Network-Based Layered Architecture for Long-Term Prediction

In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on backpropagation neural network. The proposed layered architecture consists of two layers. The first layer can find the optimum number of past time wind...

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Published inIEEE access Vol. 8; pp. 18252 - 18257
Main Authors Wang, Weina, Lin, Kai, Zhao, Jinxing
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Piscataway IEEE 2020
The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE)
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Abstract In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on backpropagation neural network. The proposed layered architecture consists of two layers. The first layer can find the optimum number of past time windows, and the second layer implements long-term prediction based on the obtained optimum number of windows. A series of experiments using publicly time series are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed architecture. The experimental results have revealed that the architecture has better performance in accuracy and stability.
AbstractList In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on backpropagation neural network. The proposed layered architecture consists of two layers. The first layer can find the optimum number of past time windows, and the second layer implements long-term prediction based on the obtained optimum number of windows. A series of experiments using publicly time series are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed architecture. The experimental results have revealed that the architecture has better performance in accuracy and stability.
Author Zhao, Jinxing
Lin, Kai
Wang, Weina
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SubjectTerms Back propagation
Back propagation networks
Backpropagation
Forecasting
layered architecture
Long-term prediction
neural network
Neural networks
Predictive models
STEM
Time series
Time series analysis
Training data
Windows (intervals)
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Title Network-Based Layered Architecture for Long-Term Prediction
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