Association between one‐time prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) test with free/total PSA ratio and prostate cancer mortality: A 30‐year prospective cohort study

Objectives To explore if there is a long‐term association between baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long‐term (30‐year) risk for prostate cancer death. Subjects and methods In all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years...

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Published inBJU international Vol. 128; no. 4; pp. 490 - 496
Main Authors Lundgren, Per‐Olof, Kjellman, Anders, Norming, Ulf, Gustafsson, Ove
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published England Wiley Subscription Services, Inc 01.10.2021
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Abstract Objectives To explore if there is a long‐term association between baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long‐term (30‐year) risk for prostate cancer death. Subjects and methods In all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years later, frozen plasma samples were used to calculate the ratio of free to total PSA (f/t PSA). At 30‐year follow‐up, baseline PSA and f/t PSA were compared with recent data extracts from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry and Swedish Cancer Registry. PSA values and f/t PSA values were treated as continuous variables in a multivariable analysis and also stratified according to their distribution and useful clinical thresholds. Results Risk of death from prostate cancer after 30 years of follow‐up was significantly increased with a higher baseline PSA level, with the hazard ratio being 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03–1.09) per increase of one unit of PSA. Adding f/t PSA increased the model's ability to discriminate (concordance index 0.84–0.88). Men with PSA levels <1.0 ng/mL had a very low long‐term risk of prostate cancer death (1.2% risk). An f/t PSA ≥ 0.25 extended the low‐risk range to PSA < 2.0 ng/mL (1.5% risk). Conclusion Prostate‐specific antigen testing can be carried out less frequently or can be discontinued in men aged 55–70 years if their PSA levels are <2.0 ng/mL and the f/t PSA is ≥0.25.
AbstractList To explore if there is a long-term association between baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long-term (30-year) risk for prostate cancer death.OBJECTIVESTo explore if there is a long-term association between baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long-term (30-year) risk for prostate cancer death.In all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years later, frozen plasma samples were used to calculate the ratio of free to total PSA (f/t PSA). At 30-year follow-up, baseline PSA and f/t PSA were compared with recent data extracts from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry and Swedish Cancer Registry. PSA values and f/t PSA values were treated as continuous variables in a multivariable analysis and also stratified according to their distribution and useful clinical thresholds.SUBJECTS AND METHODSIn all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years later, frozen plasma samples were used to calculate the ratio of free to total PSA (f/t PSA). At 30-year follow-up, baseline PSA and f/t PSA were compared with recent data extracts from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry and Swedish Cancer Registry. PSA values and f/t PSA values were treated as continuous variables in a multivariable analysis and also stratified according to their distribution and useful clinical thresholds.Risk of death from prostate cancer after 30 years of follow-up was significantly increased with a higher baseline PSA level, with the hazard ratio being 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.09) per increase of one unit of PSA. Adding f/t PSA increased the model's ability to discriminate (concordance index 0.84-0.88). Men with PSA levels <1.0 ng/mL had a very low long-term risk of prostate cancer death (1.2% risk). An f/t PSA ≥ 0.25 extended the low-risk range to PSA < 2.0 ng/mL (1.5% risk).RESULTSRisk of death from prostate cancer after 30 years of follow-up was significantly increased with a higher baseline PSA level, with the hazard ratio being 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.09) per increase of one unit of PSA. Adding f/t PSA increased the model's ability to discriminate (concordance index 0.84-0.88). Men with PSA levels <1.0 ng/mL had a very low long-term risk of prostate cancer death (1.2% risk). An f/t PSA ≥ 0.25 extended the low-risk range to PSA < 2.0 ng/mL (1.5% risk).Prostate-specific antigen testing can be carried out less frequently or can be discontinued in men aged 55-70 years if their PSA levels are <2.0 ng/mL and the f/t PSA is ≥0.25.CONCLUSIONProstate-specific antigen testing can be carried out less frequently or can be discontinued in men aged 55-70 years if their PSA levels are <2.0 ng/mL and the f/t PSA is ≥0.25.
