PreMevE Update: Forecasting Ultra‐Relativistic Electrons Inside Earth's Outer Radiation Belt

• Published in: Space Weather Vol. 19; no. 9
• Main Authors: Sinha, Saurabh, Chen, Yue, Lin, Youzuo, Pires de Lima, Rafael
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Washington John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.09.2021; American Geophysical Union
• Subjects: ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS; Computer architecture; Electron flux; Electron precipitation; Electronics; Ensemble forecasting; Forecasting; Forecasting techniques; Geosynchronous orbits; Heliospheric and Magnetospheric Physics; In situ measurement; Light speed; Machine learning; Mathematical models; Monitors; Neural networks; NOAA satellites; Orbits; Outer radiation belt; predicting ultra‐relativistic electrons; Prediction models; Probes; Radiation; Radiation belts; Relativistic effects; Satellites; Solar wind; Solar wind velocity; supervised machine learning; Upstream; Van Allen electron radiation belt; Wind speed

Energetic electrons inside Earth's Van Allen belts pose a major radiation threat to space‐borne electronics that often play vital roles in modern society. Ultra‐relativistic electrons with energies greater than or equal to two megaelectron‐volt (MeV) are of particular interest, and thus forecas...