The Moran effect revisited: spatial population synchrony under global warming

• Published in: Ecography (Copenhagen) Vol. 43; no. 11; pp. 1591 - 1602
• Main Authors: Hansen, Brage B., Grøtan, Vidar, Herfindal, Ivar, Lee, Aline M.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Oxford, UK Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01.11.2020; John Wiley & Sons, Inc
• Subjects: Autocorrelation; Background noise; birds; Climate change; Climate effects; Correlation; Density; density regulation; Dispersal; Dispersion; Ecological effects; ecosystems; Environmental changes; Environmental factors; Fluctuations; Food webs; generalized Moran effect; Global warming; Impact prediction; Insects; Literature reviews; Local population; mammals; Marine plants; nonlinear dynamics; Plankton; Population; Population dynamics; Populations; prediction; Weather

The world is spatially autocorrelated. Both abiotic and biotic properties are more similar among neighboring than distant locations, and their temporal co‐fluctuations also decrease with distance. P. A. P. Moran realized the ecological importance of such ‘spatial synchrony’ when he predicted that is...