A new and better quiet option? Strategies of subversion and cyber conflict

Theorizing on cyber conflict has moved from warfare to conflict short of war, but strategic thought has not kept pace. This article argues cyber conflict is subversive, builds on intelligence scholarship to identify strategies of subversion, and examines their applicability in cyber conflict. It dis...

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Published inJournal of strategic studies Vol. 46; no. 3; pp. 570 - 594
Main Author Maschmeyer, Lennart
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London Routledge 16.04.2023
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Subjects
Conflict
covert operations
cyber conflict
Cybersecurity
Intelligence
Manipulation
strategy
Subversion
Warfare
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Abstract Theorizing on cyber conflict has moved from warfare to conflict short of war, but strategic thought has not kept pace. This article argues cyber conflict is subversive, builds on intelligence scholarship to identify strategies of subversion, and examines their applicability in cyber conflict. It distinguishes three subversive strategies: manipulation, erosion and overthrow. The analysis shows cyber operations can only implement one of these strategies (erosion), indicating they offer less strategic value than traditional counterparts. Accordingly, although cyber operations offer superior scale, I argue their scope of influence is more limited. Finally, the article discusses strategic implications and identifies possible counterstrategies.
AbstractList Theorizing on cyber conflict has moved from warfare to conflict short of war, but strategic thought has not kept pace. This article argues cyber conflict is subversive, builds on intelligence scholarship to identify strategies of subversion, and examines their applicability in cyber conflict. It distinguishes three subversive strategies: manipulation, erosion and overthrow. The analysis shows cyber operations can only implement one of these strategies (erosion), indicating they offer less strategic value than traditional counterparts. Accordingly, although cyber operations offer superior scale, I argue their scope of influence is more limited. Finally, the article discusses strategic implications and identifies possible counterstrategies.
Author Maschmeyer, Lennart
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Snippet Theorizing on cyber conflict has moved from warfare to conflict short of war, but strategic thought has not kept pace. This article argues cyber conflict is...
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SubjectTerms Conflict
covert operations
cyber conflict
Cybersecurity
Intelligence
Manipulation
strategy
Subversion
Warfare
Title A new and better quiet option? Strategies of subversion and cyber conflict
URI https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01402390.2022.2104253
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