Selecting the best probability distribution for at-site flood frequency analysis; a study of Torne River
At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability distribution and a parameter estimation method are important for at-site flood frequency analysis. Generalized extreme value, three-parameter log-normal...
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Published in | SN applied sciences Vol. 1; no. 12; p. 1629 |
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01.12.2019
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Abstract | At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability distribution and a parameter estimation method are important for at-site flood frequency analysis. Generalized extreme value, three-parameter log-normal, generalized logistic, Pearson type-III and Gumbel distributions have been considered to describe the annual maximum steam flow at five gauging sites of Torne River in Sweden. To estimate the parameters of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation and L-moments methods are used. The performance of these distributions is assessed based on goodness-of-fit tests and accuracy measures. At most sites, the best-fitted distributions are with LM estimation method. Finally, the most suitable distribution at each site is used to predict the maximum flood magnitude for different return periods. |
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AbstractList | At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability distribution and a parameter estimation method are important for at-site flood frequency analysis. Generalized extreme value, three-parameter log-normal, generalized logistic, Pearson type-III and Gumbel distributions have been considered to describe the annual maximum steam flow at five gauging sites of Torne River in Sweden. To estimate the parameters of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation and L-moments methods are used. The performance of these distributions is assessed based on goodness-of-fit tests and accuracy measures. At most sites, the best-fitted distributions are with LM estimation method. Finally, the most suitable distribution at each site is used to predict the maximum flood magnitude for different return periods. At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability distribution and a parameter estimation method are important for at-site flood frequency analysis. Generalized extreme value, three-parameter log-normal, generalized logistic, Pearson type-III and Gumbel distributions have been considered to describe the annual maximum steam flow at five gauging sites of Torne River in Sweden. To estimate the parameters of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation and L-moments methods are used. The performance of these distributions is assessed based on goodness-of-fit tests and accuracy measures. At most sites, the best-fitted distributions are with LM estimation method. Finally, the most suitable distribution at each site is used to predict the maximum flood magnitude for different return periods. Abstract At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability distribution and a parameter estimation method are important for at-site flood frequency analysis. Generalized extreme value, three-parameter log-normal, generalized logistic, Pearson type-III and Gumbel distributions have been considered to describe the annual maximum steam flow at five gauging sites of Torne River in Sweden. To estimate the parameters of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation and L-moments methods are used. The performance of these distributions is assessed based on goodness-of-fit tests and accuracy measures. At most sites, the best-fitted distributions are with LM estimation method. Finally, the most suitable distribution at each site is used to predict the maximum flood magnitude for different return periods. |
ArticleNumber | 1629 |
Author | Ul Hassan, Mahmood Hayat, Omar Noreen, Zahra |
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Cites_doi | 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.06.052 10.1111/jfr3.12010 10.1201/b11832 10.15244/pjoes/59585 10.1016/0022-1694(94)02633-M 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.11.015 10.1029/2004WR003204 10.1007/s00477-010-0412-1 10.3390/w11030601 10.1080/02626660009492341 10.1093/comjnl/7.4.308 10.1007/s11069-013-0775-y 10.1007/s11269-008-9287-z 10.1016/j.pce.2006.08.018 10.1007/s11269-018-2162-7 10.1111/j.2517-6161.1990.tb01775.x |
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Snippet | At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability... Abstract At-site flood frequency analysis is a direct method of estimation of flood frequency at a particular site. The appropriate selection of probability... |
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SubjectTerms | 2. Earth and Environmental Sciences (general) Accuracy Applied and Technical Physics Chemistry/Food Science Construction Earth Sciences Engineering Environment Extreme values Flood frequency Flood frequency analysis Flood predictions Floods Frequency analysis Goodness of fit Hydrology L-moments Materials Science Maximum likelihood estimation Maximum probable flood Methods Parameter estimation Probability distribution Research Article Rivers Statistical tests Steam flow Time series |
Title | Selecting the best probability distribution for at-site flood frequency analysis; a study of Torne River |
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