her opinions in cases of peer disagreement. What sort of doxastic response is rational to learning that one disagrees with an epistemic peer who has evaluated the same evidence? I argue that even weak general recommendations run the risk of being incompatible with a pair of real epistemic phenomena, what I call evidential attenuation and evidential amplification. I focus on a popular and intuitive view of disagreement, the equal weight view. I take it to state that in cases of peer disagreement, a subject ought to end up equally confident that her own opinion is correct as that the opinion of her peer is. I say why we should regard the equal weight view as a synchronic constraint on (prior) credence functions. I then spell out a trilemma for the view: it violates what are intuitively correct updates (also leading to violations of conditionalisation), it poses implausible restrictions on prior credence functions, or it is non‐substantive. The sorts of reasons why the equal weight view fails apply to other views as well: there is no blanket answer to the question of how a subject should adjust her opinions in cases of peer disagreement. What sort of doxastic response is rational to learning that one disagrees with an epistemic peer who has evaluated the same evidence? I argue that even weak general recommendations run the risk of being incompatible with a pair of real epistemic phenomena, what I call evidential attenuation and evidential amplification. I focus on a popular and intuitive view of disagreement, the equal weight view. I take it to state that in cases of peer disagreement, a subject ought to end up equally confident that her own opinion is correct as that the opinion of her peer is. I say why we should regard the equal weight view as a synchronie constraint on (prior) credence functions. I then spell out a trilemma for the view: it violates what are intuitively correct updates (also leading to violations of conditionalisation), it poses implausible restrictions on prior credence functions, or it is non-substantive. The sorts of reasons why the equal weight view fails apply to other views as well: there is no blanket answer to the question of how a subject should adjust her opinions in cases of peer disagreement. What sort of doxastic response is rational to learning that one disagrees with an epistemic peer who has evaluated the same evidence? I argue that even weak general recommendations run the risk of being incompatible with a pair of real epistemic phenomena, what I call evidential attenuation and evidential amplification. I focus on a popular and intuitive view of disagreement, the equal weight view. I take it to state that in cases of peer disagreement, a subject ought to end up equally confident that her own opinion is correct as that the opinion of her peer is. I say why we should regard the equal weight view as a synchronic constraint on (prior) credence functions. I then spell out a trilemma for the view: it violates what are intuitively correct updates (also leading to violations of conditionalisation), it poses implausible restrictions on prior credence functions, or it is non-substantive. The sorts of reasons why the equal weight view fails apply to other views as well: there is no blanket answer to the question of how a subject should adjust her opinions in cases of peer disagreement. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT] |
Author | Lasonen-Aarnio, Maria |
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Cites_doi | 10.1111/j.1933-1592.2010.00366.x 10.3366/E1742360009000689 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199226078.003.0008 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199264933.003.0012 10.1215/00318108-2006-035 10.1016/0010-0285(72)90016-3 10.1111/j.1468-0068.2007.00656.x 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199226078.003.0007 10.1093/oso/9780199285891.003.0007 10.1111/j.1520-8583.2005.00055.x 10.3366/E1742360009000719 10.1111/j.1520-8583.2010.00187.x |
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References | Christensen, D. (2011) "Disagreement, Question-Begging and Epistemic Self-Criticism", Philosopher's Imprint 11(6): 1-22. Jehle, D. and B. Fitelson (2009) "What is the 'Equal Weight View'?", Episteme 6: 280-293. Feldman, R. (2005) "Respecting the Evidence", Philosophical Perspectives 19: 95-119. Christensen, D. (2010a) "Higher-Order Evidence", Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 81(1): 185-215. Christensen, D. (2007) "Epistemology of Disagreement: The Good News", Philosophical Review 116: 187-217. Lasonen-Aarnio, M. (forthcoming) "Higher-Order Evidence and the Limits of Defeat", Philosophy and Phenomenological Research Christensen, D. (2010b) "Rational Reflection", Philosophical Perspectives, 24: 121-140. Kahneman, D. & Tversky A. (1972) "Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness", Cognitive Psychology 3(3): 430-454. Kelly, T. (2005) "The Epistemic Significance of Disagreement", Oxford Studies in Epistemology 1: 167-196. Elga, A. (2007) "Reflection and Disagreement", Noûs 41: 478-502. White, R. (2009) "On Treating Oneself and Others as Thermometers", Episteme 6(3): 233-250. Williamson, T. (2000) Knowledge and Its Limits, Oxford: Oxford University Press. 2010a; 81 2005; 19 2007; 116 2000 2010 2008 2011; 11 2007 2006 2005; 1 2009; 6 2007; 41 2010b; 24 1972; 3 e_1_2_11_10_1 e_1_2_11_13_1 e_1_2_11_8_1 e_1_2_11_11_1 e_1_2_11_7_1 Christensen D. (e_1_2_11_5_1) 2011; 11 e_1_2_11_6_1 Feldman R. (e_1_2_11_9_1) 2006 e_1_2_11_17_1 Kelly T. (e_1_2_11_12_1) 2005; 1 Lasonen‐Aarnio M. (e_1_2_11_14_1) e_1_2_11_16_1 e_1_2_11_4_1 e_1_2_11_15_1 e_1_2_11_3_1 e_1_2_11_2_1 Williamson T. (e_1_2_11_18_1) 2000 e_1_2_11_19_1 |
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