Predicting coronal mass ejections transit times to Earth with neural network

• Published in: Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society Vol. 456; no. 2; pp. 1542 - 1548
• Main Authors: Sudar, D., Vršnak, B., Dumbović, M.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London Oxford University Press 21.02.2016
• Subjects: Astronomy; Coronal mass ejection; Deceleration; Deflection; Earth; Error analysis; Flares; Human; Neural networks; Predictions; Transit time; Wind; solar-terrestrial relations; Sun: coronal mass ejections (CMEs)

Predicting transit times (TT) of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from their initial parameters is a very important subject, not only from the scientific perspective, but also because CMEs represent a hazard for human technology. We used a neural network (NN) to analyse TT for 153 events with only two...