Forecasting seasonal influenza with a state-space SIR model

• Published in: The annals of applied statistics Vol. 11; no. 1; p. 202
• Main Authors: Osthus, Dave, Hickmann, Kyle S, Caragea, Petruţa C, Higdon, Dave, Del Valle, Sara Y
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States 01.03.2017
• Subjects: influenza; state-space modeling; time-series; Bayesian modeling; SIR model; forecasting

Seasonal influenza is a serious public health and societal problem due to its consequences resulting from absenteeism, hospitalizations, and deaths. The overall burden of influenza is captured by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's influenza-like illness network, which provides inv...