Objectives To explore if there is a long‐term association between baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long‐term (30‐year) risk for prostate cancer death. Subjects and methods In all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years later, frozen plasma samples were used to calculate the ratio of free to total PSA (f/t PSA). At 30‐year follow‐up, baseline PSA and f/t PSA were compared with recent data extracts from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry and Swedish Cancer Registry. PSA values and f/t PSA values were treated as continuous variables in a multivariable analysis and also stratified according to their distribution and useful clinical thresholds. Results Risk of death from prostate cancer after 30 years of follow‐up was significantly increased with a higher baseline PSA level, with the hazard ratio being 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03–1.09) per increase of one unit of PSA. Adding f/t PSA increased the model's ability to discriminate (concordance index 0.84–0.88). Men with PSA levels <1.0 ng/mL had a very low long‐term risk of prostate cancer death (1.2% risk). An f/t PSA ≥ 0.25 extended the low‐risk range to PSA < 2.0 ng/mL (1.5% risk). Conclusion Prostate‐specific antigen testing can be carried out less frequently or can be discontinued in men aged 55–70 years if their PSA levels are <2.0 ng/mL and the f/t PSA is ≥0.25.
ObjectivesTo explore if there is a long‐term association between baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long‐term (30‐year) risk for prostate cancer death.Subjects and methodsIn all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years later, frozen plasma samples were used to calculate the ratio of free to total PSA (f/t PSA). At 30‐year follow‐up, baseline PSA and f/t PSA were compared with recent data extracts from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry and Swedish Cancer Registry. PSA values and f/t PSA values were treated as continuous variables in a multivariable analysis and also stratified according to their distribution and useful clinical thresholds.ResultsRisk of death from prostate cancer after 30 years of follow‐up was significantly increased with a higher baseline PSA level, with the hazard ratio being 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03–1.09) per increase of one unit of PSA. Adding f/t PSA increased the model's ability to discriminate (concordance index 0.84–0.88). Men with PSA levels <1.0 ng/mL had a very low long‐term risk of prostate cancer death (1.2% risk). An f/t PSA ≥ 0.25 extended the low‐risk range to PSA < 2.0 ng/mL (1.5% risk).ConclusionProstate‐specific antigen testing can be carried out less frequently or can be discontinued in men aged 55–70 years if their PSA levels are <2.0 ng/mL and the f/t PSA is ≥0.25.
To explore if there is a long-term association between baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long-term (30-year) risk for prostate cancer death. In all, 1782 men were screened for prostate cancer through PSA analysis. Some years later, frozen plasma samples were used to calculate the ratio of free to total PSA (f/t PSA). At 30-year follow-up, baseline PSA and f/t PSA were compared with recent data extracts from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry and Swedish Cancer Registry. PSA values and f/t PSA values were treated as continuous variables in a multivariable analysis and also stratified according to their distribution and useful clinical thresholds. Risk of death from prostate cancer after 30 years of follow-up was significantly increased with a higher baseline PSA level, with the hazard ratio being 1.04 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.09) per increase of one unit of PSA. Adding f/t PSA increased the model's ability to discriminate (concordance index 0.84-0.88). Men with PSA levels <1.0 ng/mL had a very low long-term risk of prostate cancer death (1.2% risk). An f/t PSA ≥ 0.25 extended the low-risk range to PSA < 2.0 ng/mL (1.5% risk). Prostate-specific antigen testing can be carried out less frequently or can be discontinued in men aged 55-70 years if their PSA levels are <2.0 ng/mL and the f/t PSA is ≥0.25.
Author Gustafsson, Ove
Lundgren, Per‐Olof
Kjellman, Anders
Norming, Ulf
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Issue 4
Keywords prostate cancer
screening
uroonc
PCSM
mortality
ProstateCancer
prognosis
prostate-specific antigen
Language English
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Snippet Objectives To explore if there is a long‐term association between baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long‐term...
To explore if there is a long-term association between baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long-term (30-year) risk...
ObjectivesTo explore if there is a long‐term association between baseline prostate‐specific antigen (PSA), including free/total PSA ratio and long‐term...
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SubjectTerms Aged
Antigens
Cohort analysis
Cohort Studies
Death
Early Detection of Cancer - methods
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
mortality
PCSM
prognosis
Prospective Studies
Prostate cancer
Prostate-Specific Antigen - blood
ProstateCancer
prostate‐specific antigen
Prostatic Neoplasms - blood
Prostatic Neoplasms - mortality
Risk Assessment
screening
Time Factors
uroonc
Title Association between one‐time prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) test with free/total PSA ratio and prostate cancer mortality: A 30‐year prospective cohort study
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111%2Fbju.15417
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33811738
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Volume 128
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