Greening the career incentive structure for local officials in China: Does less pollution increase the chances of promotion for Chinese local leaders?

Does it pay to be “greener” as a local official in China? In this paper, we examine the effect of local environment regulation outcomes, i.e., local pollution, on leaders’ chances of promotion. This is an important question because only when the Chinese cadre evaluation system rewards local official...

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Published inJournal of environmental economics and management Vol. 107; p. 102440
Main Authors Wu, Mingqin, Cao, Xun
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Inc 01.05.2021
Elsevier B.V
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Abstract Does it pay to be “greener” as a local official in China? In this paper, we examine the effect of local environment regulation outcomes, i.e., local pollution, on leaders’ chances of promotion. This is an important question because only when the Chinese cadre evaluation system rewards local officials’ green behaviors, these officials would move away from their past priority in promoting economic growth at all costs, so that the environmental crisis in China might be addressed. We collect party secretary data for Chinese counties between 2001 and 2014 to measure promotion patterns. We construct county-year SO2 and PM2.5 pollution measures using NASA satellite data. We adopt an instrumental variable approach to deal with potential endogeneity issues of the pollution variables: for both PM 2.5 and SO2, we use ventilation coefficient, i.e., the product of wind speed and mixing layer height, as the instrument. Our empirical analysis shows that for county party secretaries, those who are able to reduce air pollution are more likely to be promoted. We find similar results for county magistrates. However, we do not find evidence for this pollution-promotion link for prefecture and provincial party secretaries.
AbstractList Does it pay to be “greener” as a local official in China? In this paper, we examine the effect of local environment regulation outcomes, i.e., local pollution, on leaders’ chances of promotion. This is an important question because only when the Chinese cadre evaluation system rewards local officials’ green behaviors, these officials would move away from their past priority in promoting economic growth at all costs, so that the environmental crisis in China might be addressed. We collect party secretary data for Chinese counties between 2001 and 2014 to measure promotion patterns. We construct county-year SO2 and PM2.5 pollution measures using NASA satellite data. We adopt an instrumental variable approach to deal with potential endogeneity issues of the pollution variables: for both PM 2.5 and SO2, we use ventilation coefficient, i.e., the product of wind speed and mixing layer height, as the instrument. Our empirical analysis shows that for county party secretaries, those who are able to reduce air pollution are more likely to be promoted. We find similar results for county magistrates. However, we do not find evidence for this pollution-promotion link for prefecture and provincial party secretaries.
ArticleNumber 102440
Audience Academic
Author Cao, Xun
Wu, Mingqin
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Mingqin
  surname: Wu
  fullname: Wu, Mingqin
  organization: South China Research Center for Market Economy, Regional Economic Research Center, School of Economics and Management, South China Normal University, China
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Xun
  surname: Cao
  fullname: Cao, Xun
  email: xuc11@psu.edu
  organization: Department of Political Science and School of Public Policy, Pennsylvania State University, USA
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China
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Snippet Does it pay to be “greener” as a local official in China? In this paper, we examine the effect of local environment regulation outcomes, i.e., local pollution,...
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StartPage 102440
SubjectTerms Air pollution
Air quality management
Analysis
Career incentive structure
China
Environmental law
Local leader promotion
Pollution
Sustainable living
Title Greening the career incentive structure for local officials in China: Does less pollution increase the chances of promotion for Chinese local leaders?
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2021.102440
Volume 107
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