The spread of a viral infection in a plantation

• Published in: Environmetrics (London, Ont.) Vol. 15; no. 6; pp. 555 - 560
• Main Authors: Gani, J., Stals, L.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Chichester, UK John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 01.09.2004; Wiley
• Subjects: Animal, plant and microbial ecology; Biological and medical sciences; Earth sciences; Earth, ocean, space; Engineering and environment geology. Geothermics; Exact sciences and technology; Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology; General aspects. Techniques; infection; Markov chain; Methods and techniques (sampling, tagging, trapping, modelling...); nursery; plantation; Pollution, environment geology; virus; Markov chain analysis; Markov chain; models; infection; nursery; plantation; plants; Nursery (animal); virus

We consider a plantation subject to viral infection, in which infected plants are replaced by plants from a nursery, also subject to a minor degree of infection. A discrete time Markov chain model for the spread of infection in the plantation is proposed, and its consequences derived. The expected n...