A novel framework for regional collision risk identification based on AIS data

•A novel framework of regional collision risk identification is proposed.•SDOI is proposed to represent the collision risk of relative bearing and distance.•DCPA, TCPA and SDOI are used to represent collision risk between vessels.•DBSCAN is used to simplify the computing process of the proposed fram...

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Published inApplied ocean research Vol. 89; pp. 261 - 272
Main Authors Liu, Zihao, Wu, Zhaolin, Zheng, Zhongyi
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Barking Elsevier Ltd 01.08.2019
Elsevier BV
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Abstract •A novel framework of regional collision risk identification is proposed.•SDOI is proposed to represent the collision risk of relative bearing and distance.•DCPA, TCPA and SDOI are used to represent collision risk between vessels.•DBSCAN is used to simplify the computing process of the proposed framework.•An improved Shapley value method is used to estimate contributions. Identification of regional collision risk in water area is of significance for the safety of navigation. However, traditional risk identification models are subject to the limitations in accuracy, short-term identification and traffic characteristics. Herein, a framework was put forward to identify regional collision risk instantaneously based on AIS data. The vessels were clustered by using the spatial clustering method. Afterwards, the framework was divided into two steps. Firstly, collision risk of each cluster was obtained by collision risk and contribution of the vessels within the cluster. An analytical method was adopted to identify collision risk of each vessel from the perspective of vessel pairs. Contribution of each vessel was determined by using improved Shapley value method in game theory. Secondly, regional collision risk was obtained by collision risk and contribution of each cluster. Case studies were carried out based on the AIS data of Northern Yellow Sea in China to validate the validity of the proposed framework. The results show that the proposed framework can effectively identify collision risk in water area, presenting the potential for collision risk monitoring and collision risk analysis of water area.
AbstractList •A novel framework of regional collision risk identification is proposed.•SDOI is proposed to represent the collision risk of relative bearing and distance.•DCPA, TCPA and SDOI are used to represent collision risk between vessels.•DBSCAN is used to simplify the computing process of the proposed framework.•An improved Shapley value method is used to estimate contributions. Identification of regional collision risk in water area is of significance for the safety of navigation. However, traditional risk identification models are subject to the limitations in accuracy, short-term identification and traffic characteristics. Herein, a framework was put forward to identify regional collision risk instantaneously based on AIS data. The vessels were clustered by using the spatial clustering method. Afterwards, the framework was divided into two steps. Firstly, collision risk of each cluster was obtained by collision risk and contribution of the vessels within the cluster. An analytical method was adopted to identify collision risk of each vessel from the perspective of vessel pairs. Contribution of each vessel was determined by using improved Shapley value method in game theory. Secondly, regional collision risk was obtained by collision risk and contribution of each cluster. Case studies were carried out based on the AIS data of Northern Yellow Sea in China to validate the validity of the proposed framework. The results show that the proposed framework can effectively identify collision risk in water area, presenting the potential for collision risk monitoring and collision risk analysis of water area.
Identification of regional collision risk in water area is of significance for the safety of navigation. However, traditional risk identification models are subject to the limitations in accuracy, short-term identification and traffic characteristics. Herein, a framework was put forward to identify regional collision risk instantaneously based on AIS data. The vessels were clustered by using the spatial clustering method. Afterwards, the framework was divided into two steps. Firstly, collision risk of each cluster was obtained by collision risk and contribution of the vessels within the cluster. An analytical method was adopted to identify collision risk of each vessel from the perspective of vessel pairs. Contribution of each vessel was determined by using improved Shapley value method in game theory. Secondly, regional collision risk was obtained by collision risk and contribution of each cluster. Case studies were carried out based on the AIS data of Northern Yellow Sea in China to validate the validity of the proposed framework. The results show that the proposed framework can effectively identify collision risk in water area, presenting the potential for collision risk monitoring and collision risk analysis of water area.
Author Liu, Zihao
Wu, Zhaolin
Zheng, Zhongyi
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Keywords RCR
Navigational Safety
TCPA
DBSCAN
IMO
AIS
Clustering
SDOI
Regional collision risk
DCPA
IALA
MMSI
CCR
Shapley value
CPA
AIS data
COLREGs
ECDIS
ARPA
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Snippet •A novel framework of regional collision risk identification is proposed.•SDOI is proposed to represent the collision risk of relative bearing and...
Identification of regional collision risk in water area is of significance for the safety of navigation. However, traditional risk identification models are...
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SubjectTerms AIS data
Braking systems
Clustering
Frameworks
Game theory
Identification
Navigation
Navigational Safety
Regional collision risk
Risk analysis
Risk factors
Shapley value
Water analysis
Water area
Title A novel framework for regional collision risk identification based on AIS data
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2019.05.020
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2262705800
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