What Is Civil War? Conceptual and Empirical Complexities of an Operational Definition
The empirical literature on civil war has seen tremendous growth because of the compilation of quantitative data sets, but there is no consensus on the measurement of civil war. This increases the risk of making inferences from unstable empirical results. Without ad hoc rules to code its start and e...
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| Published in | The Journal of conflict resolution Vol. 48; no. 6; pp. 814 - 858 |
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| Main Author | |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Thousand Oaks, CA
Sage Publications
01.12.2004
SAGE Publications SAGE PUBLICATIONS, INC |
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| Abstract | The empirical literature on civil war has seen tremendous growth because of the compilation of quantitative data sets, but there is no consensus on the measurement of civil war. This increases the risk of making inferences from unstable empirical results. Without ad hoc rules to code its start and end and differentiate it from other violence, it is difficult, if not impossible, to define and measure civil war. A wide range of variation in parameter estimates makes accurate predictions of war onset difficult, and differences in empirical results are greater with respect to war continuation. |
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| AbstractList | The empirical literature on civil war has seen tremendous growth because of the compilation of quantitative data sets, but there is no consensus on the measurement of civil war. This increases the risk of making inferences from unstable empirical results. Without ad hoc rules to code its start & end & differentiate it from other violence, it is difficult, if not impossible, to define & measure civil war. A wide range of variation in parameter estimates makes accurate predictions of war onset difficult, & differences in empirical results are greater with respect to war continuation. 8 Tables, 30 References. [Reprinted by permission of Sage Publications Inc., copyright 2004.] The empirical literature on civil war has seen tremendous growth because of the compilation of quantitative data sets, but there is no consensus on the measurement of civil war. This increases the risk of making inferences from unstable empirical results. Without ad hoc rules to code its start and end and differentiate it from other violence, it is difficult, if not impossible, to define and measure civil war. A wide range of variation in parameter estimates makes accurate predictions of war onset difficult, and differences in empirical results are greater with respect to war continuation. Reprinted by permission of Sage Publications, Inc. The empirical literature on civil war has seen tremendous growth because of the compilation of quantitative data sets, but there is no consensus on the measurement of civil war. This increases the risk of making inferences from unstable empirical results. Without ad hoc rules to code its start and end and differentiate it from other violence, it is difficult, if not impossible, to define and measure civil war. A wide range of variation in parameter estimates makes accurate predictions of war onset difficult, and differences in empirical results are greater with respect to war continuation. The empirical literature on civil war has seen tremendous growth because of the compilation of quantitative data sets, but there is no consensus on the measurement of civil war. This increases the risk of making inferences from unstable empirical results. Without ad hoc rules to code its start and end and differentiate it from other violence, it is difficult, if not impossible, to define and measure civil war. A wide range of variation in parameter estimates makes accurate predictions of war onset difficult, and differences in empirical results are greater with respect to war continuation. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT] |
| Author | Sambanis, Nicholas |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1023/A:1024419522867 10.2307/2082982 10.1017/CBO9780511805431 10.1177/0022002701045003001 10.1177/0022002796040002006 10.1177/073889420001800105 10.1017/S0003055403000534 10.1017/S0003055401000119 10.1177/0022002796040004002 10.1515/9781400824465 10.1017/S0003055403000613 10.2307/2586208 10.1017/S0003055403000522 10.1017/CBO9780511819131 10.1177/0022343302039005007 |
