Models predict planned phosphorus load reduction will make Lake Erie more toxic

• Published in: Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) Vol. 376; no. 6596; pp. 1001 - 1005
• Main Authors: Hellweger, Ferdi L., Martin, Robbie M., Eigemann, Falk, Smith, Derek J., Dick, Gregory J., Wilhelm, Steven W.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States The American Association for the Advancement of Science 27.05.2022
• Subjects: Aquatic animals; Cyanobacteria; Drinking water; Environmental conditions; Hydrogen peroxide; Lakes; Light transmission; Meta Analysis; Microcystins - analysis; Microcystis; Molecular modelling; Nitrogen; Nutrients; Phosphorus; Photosynthesis; Reduction; Toxins; Lake Erie

Harmful cyanobacteria are a global environmental problem, yet we lack actionable understanding of toxigenic versus nontoxigenic strain ecology and toxin production. We performed a large-scale meta-analysis including 103 papers and used it to develop a mechanistic, agent-based model of Microcystis gr...