Population estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment in the United States (2020–2060)

Introduction The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden. Methods We estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test score...

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Published inAlzheimer's & dementia Vol. 17; no. 12; pp. 1966 - 1975
Main Authors Rajan, Kumar B., Weuve, Jennifer, Barnes, Lisa L., McAninch, Elizabeth A., Wilson, Robert S., Evans, Denis A.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published United States 01.12.2021
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Abstract Introduction The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden. Methods We estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test scores. Results The 2020 US Census–adjusted prevalence of clinical AD was 11.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.7–11.9): 10.0% among non‐Hispanic Whites, 14.0% among Hispanics, and 18.6% among non‐Hispanic Blacks. We estimate that in 2020, 6.07 (95% CI = 5.75–6.38) million people were living with clinical AD, which increases to 13.85 (95% CI = 12.98–14.74) million in 2060, 423% higher among Hispanics, 192% higher among Blacks, and 63% higher among Whites. However, there are predicted to be more significant increases in later years among those over 85 and women compared to men. Discussion The number of people with clinical AD will increase as the “baby boom” generation reaches older ages, exerting a strong upward influence on disease burden.
AbstractList Introduction The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden. Methods We estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test scores. Results The 2020 US Census–adjusted prevalence of clinical AD was 11.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.7–11.9): 10.0% among non‐Hispanic Whites, 14.0% among Hispanics, and 18.6% among non‐Hispanic Blacks. We estimate that in 2020, 6.07 (95% CI = 5.75–6.38) million people were living with clinical AD, which increases to 13.85 (95% CI = 12.98–14.74) million in 2060, 423% higher among Hispanics, 192% higher among Blacks, and 63% higher among Whites. However, there are predicted to be more significant increases in later years among those over 85 and women compared to men. Discussion The number of people with clinical AD will increase as the “baby boom” generation reaches older ages, exerting a strong upward influence on disease burden.
The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden.INTRODUCTIONThe estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden.We estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test scores.METHODSWe estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test scores.The 2020 US Census-adjusted prevalence of clinical AD was 11.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.7-11.9): 10.0% among non-Hispanic Whites, 14.0% among Hispanics, and 18.6% among non-Hispanic Blacks. We estimate that in 2020, 6.07 (95% CI = 5.75-6.38) million people were living with clinical AD, which increases to 13.85 (95% CI = 12.98-14.74) million in 2060, 423% higher among Hispanics, 192% higher among Blacks, and 63% higher among Whites. However, there are predicted to be more significant increases in later years among those over 85 and women compared to men.RESULTSThe 2020 US Census-adjusted prevalence of clinical AD was 11.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.7-11.9): 10.0% among non-Hispanic Whites, 14.0% among Hispanics, and 18.6% among non-Hispanic Blacks. We estimate that in 2020, 6.07 (95% CI = 5.75-6.38) million people were living with clinical AD, which increases to 13.85 (95% CI = 12.98-14.74) million in 2060, 423% higher among Hispanics, 192% higher among Blacks, and 63% higher among Whites. However, there are predicted to be more significant increases in later years among those over 85 and women compared to men.The number of people with clinical AD will increase as the "baby boom" generation reaches older ages, exerting a strong upward influence on disease burden.DISCUSSIONThe number of people with clinical AD will increase as the "baby boom" generation reaches older ages, exerting a strong upward influence on disease burden.
The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden. We estimated people with cognitive impairment using a quasibinomial regression model in 10,342 participants with cognitive test scores. The 2020 US Census-adjusted prevalence of clinical AD was 11.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.7-11.9): 10.0% among non-Hispanic Whites, 14.0% among Hispanics, and 18.6% among non-Hispanic Blacks. We estimate that in 2020, 6.07 (95% CI = 5.75-6.38) million people were living with clinical AD, which increases to 13.85 (95% CI = 12.98-14.74) million in 2060, 423% higher among Hispanics, 192% higher among Blacks, and 63% higher among Whites. However, there are predicted to be more significant increases in later years among those over 85 and women compared to men. The number of people with clinical AD will increase as the "baby boom" generation reaches older ages, exerting a strong upward influence on disease burden.
Author Weuve, Jennifer
Barnes, Lisa L.
McAninch, Elizabeth A.
Rajan, Kumar B.
Wilson, Robert S.
Evans, Denis A.
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Kumar B.
  surname: Rajan
  fullname: Rajan, Kumar B.
  email: Kumar_Rajan@Rush.edu
  organization: Rush University Medical Center
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Jennifer
  surname: Weuve
  fullname: Weuve, Jennifer
  organization: Boston University School of Public Health
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Lisa L.
  surname: Barnes
  fullname: Barnes, Lisa L.
  organization: Rush University Medical Center
– sequence: 4
  givenname: Elizabeth A.
  surname: McAninch
  fullname: McAninch, Elizabeth A.
  organization: Rush University Medical Center
– sequence: 5
  givenname: Robert S.
  surname: Wilson
  fullname: Wilson, Robert S.
  organization: Rush University Medical Center
– sequence: 6
  givenname: Denis A.
  surname: Evans
  fullname: Evans, Denis A.
  organization: Rush University Medical Center
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34043283$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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2020 US prevalence
clinical Alzheimer's disease
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Snippet Introduction The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden....
The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden. We estimated...
The estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment provides an understanding of the disease burden.INTRODUCTIONThe...
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StartPage 1966
SubjectTerms 2020 US prevalence
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Alzheimer Disease - epidemiology
clinical Alzheimer's disease
Cognitive Dysfunction - epidemiology
Cost of Illness
Ethnicity - statistics & numerical data
Female
forecasting
Humans
Male
mild cognitive impairment
Models, Statistical
Prevalence
Title Population estimate of people with clinical Alzheimer's disease and mild cognitive impairment in the United States (2020–2060)
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002%2Falz.12362
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34043283
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2533314411
Volume 17
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