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| References | Fearon, James D. 2003; 8 Regan, Patrick 1996; 40 Harff, Barbara 2003; 97 Hegre, Håvard, Tanja Ellingsen, Scott Gates, Nils Petter Gleditsch 2001; 95 Mason, David, Patrick Fett 1996; 40 Sambanis, Nicholas 2004; 2 Doyle, Michael, Nicholas Sambanis 2000; 94 Sambanis, Nicholas 2001; 45 Fearon, James D., David D. Laitin 2003; 97 Licklider, Roy. 1995; 89 Ghobarah, H., Paul Huth, Bruce Russett 2003; 97 Gleditsch, Nils Petter, Peter Wallensteen, Mikael Eriksson, Margareta Sollenberg, Håvard Strand 2002; 39 Sarkees, Meredith Reid 2000; 18 atypb9 atypb8 Collier, Paul (atypb1) 2001 atypb19 Small, Melvin (atypb25) 1982 atypb28 Singer, J. David (atypb24) 1994 atypb21 Sambanis, Nicholas (atypb20) 2004; 2 Gleditsch, Nils Petter (atypb7) 2001 Valentino, Benjamin (atypb29) 2001 Walter, Barbara (atypb30) 2002 Sarkees, Meredith Reid (atypb22) Price, D. L. (atypb17) 1975 Marshall, Monty (atypb14) 2000 Hegre, Håvard (atypb11) 2004 Leitenberg, Milton (atypb12) atypb15 atypb16 atypb18 Singer, J. David (atypb23) 1972 atypb13 Connor, Ken. (atypb2) 1998 atypb3 atypb10 atypb5 Tilly, Charles (atypb27) 1978 atypb4 Strand, Håvard (atypb26) 2003 atypb6 |
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Laitin – volume: 89 start-page: 681 issue: 3 year: 1995 end-page: 690 article-title: The consequences of negotiated settlements in civil wars, 1945-1993 publication-title: American Political Science Review contributor: fullname: Licklider, Roy. – ident: atypb4 doi: 10.1023/A:1024419522867 – ident: atypb13 doi: 10.2307/2082982 – ident: atypb16 doi: 10.1017/CBO9780511805431 – volume-title: Armed conflict 1945-99: A new dataset year: 2001 ident: atypb7 contributor: fullname: Gleditsch, Nils Petter – volume-title: Resort to arms: International and civil war, 1816-1980 year: 1982 ident: atypb25 contributor: fullname: Small, Melvin – ident: atypb19 doi: 10.1177/0022002701045003001 – volume-title: Armed conflict dataset codebook, version 1.2a year: 2003 ident: atypb26 contributor: fullname: Strand, Håvard – ident: atypb18 doi: 10.1177/0022002796040002006 – ident: atypb21 doi: 10.1177/073889420001800105 – volume-title: The wages of war, 1816-1965: A statistical handbook year: 1972 ident: atypb23 contributor: fullname: Singer, J. 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David – volume: 2 start-page: 259 issue: 2 year: 2004 ident: atypb20 publication-title: Perspectives on Politics contributor: fullname: Sambanis, Nicholas – volume-title: Ghost force: The secret history of the SAS year: 1998 ident: atypb2 contributor: fullname: Connor, Ken. – volume-title: From modernization to revolution year: 1978 ident: atypb27 contributor: fullname: Tilly, Charles – volume-title: Polity IV project year: 2000 ident: atypb14 contributor: fullname: Marshall, Monty – ident: atypb15 doi: 10.1177/0022002796040004002 – volume-title: Greed and grievance in civil war year: 2001 ident: atypb1 contributor: fullname: Collier, Paul – volume-title: Sensitivity analysis of empirical results in the quantitative literature on civil war year: 2004 ident: atypb11 contributor: fullname: Hegre, Håvard – volume-title: Committing to peace: The successful settlement of civil wars year: 2002 ident: atypb30 doi: 10.1515/9781400824465 contributor: fullname: Walter, Barbara – ident: atypb6 doi: 10.1017/S0003055403000613 – ident: atypb3 doi: 10.2307/2586208 – ident: atypb9 doi: 10.1017/S0003055403000522 – volume-title: Conference on Data Collection in Armed Conflict ident: atypb12 contributor: fullname: Leitenberg, Milton – volume-title: Draining the sea: Mass killing, genocide, and guerilla warfare year: 2001 ident: atypb29 contributor: fullname: Valentino, Benjamin – ident: atypb28 doi: 10.1017/CBO9780511819131 – ident: atypb8 doi: 10.1177/0022343302039005007 |
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| SubjectTerms | Armed conflict Civil War Civil wars Coding Coding standards Conflict Data analysis Datasets Death Definitions Government (Administrative Body) Gross domestic product Inferences Insurgency International relations Measurement Methodological Problems Militia groups Operational Definitions Political violence Politics Population growth Studies Terrorism Variable coefficients Violence War |
| Title | What Is Civil War? Conceptual and Empirical Complexities of an Operational Definition |
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