Spatial distribution of arboviruses and its association with a social development index and the waste disposal in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil, 2015 to 2019
To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal are related to the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil. The confirmed cases of Dengue, Zika and...
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Published in | Revista brasileira de epidemiologia Vol. 27; p. e240017 |
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Brazil
Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva
2024
Associação Brasileira de Pós -Graduação em Saúde Coletiva Associação Brasileira de Pós-Graduação em Saúde Coletiva |
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Abstract | To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal are related to the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil.
The confirmed cases of Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya in São Luís, from 2015 to 2019, were georeferenced to the census tract of residence. The Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive regression model was used to identify the association between SDI and irregular waste disposal sites and the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection.
The spatial pattern of arboviruses pointed to the predominance of a low-incidence cluster, except 2016. For the years 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2019, an increase of one unit of waste disposal site increased the coefficient of arboviruses detection in 1.25, 1.09, 1.23, and 1.13 cases of arboviruses per 100 thousand inhabitants, respectively. The SDI was not associated with the coefficient of arboviruses detection.
In São Luís, spatiotemporal risk clusters for the occurrence of arboviruses and a positive association between the coefficient of arbovirus detection and sites of irregular waste disposal were identified. |
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AbstractList | To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal are related to the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil.
The confirmed cases of Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya in São Luís, from 2015 to 2019, were georeferenced to the census tract of residence. The Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive regression model was used to identify the association between SDI and irregular waste disposal sites and the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection.
The spatial pattern of arboviruses pointed to the predominance of a low-incidence cluster, except 2016. For the years 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2019, an increase of one unit of waste disposal site increased the coefficient of arboviruses detection in 1.25, 1.09, 1.23, and 1.13 cases of arboviruses per 100 thousand inhabitants, respectively. The SDI was not associated with the coefficient of arboviruses detection.
In São Luís, spatiotemporal risk clusters for the occurrence of arboviruses and a positive association between the coefficient of arbovirus detection and sites of irregular waste disposal were identified. ABSTRACT Objective: To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal are related to the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil. Methods: The confirmed cases of Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya in São Luís, from 2015 to 2019, were georeferenced to the census tract of residence. The Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive regression model was used to identify the association between SDI and irregular waste disposal sites and the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection. Results: The spatial pattern of arboviruses pointed to the predominance of a low-incidence cluster, except 2016. For the years 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2019, an increase of one unit of waste disposal site increased the coefficient of arboviruses detection in 1.25, 1.09, 1.23, and 1.13 cases of arboviruses per 100 thousand inhabitants, respectively. The SDI was not associated with the coefficient of arboviruses detection. Conclusion: In São Luís, spatiotemporal risk clusters for the occurrence of arboviruses and a positive association between the coefficient of arbovirus detection and sites of irregular waste disposal were identified. RESUMO Objetivo: Detectar aglomerados espaciais e espaço-temporais de arboviroses urbanas e investigar se o índice desenvolvimento social (IDS) e o descarte irregular de lixo estão relacionados ao coeficiente de detecção das arboviroses urbanas em São Luís, Maranhão. Métodos: Os casos confirmados de dengue, Zika e chikungunya em São Luís, no período de 2015 a 2019, foram georreferenciados para o setor censitário de residência. O modelo de regressão Autorregressivo Condicional Bayesiano foi utilizado para identificar a associação entre o coeficiente de detecção de arboviroses urbanas, IDS e pontos de descarte irregular de lixo. Resultados: O padrão espacial de arboviroses apontou para a predominância de cluster de baixo coeficiente de detecção, exceto em 2016. Para os anos de 2015, 2016, 2017 e 2019, o aumento de uma unidade de ponto de lixo aumenta o coeficiente de detecção de arboviroses em 1,25, 1,09, 1,23 e 1,13 casos de arboviroses por 100 mil habitantes, respectivamente. O IDS não foi associado ao coeficiente de detecção de arboviroses. Conclusão: Em São Luís foram identificados aglomerados espaço-temporais de risco para a ocorrência de arboviroses e a associação positiva entre o coeficiente de detecção de arboviroses e os pontos de descarte irregular de lixo. ABSTRACT Objective: To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal are related to the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil. Methods: The confirmed cases of Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya in São Luís, from 2015 to 2019, were georeferenced to the census tract of