Network-Based Layered Architecture for Long-Term Prediction
In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on backpropagation neural network. The proposed layered architecture consists of two layers. The first layer can find the optimum number of past time wind...
Saved in:
Published in | IEEE access Vol. 8; pp. 18252 - 18257 |
---|---|
Main Authors | , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Piscataway
IEEE
2020
The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
Cover
Loading…
Abstract | In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on backpropagation neural network. The proposed layered architecture consists of two layers. The first layer can find the optimum number of past time windows, and the second layer implements long-term prediction based on the obtained optimum number of windows. A series of experiments using publicly time series are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed architecture. The experimental results have revealed that the architecture has better performance in accuracy and stability. |
---|---|
AbstractList | In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on backpropagation neural network. The proposed layered architecture consists of two layers. The first layer can find the optimum number of past time windows, and the second layer implements long-term prediction based on the obtained optimum number of windows. A series of experiments using publicly time series are conducted to assess the performance of the proposed architecture. The experimental results have revealed that the architecture has better performance in accuracy and stability. |
Author | Zhao, Jinxing Lin, Kai Wang, Weina |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Weina orcidid: 0000-0001-6773-7777 surname: Wang fullname: Wang, Weina organization: School of Science, Jilin Institute of Chemical Technology, Jilin, China – sequence: 2 givenname: Kai orcidid: 0000-0001-8178-6348 surname: Lin fullname: Lin, Kai organization: College of Information and Control Engineering, Jilin Institute of Chemical Technology, Jilin, China – sequence: 3 givenname: Jinxing orcidid: 0000-0002-5261-2493 surname: Zhao fullname: Zhao, Jinxing email: zhjxing@imu.edu.cn organization: School of Mathematical Sciences, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, China |
BookMark | eNpNkE1PwzAMhiMEEp-_YJdKnDuSOElTcRrTgEkVIA3OUZY6owOakXZC_HsyiiZ8sWX7fW09p-SwDS0SMmJ0zBgtrybT6WyxGHPK6ZiXSosCDsgJZ6rMQYI6_Fcfk4uuW9MUOrVkcUKuH7D_CvEtv7Ed1lllvzGmPInutenR9duImQ8xq0K7yp8xfmRPad64vgntOTny9r3Di798Rl5uZ8_T-7x6vJtPJ1XuQOo-Z4DSFsoJXzIQBVJWKuTKK4e0YLpmmgMCcgq1EgqZdAggPfOyRo1OwRmZD751sGuzic2Hjd8m2Mb8NkJcGRv7xr2jYVg65UWtS2EFsEJzv2R8aR0upYSaJq_LwWsTw-cWu96swza26X3DhUzouFYybcGw5WLouoh-f5VRs4NuBuhmB938QU-q0aBqEHGv0KUSICj8AGNXfXw |
CODEN | IAECCG |
Cites_doi | 10.1016/j.eswa.2014.08.018 10.1016/j.eswa.2013.04.013 10.1080/08839514.2013.805599 10.1016/j.patrec.2005.03.002 10.1016/j.ins.2014.09.027 10.1016/j.asoc.2017.04.014 10.1109/TIT.2018.2868945 10.1016/j.asoc.2012.10.014 10.1016/j.neucom.2013.03.047 10.7551/mitpress/5236.003.0018 10.1109/TNNLS.2012.2198074 10.1016/0165-0114(95)00220-0 10.1016/j.ins.2017.09.067 10.1109/TSMCC.2011.2170420 10.1016/S0925-2312(01)00702-0 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.11.042 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.02.011 |
ContentType | Journal Article |
Copyright | Copyright The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) 2020 |
Copyright_xml | – notice: Copyright The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) 2020 |
DBID | 97E ESBDL RIA RIE AAYXX CITATION 7SC 7SP 7SR 8BQ 8FD JG9 JQ2 L7M L~C L~D DOA |
DOI | 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2968473 |
DatabaseName | IEEE Xplore (IEEE) IEEE Xplore Open Access Journals IEEE All-Society Periodicals Package (ASPP) 1998–Present IEEE Electronic Library (IEL) CrossRef Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Electronics & Communications Abstracts Engineered Materials Abstracts METADEX Technology Research Database Materials Research Database ProQuest Computer Science Collection Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Academic Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Professional DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals |
