Simulating the impact of Grain-for-Green Programme on ecosystem services trade-offs in Northwestern Yunnan, China
•Trade-offs among ecosystem services were simulated under four GFGP scenarios.•Ecosystem services are most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario.•Trade-off between ecosystem services should be focused in GFGP policy making. One of the main manifestations of the Grain-for-Green Programme (GFGP) is l...
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| Published in | Ecosystem services Vol. 39; p. 100998 |
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| Main Authors | , , , , , |
| Format | Journal Article Web Resource |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Elsevier B.V
01.10.2019
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| Subjects | |
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| Abstract | •Trade-offs among ecosystem services were simulated under four GFGP scenarios.•Ecosystem services are most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario.•Trade-off between ecosystem services should be focused in GFGP policy making.
One of the main manifestations of the Grain-for-Green Programme (GFGP) is land use change, which will affect the trade-off of ecosystem services. Since the implementation of the GFGP in Dali Autonomous Prefecture in 2000, land use/cover has undergone dramatic changes. This study used the CLUE-S model to simulate land use change in 2030, and explored the spatial pattern and relationship of different ecosystem services under the four scenarios of GFGP. The results show that, GFGP can help to improve indirect services of ecosystems, such as carbon storage and soil conservation. However, direct services of the ecosystem will decline, such as food production and water yield. Compared with 2010, the overall supply level of the four ecosystem services is the most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario. In this scenario, total food production decreased by 179,000 tons and water yield decreased by 57 million cubic meters. Carbon storage and soil conservation continued to grow, increasing by 21.86 million tons and 17.87 million tons, respectively. The changes of ecosystem services in the strong GFGP scenario are extreme. The increases in carbon storage and soil conservation are at the expense of a significant reduction in food production and water yield. It can be concluded that GFGP may lead to intensifying ecosystem services trade-offs. Through comparing the changes of ecosystem services under different GFGP scenarios, it is found that the implementation intensity of GFGP should be deeply concerned in policy making. |
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| AbstractList | One of the main manifestations of the Grain-for-Green Programme (GFGP) is land use change, which will affect the trade-off of ecosystem services. Since the implementation of the GFGP in Dali Autonomous Prefecture in 2000, land use/cover has undergone dramatic changes. This study used the CLUE-S model to simulate land use change in 2030, and explored the spatial pattern and relationship of different ecosystem services under the four scenarios of GFGP. The results show that, GFGP can help to improve indirect services of ecosystems, such as carbon storage and soil conservation. However, direct services of the ecosystem will decline, such as food production and water yield. Compared with 2010, the overall supply level of the four ecosystem services is the most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario. In this scenario, total food production decreased by 179,000 tons and water yield decreased by 57 million cubic meters. Carbon storage and soil conservation continued to grow, increasing by 21.86 million tons and 17.87 million tons, respectively. The changes of ecosystem services in the strong GFGP scenario are extreme. The increases in carbon storage and soil conservation are at the expense of a significant reduction in food production and water yield. It can be concluded that GFGP may lead to intensifying ecosystem services trade-offs. Through comparing the changes of ecosystem services under different GFGP scenarios, it is found that the implementation intensity of GFGP should be deeply concerned in policy making. © 2019 Elsevier B.V. •Trade-offs among ecosystem services were simulated under four GFGP scenarios.•Ecosystem services are most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario.•Trade-off between ecosystem services should be focused in GFGP policy making. One of the main manifestations of the Grain-for-Green Programme (GFGP) is land use change, which will affect the trade-off of ecosystem services. Since the implementation of the GFGP in Dali Autonomous Prefecture in 2000, land use/cover has undergone dramatic changes. This study used the CLUE-S model to simulate land use change in 2030, and explored the spatial pattern and relationship of different ecosystem services under the four scenarios of GFGP. The results show that, GFGP can help to improve indirect services of ecosystems, such as carbon storage and soil conservation. However, direct services of the ecosystem will decline, such as food production and water yield. Compared with 2010, the overall supply level of the four ecosystem services is the most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario. In this scenario, total food production decreased by 179,000 tons and water yield decreased by 57 million cubic meters. Carbon storage and soil conservation continued to grow, increasing by 21.86 million tons and 17.87 million tons, respectively. The changes of ecosystem services in the strong GFGP scenario are extreme. The increases in carbon storage and soil conservation are at the expense of a significant reduction in food production and water yield. It can be concluded that GFGP may lead to intensifying ecosystem services trade-offs. Through comparing the changes of ecosystem services under different GFGP scenarios, it is found that the implementation intensity of GFGP should be deeply concerned in policy making. |
| ArticleNumber | 100998 |
| Author | Wang, Xiaoyu Hu, Xiaoxu Qiu, Sijing Liu, Yanxu Peng, Jian Meersmans, Jeroen |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Jian surname: Peng fullname: Peng, Jian email: jianpeng@urban.pku.edu.cn organization: Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Xiaoxu surname: Hu fullname: Hu, Xiaoxu organization: Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China – sequence: 3 givenname: Xiaoyu surname: Wang fullname: Wang, Xiaoyu organization: Key Laboratory for Environmental and Urban Sciences, School of Urban Planning and Design, Shenzhen Graduate School, Peking University, Shenzhen 518055, China – sequence: 4 givenname: Jeroen surname: Meersmans fullname: Meersmans, Jeroen organization: Cranfield Soil and Agrifood Institute, School of Water, Energy and Environment, Cranfield University, Cranfield MK430AL, United Kingdom – sequence: 5 givenname: Yanxu orcidid: 0000-0001-6983-0756 surname: Liu fullname: Liu, Yanxu organization: State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China – sequence: 6 givenname: Sijing surname: Qiu fullname: Qiu, Sijing organization: Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China |
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| Snippet | •Trade-offs among ecosystem services were simulated under four GFGP scenarios.•Ecosystem services are most balanced in the moderate GFGP scenario.•Trade-off... One of the main manifestations of the Grain-for-Green Programme (GFGP) is land use change, which will affect the trade-off of ecosystem services. Since the... |
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| SubjectTerms | Biochemistry, biophysics & molecular biology Biochimie, biophysique & biologie moléculaire Ecosystem services trade-offs Grain-for-Green Programme Life sciences Northwestern Yunnan Scenario analysis Sciences du vivant |
| Title | Simulating the impact of Grain-for-Green Programme on ecosystem services trade-offs in Northwestern Yunnan, China |
| URI | https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.100998 http://orbi.ulg.ac.be/handle/2268/264863 |
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