Two-step translation method for time-dependent reliability of structures subject to both continuous deterioration and sudden events

•Time-dependent reliability analysis approach under various scenarios is developed.•Component- and system-level reliability are analyzed by the proposed approach.•Continuous and sudden deterioration scenarios are combined in a unified manner.•Probability density function-informed method is proposed...

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Published inEngineering structures Vol. 225; p. 111291
Main Authors Guo, Hong-Yuan, Dong, You, Gu, Xiang-Lin
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Kidlington Elsevier Ltd 15.12.2020
Elsevier BV
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Abstract •Time-dependent reliability analysis approach under various scenarios is developed.•Component- and system-level reliability are analyzed by the proposed approach.•Continuous and sudden deterioration scenarios are combined in a unified manner.•Probability density function-informed method is proposed to compute reliability.•Feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method are verified using examples. Civil infrastructure can be subjected to different deterioration scenarios (e.g., continuous deterioration and sudden events) during its service life. Time-dependent reliability analysis of a deteriorating system is of vital importance in the structural design, assessment, and management process. In this paper, a general and novel probability density function-informed framework for time-dependent reliability analysis is developed, considering different deterioration processes and system-level performance. Both continuous deterioration and sudden events are considered within the proposed framework. For the scenario with random sudden drops and/or significant differences in deterioration rates, a novel two-step translation method is proposed to assess the probability density of the performance function within the service life of a structure. In this method, translation operation is conducted twice; the first time to build a virtual and differentiable performance function, and the second, to solve the actual probability density function based on the results from the first step. Then, three illustrative examples are assessed: a simple deteriorating case, a component-level case, and a system-level case. The relevant results demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.
AbstractList Civil infrastructure can be subjected to different deterioration scenarios (e.g., continuous deterioration and sudden events) during its service life. Time-dependent reliability analysis of a deteriorating system is of vital importance in the structural design, assessment, and management process. In this paper, a general and novel probability density function-informed framework for time-dependent reliability analysis is developed, considering different deterioration processes and system-level performance. Both continuous deterioration and sudden events are considered within the proposed framework. For the scenario with random sudden drops and/or significant differences in deterioration rates, a novel two-step translation method is proposed to assess the probability density of the performance function within the service life of a structure. In this method, translation operation is conducted twice; the first time to build a virtual and differentiable performance function, and the second, to solve the actual probability density function based on the results from the first step. Then, three illustrative examples are assessed: a simple deteriorating case, a component-level case, and a system-level case. The relevant results demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.
•Time-dependent reliability analysis approach under various scenarios is developed.•Component- and system-level reliability are analyzed by the proposed approach.•Continuous and sudden deterioration scenarios are combined in a unified manner.•Probability density function-informed method is proposed to compute reliability.•Feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method are verified using examples. Civil infrastructure can be subjected to different deterioration scenarios (e.g., continuous deterioration and sudden events) during its service life. Time-dependent reliability analysis of a deteriorating system is of vital importance in the structural design, assessment, and management process. In this paper, a general and novel probability density function-informed framework for time-dependent reliability analysis is developed, considering different deterioration processes and system-level performance. Both continuous deterioration and sudden events are considered within the proposed framework. For the scenario with random sudden drops and/or significant differences in deterioration rates, a novel two-step translation method is proposed to assess the probability density of the performance function within the service life of a structure. In this method, translation operation is conducted twice; the first time to build a virtual and differentiable performance function, and the second, to solve the actual probability density function based on the results from the first step. Then, three illustrative examples are assessed: a simple deteriorating case, a component-level case, and a system-level case. The relevant results demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.
ArticleNumber 111291
Author Guo, Hong-Yuan
Gu, Xiang-Lin
Dong, You
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  givenname: You
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  fullname: Gu, Xiang-Lin
  email: gxl@tongji.edu.cn
  organization: Key Laboratory of Performance Evolution and Control for Engineering Structures of Ministry of Education, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China
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Keywords Deteriorating modelling
Sudden event
Continuous deterioration
Probability density function-informed method (PDFM)
Time-dependent reliability
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Snippet •Time-dependent reliability analysis approach under various scenarios is developed.•Component- and system-level reliability are analyzed by the proposed...
Civil infrastructure can be subjected to different deterioration scenarios (e.g., continuous deterioration and sudden events) during its service life....
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StartPage 111291
SubjectTerms Continuous deterioration
Deteriorating modelling
Deterioration
Probability density function-informed method (PDFM)
Probability density functions
Reliability analysis
Reliability engineering
Service life
Structural design
Structural engineering
Structural reliability
Sudden event
Time dependence
Time-dependent reliability
Translation
Title Two-step translation method for time-dependent reliability of structures subject to both continuous deterioration and sudden events
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2020.111291
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2478621952
Volume 225
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