DatabaseTitle | CrossRef Materials Research Database Engineered Materials Abstracts Technology Research Database Computer and Information Systems Abstracts – Academic Electronics & Communications Abstracts ProQuest Computer Science Collection Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace METADEX Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Professional |
DatabaseTitleList | Materials Research Database |
Database_xml | – sequence: 1 dbid: DOA name: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals url: https://www.doaj.org/ sourceTypes: Open Website – sequence: 2 dbid: RIE name: IEEE Electronic Library (IEL) url: https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/ sourceTypes: Publisher |
DeliveryMethod | fulltext_linktorsrc |
Discipline | Engineering |
EISSN | 2169-3536 |
EndPage | 18257 |
ExternalDocumentID | oai_doaj_org_article_1e9c6f4d894a431782fb12baceb553d0 10_1109_ACCESS_2020_2968473 8964340 |
Genre | orig-research |
GrantInformation_xml | – fundername: Education Department of Jilin Province grantid: JJKH20200234KJ funderid: 10.13039/501100010211 – fundername: Science and Technology Innovation Development Program of Jilin City grantid: 201831769; 20190104204 – fundername: Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia grantid: 2018MS01017 funderid: 10.13039/501100004763 – fundername: National Natural Science Foundation of China grantid: 11965014 funderid: 10.13039/501100001809 |
GroupedDBID | 0R~ 4.4 5VS 6IK 97E AAJGR ABAZT ABVLG ACGFS ADBBV AGSQL ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS BCNDV BEFXN BFFAM BGNUA BKEBE BPEOZ EBS EJD ESBDL GROUPED_DOAJ IPLJI JAVBF KQ8 M43 M~E O9- OCL OK1 RIA RIE RNS AAYXX CITATION RIG 7SC 7SP 7SR 8BQ 8FD JG9 JQ2 L7M L~C L~D |
ID | FETCH-LOGICAL-c358t-13e5a76c4f91347e0196e26f6ce0718d1823e3e203d646e15ce335f1f5de8ec63 |
IEDL.DBID | RIE |
ISSN | 2169-3536 |
IngestDate | Wed Aug 27 01:31:35 EDT 2025 Sun Jun 29 15:52:59 EDT 2025 Tue Jul 01 01:22:06 EDT 2025 Wed Aug 27 02:41:41 EDT 2025 |
IsDoiOpenAccess | true |
IsOpenAccess | true |
IsPeerReviewed | true |
IsScholarly | true |
Language | English |
License | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode |
LinkModel | DirectLink |
MergedId | FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c358t-13e5a76c4f91347e0196e26f6ce0718d1823e3e203d646e15ce335f1f5de8ec63 |
Notes | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 |
ORCID | 0000-0001-8178-6348 0000-0001-6773-7777 0000-0002-5261-2493 |
OpenAccessLink | https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8964340 |
PQID | 2454732865 |
PQPubID | 4845423 |
PageCount | 6 |
ParticipantIDs | doaj_primary_oai_doaj_org_article_1e9c6f4d894a431782fb12baceb553d0 proquest_journals_2454732865 ieee_primary_8964340 crossref_primary_10_1109_ACCESS_2020_2968473 |
ProviderPackageCode | CITATION AAYXX |
PublicationCentury | 2000 |
PublicationDate | 20200000 2020-00-00 20200101 2020-01-01 |
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD | 2020-01-01 |
PublicationDate_xml | – year: 2020 text: 20200000 |
PublicationDecade | 2020 |
PublicationPlace | Piscataway |
PublicationPlace_xml | – name: Piscataway |
PublicationTitle | IEEE access |
PublicationTitleAbbrev | Access |
PublicationYear | 2020 |
Publisher | IEEE The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Publisher_xml | – name: IEEE – name: The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
References | ref13 ref12 ref14 ref11 ref10 cortez (ref6) 2002 wang (ref19) 2016; 12 ref2 ref17 ref16 ref18 ref8 ref7 yan (ref15) 2012; 23 ref9 ref4 ref3 ref5 lin (ref1) 2012; 42 |
