Digital Payments and Sustainable Economic Growth: Transmission Mechanisms and Evidence from an Emerging Economy, Turkey

This study investigates the impact of digital transactions on sustainable economic growth in Turkey, utilizing a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and quarterly data from 2006 to 2023. The results indicate a positive long-term association between digital payments and GDP. Granger causality tests and...

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Published inJournal of theoretical and applied electronic commerce research Vol. 20; no. 2; p. 142
Main Authors Kahveci, Eyup, Gurgur, Tugrul
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Curicó MDPI AG 01.06.2025
Subjects
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ISSN0718-1876
0718-1876
DOI10.3390/jtaer20020142

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Abstract This study investigates the impact of digital transactions on sustainable economic growth in Turkey, utilizing a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and quarterly data from 2006 to 2023. The results indicate a positive long-term association between digital payments and GDP. Granger causality tests and impulse response functions suggest a bidirectional relationship, highlighting mutual reinforcement between economic activity and digital financial adoption. The study also investigates three potential transmission channels linking digital payments to economic performance: household consumption, productivity, and financial intermediation. Evidence shows that digital payments are associated with increased consumption and financial sector activity, while the link to productivity is less conclusive. These findings imply that policymakers should prioritize digital financial infrastructure development and enhance regulatory frameworks to promote inclusive and sustainable economic growth.
AbstractList This study investigates the impact of digital transactions on sustainable economic growth in Turkey, utilizing a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and quarterly data from 2006 to 2023. The results indicate a positive long-term association between digital payments and GDP. Granger causality tests and impulse response functions suggest a bidirectional relationship, highlighting mutual reinforcement between economic activity and digital financial adoption. The study also investigates three potential transmission channels linking digital payments to economic performance: household consumption, productivity, and financial intermediation. Evidence shows that digital payments are associated with increased consumption and financial sector activity, while the link to productivity is less conclusive. These findings imply that policymakers should prioritize digital financial infrastructure development and enhance regulatory frameworks to promote inclusive and sustainable economic growth.
Author Gurgur, Tugrul
Kahveci, Eyup
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Snippet This study investigates the impact of digital transactions on sustainable economic growth in Turkey, utilizing a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and...
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SubjectTerms Banking industry
Causality
cointegration
Consumption
Contactless payment
Corruption
Costs
COVID-19
Developing countries
digital payments
Digital technology
Disease transmission
Economic conditions
Economic development
Economic growth
Financial inclusion
Financial literacy
Impulse response
Informal economy
Information technology
Innovations
International finance
LDCs
Macroeconomics
Market economies
Mobile commerce
Monetary policy
Pandemics
Payment systems
Productivity
Response functions
sustainable growth
Technological change
transmission mechanism
VAR
VECM
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Title Digital Payments and Sustainable Economic Growth: Transmission Mechanisms and Evidence from an Emerging Economy, Turkey
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