Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Analysis-Based Evaluation of GCMs Concerning Atmospheric Teleconnections

• Published in: Atmosphere Vol. 12; no. 10; p. 1236
• Main Authors: Kristóf, Erzsébet, Hollós, Roland, Barcza, Zoltán, Pongrácz, Rita, Bartholy, Judit
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Basel MDPI AG 01.10.2021
• Subjects: Atmospheric circulation; Atmospheric dynamics; Atmospheric flows; Atmospheric models; atmospheric teleconnections; Climate change; Climate models; Cluster analysis; CMIP5; Dynamic height; ERA-20C; Evaluation; General circulation models; Geopotential; Geopotential height; historical GCM outputs; Methods; negative extrema method; Northern Hemisphere; Oceans; Phase transitions; Quality assurance; Quality control; Rain; ROC curve analysis; Sea level; Statistical methods; Teleconnection patterns; Teleconnections; Time series

The evaluation of general circulation models (GCM) is a fundamental step in climate research in terms of both quality assurance/quality control and realistic representation of the dynamics of the atmospheric flows in the future projections. In this paper, a statistical method is introduced to evalua...