Multivariate analysis of flood characteristics in a climate change context of the watershed of the Baskatong reservoir, Province of Québec, Canada
The analysis of the impact of climate change (CC) on flood peaks has been the subject of several studies. However, a flood is characterized not only by its peak, but also by other characteristics such as its volume and duration. Little effort has been directed towards the study of the impact of CC o...
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| Published in | Hydrological processes Vol. 26; no. 1; pp. 130 - 142 |
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| Main Authors | , , , , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
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Chichester, UK
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
01.01.2012
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| Abstract | The analysis of the impact of climate change (CC) on flood peaks has been the subject of several studies. However, a flood is characterized not only by its peak, but also by other characteristics such as its volume and duration. Little effort has been directed towards the study of the impact of CC on these characteristics. The aim of the present study is to evaluate and compare flood characteristics in a CC context, in the watershed of the Baskatong reservoir (Province of Québec, Canada). Comparisons are based on observed flow data and simulated flow series obtained from hydrological models using meteorological data from a regional climate model for a reference period (1971–2000) and a future period (2041–2070). To this end, two hydrological models HSAMI and HYDROTEL are considered. Correlations, stationarity, change‐points, and the multivariate behaviour of flood series were studied. The results show that, at various levels, all flood characteristics could be affected by CC. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
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| AbstractList | The analysis of the impact of climate change (CC) on flood peaks has been the subject of several studies. However, a flood is characterized not only by its peak, but also by other characteristics such as its volume and duration. Little effort has been directed towards the study of the impact of CC on these characteristics. The aim of the present study is to evaluate and compare flood characteristics in a CC context, in the watershed of the Baskatong reservoir (Province of Québec, Canada). Comparisons are based on observed flow data and simulated flow series obtained from hydrological models using meteorological data from a regional climate model for a reference period (1971–2000) and a future period (2041–2070). To this end, two hydrological models HSAMI and HYDROTEL are considered. Correlations, stationarity, change‐points, and the multivariate behaviour of flood series were studied. The results show that, at various levels, all flood characteristics could be affected by CC. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. The analysis of the impact of climate change (CC) on flood peaks has been the subject of several studies. However, a flood is characterized not only by its peak, but also by other characteristics such as its volume and duration. Little effort has been directed towards the study of the impact of CC on these characteristics. The aim of the present study is to evaluate and compare flood characteristics in a CC context, in the watershed of the Baskatong reservoir (Province of Québec, Canada). Comparisons are based on observed flow data and simulated flow series obtained from hydrological models using meteorological data from a regional climate model for a reference period (1971–2000) and a future period (2041–2070). To this end, two hydrological models HSAMI and HYDROTEL are considered. Correlations, stationarity, change‐points, and the multivariate behaviour of flood series were studied. The results show that, at various levels, all flood characteristics could be affected by CC. |
| Author | Ouarda, T. B. M. J. Roy, L. Robichaud, É. Aissia, M.-A. Ben Desrochers, G. Chebana, F. Chartier, I. |
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| References_xml | – reference: Corder GW, Foreman DI. 2009. Nonparametric Statistics for Non-Statisticians: A Step-by-Step Approach. Wiley: New Jersey. – reference: Cunderlik JM, Ouarda TBMJ. 2006. Regional flood-duration-frequency modeling in the changing environment. Journal of Hydrology 318(1): 276-291. – reference: Seidou O, Ouarda TBMJ. 2007. Recursion-based multiple change-point detection in multiple linear regression and application to river stream flows. Water Resources Research 43: W07404, DOI:10.1029/2006WR005021. – reference: Beaulieu C, Seidou O, Ouarda TBMJ, Zhang X. 2009. Intercomparison of homogenization techniques for precipitation data continued: Comparison of two recent Bayesian change point models. Water Resources Research 45(8): W08410. – reference: Fortin JP, Moussa R, Bocquillon C, Villeneuve JP. 1995. Hydrotel, un modèle hydrologique distribué pouvant bénéficier des données fournies par la télédétection et les systèmes d'information géographique. Revue des Sciences de l'eau 8: 97-124. (In French). – reference: Mann HB. 1945. Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometric 13: 245-259. – reference: Graham LP, Andréasson J, Carlsson B. 2007. Assessing climate change impacts on hydrology from an ensemble of regional climate models, model scales and linking methods-A case study on the Lule River basin. Climate Change 81: 293-307. – reference: Haktanir T, Sezen N. 1990. Suitability of two-parameter gamma and three-parameter beta distributions as synthetic unit hydrographs in Anatolia. Hydrological Science Journal 35(2): 167-184. – reference: Saint-Laurent D, Mesfioui M, Even G. 2009. Hydroclimatic variability and relation with flood events (Southern Québec, Canada). Water Resources 36(1): 43-56. – reference: Wong G, Lambert MF, Metcalfe AV. 2008. Trivariate copulas for characterisation of droughts. Anziam Journal 9: C306-C323. – reference: Music B, Caya D. 2007. 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| SubjectTerms | Climate change climate models Copula Flood characteristics floods hydrologic models meteorological data Multivariate analysis watersheds |
| Title | Multivariate analysis of flood characteristics in a climate change context of the watershed of the Baskatong reservoir, Province of Québec, Canada |
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