residence. The Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive regression model was used to identify the association between SDI and irregular waste disposal sites and the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection. Results: The spatial pattern of arboviruses pointed to the predominance of a low-incidence cluster, except 2016. For the years 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2019, an increase of one unit of waste disposal site increased the coefficient of arboviruses detection in 1.25, 1.09, 1.23, and 1.13 cases of arboviruses per 100 thousand inhabitants, respectively. The SDI was not associated with the coefficient of arboviruses detection. Conclusion: In São Luís, spatiotemporal risk clusters for the occurrence of arboviruses and a positive association between the coefficient of arbovirus detection and sites of irregular waste disposal were identified. OBJECTIVETo detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal are related to the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil.METHODSThe confirmed cases of Dengue, Zika and Chikungunya in São Luís, from 2015 to 2019, were georeferenced to the census tract of residence. The Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive regression model was used to identify the association between SDI and irregular waste disposal sites and the coefficient of urban arboviruses detection.RESULTSThe spatial pattern of arboviruses pointed to the predominance of a low-incidence cluster, except 2016. For the years 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2019, an increase of one unit of waste disposal site increased the coefficient of arboviruses detection in 1.25, 1.09, 1.23, and 1.13 cases of arboviruses per 100 thousand inhabitants, respectively. The SDI was not associated with the coefficient of arboviruses detection.CONCLUSIONIn São Luís, spatiotemporal risk clusters for the occurrence of arboviruses and a positive association between the coefficient of arbovirus detection and sites of irregular waste disposal were identified. |
Author | Carmo, Cleber Nascimento do Araujo, Waleska Regina Machado Pereira, Emile Danielly Amorim Branco, Maria Dos Remédios Freitas Carvalho |
AuthorAffiliation | II Secretaria de Estado da Saúde do Maranhão – São Luís (MA), Brazil I Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Sergio Arouca National School of Public Health – Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brazil III Universidade Federal do Maranhão, Graduate Program in Public Health – São Luís (MA), Brazil |
AuthorAffiliation_xml | – name: II Secretaria de Estado da Saúde do Maranhão – São Luís (MA), Brazil – name: III Universidade Federal do Maranhão, Graduate Program in Public Health – São Luís (MA), Brazil – name: I Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Sergio Arouca National School of Public Health – Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brazil – name: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz – name: Universidade Federal do Maranhão – name: Secretaria de Estado da Saúde do Maranhão |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Emile Danielly Amorim orcidid: 0000-0002-5821-5149 surname: Pereira fullname: Pereira, Emile Danielly Amorim organization: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Sergio Arouca National School of Public Health - Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brazil – sequence: 2 givenname: Cleber Nascimento do orcidid: 0000-0003-4165-2198 surname: Carmo fullname: Carmo, Cleber Nascimento do organization: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Sergio Arouca National School of Public Health - Rio de Janeiro/RJ, Brazil – sequence: 3 givenname: Waleska Regina Machado orcidid: 0000-0001-5758-7947 surname: Araujo fullname: Araujo, Waleska Regina Machado organization: Secretaria de Estado da Saúde do Maranhão - São Luís (MA), Brazil – sequence: 4 givenname: Maria Dos Remédios Freitas Carvalho orcidid: 0000-0002-3537-0840 surname: Branco fullname: Branco, Maria Dos Remédios Freitas Carvalho organization: Universidade Federal do Maranhão, Graduate Program in Public Health - São Luís (MA), Brazil |
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Cites_doi | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000263 10.18066/revistaunivap.v24i44.1920 10.5205/1981-8963-v13i4a238828p1006-1014-2019 10.1590/S0034-89102009000400013 10.1016/j.onehlt.2017.06.001 10.21876/rcsfmit.v7i3.675 10.1590/0102-311x00186615 10.18226/25253824.v6.n10.04 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003937 10.26633/RPSP.2017.108 10.1017/S0266466600008690 10.2105/AJPH.88.9.1377 10.1590/1413-812320202510.30712018 10.1590/1413-81232018243.10702017 10.1002/rmv.1943 10.11606/s1518-8787.2017051006239 |
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Keywords | Estudos ecológicos Dengue Ecological studies Chikungunya Solid waste Resíduos sólidos Zika |
Language | English |
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Snippet | To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste disposal... ABSTRACT Objective: To detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and... OBJECTIVETo detect spatial and spatiotemporal clusters of urban arboviruses and to investigate whether the social development index (SDI) and irregular waste... |
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SubjectTerms | Arbovirus Infections - epidemiology Arboviruses Bayes Theorem Brazil - epidemiology Chikungunya Chikungunya Fever - epidemiology Dengue Dengue - epidemiology Ecological studies Health Policy & Services Humans Incidence Original Socioeconomic Factors Solid waste Spatio-Temporal Analysis Waste Disposal Facilities Zika Zika Virus Infection - epidemiology |
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Title | Spatial distribution of arboviruses and its association with a social development index and the waste disposal in São Luís, state of Maranhão, Brazil, 2015 to 2019 |
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