Crypto market relationships with bric countries' uncertainty – A wavelet-based approach
This study focuses on exploring the relationships between different categories of crypto assets and measures of uncertainty in BRIC countries, specifically examining geopolitical risk (GPR) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Our findings indicate that the co-movement of the EPU and GPR indexes w...
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| Published in | Technological forecasting & social change Vol. 200; p. 123078 |
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| Main Authors | , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
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Elsevier Inc
01.03.2024
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| Abstract | This study focuses on exploring the relationships between different categories of crypto assets and measures of uncertainty in BRIC countries, specifically examining geopolitical risk (GPR) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Our findings indicate that the co-movement of the EPU and GPR indexes with different categories of crypto assets is influenced by factors such as the time period, investment horizons, and the type of event, and that it differs across crypto assets. An overall pattern is observed, suggesting that the crypto market does not act as a hedge against economic policy uncertainties (EPU) but demonstrates a hedging effect against geopolitical risk (GPR). This distinction in hedging effectiveness is influenced by the nature of events (COVID-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine), since investors' expectations and perception of risk differ during these events. Furthermore, our analysis shows that stablecoins and memecoins do not exhibit consistent results in relation to GPR and EPU, suggesting that they may not serve as reliable hedging instruments against geopolitical risks or economic policy uncertainties in the BRIC countries. Our findings carry important implications for investors, portfolio managers, policy makers, and researchers, offering insights into portfolio risk management, regulatory frameworks, and the behavior of the cryptocurrency market in the face of uncertainties.
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•Assessment of Cryptocurrency’s relationships with BRIC’s uncertainty.•Analysis focused on different uncertainty measures such as the GPR and EPU.•Crypto market does not act as a hedge against economic policy uncertainties.•Crypto market can act as a hedge against geopolitical risk.•Type of event influences the co-movement between uncertainties and crypto assets. |
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| AbstractList | This study focuses on exploring the relationships between different categories of crypto assets and measures of uncertainty in BRIC countries, specifically examining geopolitical risk (GPR) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Our findings indicate that the co-movement of the EPU and GPR indexes with different categories of crypto assets is influenced by factors such as the time period, investment horizons, and the type of event, and that it differs across crypto assets. An overall pattern is observed, suggesting that the crypto market does not act as a hedge against economic policy uncertainties (EPU) but demonstrates a hedging effect against geopolitical risk (GPR). This distinction in hedging effectiveness is influenced by the nature of events (COVID-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine), since investors' expectations and perception of risk differ during these events. Furthermore, our analysis shows that stablecoins and memecoins do not exhibit consistent results in relation to GPR and EPU, suggesting that they may not serve as reliable hedging instruments against geopolitical risks or economic policy uncertainties in the BRIC countries. Our findings carry important implications for investors, portfolio managers, policy makers, and researchers, offering insights into portfolio risk management, regulatory frameworks, and the behavior of the cryptocurrency market in the face of uncertainties.
[Display omitted]
•Assessment of Cryptocurrency’s relationships with BRIC’s uncertainty.•Analysis focused on different uncertainty measures such as the GPR and EPU.•Crypto market does not act as a hedge against economic policy uncertainties.•Crypto market can act as a hedge against geopolitical risk.•Type of event influences the co-movement between uncertainties and crypto assets. |
| ArticleNumber | 123078 |
| Author | Almeida, José Gaio, Cristina Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz |
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