References_xml | – ident: ref13 doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2014.08.018 – start-page: 52 year: 2002 ident: ref6 article-title: Real-time forecasting by bio-inspired models publication-title: Proc 2nd Conf Artificial Intell Appl – ident: ref11 doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2013.04.013 – ident: ref5 doi: 10.1080/08839514.2013.805599 – ident: ref10 doi: 10.1016/j.patrec.2005.03.002 – ident: ref9 doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2014.09.027 – ident: ref14 doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2017.04.014 – ident: ref3 doi: 10.1109/TIT.2018.2868945 – ident: ref2 doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2012.10.014 – volume: 12 start-page: 15 year: 2016 ident: ref19 article-title: S-reits' performance forecast using a small sample model associating support vector machine with vector auto-regression model publication-title: Int J Innov Comput Inf Control – ident: ref8 doi: 10.1016/j.neucom.2013.03.047 – ident: ref18 doi: 10.7551/mitpress/5236.003.0018 – volume: 23 start-page: 1028 year: 2012 ident: ref15 article-title: Toward automatic time-series forecasting using neural networks publication-title: IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst doi: 10.1109/TNNLS.2012.2198074 – ident: ref7 doi: 10.1016/0165-0114(95)00220-0 – ident: ref17 doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2017.09.067 – volume: 42 start-page: 421 year: 2012 ident: ref1 article-title: Machine learning in financial crisis prediction: A survey publication-title: IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern C (Appl Rev ) doi: 10.1109/TSMCC.2011.2170420 – ident: ref12 doi: 10.1016/S0925-2312(01)00702-0 – ident: ref4 doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2011.11.042 – ident: ref16 doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.02.011 |
SSID | ssj0000816957 |
Score | 2.1543694 |
Snippet | In time series forecasting, a challenging and important task is to realize long-term prediction. This paper proposes a layered architecture based on... |
SourceID | doaj proquest crossref ieee |
SourceType | Open Website Aggregation Database Index Database Publisher |
StartPage | 18252 |
SubjectTerms | Back propagation Back propagation networks Backpropagation Forecasting layered architecture Long-term prediction neural network Neural networks Predictive models STEM Time series Time series analysis Training data Windows (intervals) |
SummonAdditionalLinks | – databaseName: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals dbid: DOA link: http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwrV09T8MwELVQJxgQUBCFgjIwEpr4K7aY2oqqQqViaKVuVuyc2VJUysC_x5ekVRADC6sVJfE7-95dznlHyF3YMk7ZLI8pz2nMaepizaSPcT15b1GxDSu6L3M5XfLnlVi1Wn3hmbBaHrgGbpCCdtLzQmmeI9kp6m1Kbe7ACsGKKlsPnNdKpiofrFKpRdbIDKWJHgzH4zCjkBDS5IFqGZwy-0FFlWJ_02Lll1-uyGZyQo6bKDEa1m93Sg6gPCNHLe3ALnmc1we441HgoSKa5V_YdTMatgoDUQhIo9m6fIsXwf9GrxssyqAhzsly8rQYT-OmE0LsmFDYLx5EnknHPRbKM0BRG6DSSwchRFBFSBIYMKAJKySXkAoHjAmfelGAAifZBemU6xIuSSS01yJQEPcCuM8LmzCaa2ETC6l0GeuR-x0o5r0WvDBVopBoU2NoEEPTYNgjIwRufymqVVcDwYamsaH5y4Y90kXY9zdRKBLGw3B_ZwbT7KwPQ1GBjOH_tFf_8ehrcojTqT-q9Elnu_mEmxBmbO1ttaK-AZcky_0 priority: 102 providerName: Directory of Open Access Journals |
Title | Network-Based Layered Architecture for Long-Term Prediction |
URI | https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8964340 https://www.proquest.com/docview/2454732865 https://doaj.org/article/1e9c6f4d894a431782fb12baceb553d0 |
Volume | 8 |
hasFullText | 1 |
inHoldings | 1 |
isFullTextHit | |
isPrint | |
link | http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwjV07T8MwED5BJxh4IwoFZWBsSuJXYjGVigohqBhAYrNi58yA1KLSDvDr8SVpVR4DWxQlkXPv8_m-AzgPKuNymxUxEwWLBUtdrLnyMcmT95YQ26iiez9SN0_i9lk-r0F32QuDiNXhM-zRZVXLLyduTltlFzmBR4mQoK-HxK3u1Vrup9AACS2zBlgoTfRFfzAI_xBSQJb0mFbBDPNvzqfC6G-GqvyyxJV7GW7D_WJh9amS1958Znvu8wdm439XvgNbTZwZ9WvB2IU1HO_B5gr64D5cjuoj4PFV8GRldFd80NzOqL9SWohCSBvdTcYv8WOw4NHDlMo6xMoDeBpePw5u4maWQuy4zGniPMoiU054KrVnSLA4yJRXDkOQkZchzeDIkSW8VEJhKh1yLn3qZYk5OsUPoTWejPEIIqm9lsGJCS9R-KK0CWeFljaxmCqX8TZ0F0Q2bzVkhqlSjUSbmieGeGIanrThihixfJTwrqsbgYCmUR-TonbKizLXoqCQJ2fepswWDq2UvEzasE9EX36koXcbOgu2mkY33w0jDDNOHbnHf791Ahu0wHqjpQOt2XSOpyH0mNmzKmU_qyTvC2Vs1gc |
linkProvider | IEEE |
linkToHtml | http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwjV07b9swED4EzpB0aB5uUTdOq6GjZUt8SUQmx2jgJraRwQGyESJ17FDALlx7aH99eZIspEmGboIgCdS9j8f7DuBLUBmX26yImShYLFjqYs2Vj0mevLeE2EYV3flCTR_E7aN8PIBB2wuDiNXhMxzSZVXLL9duR1tlo5zAo0RI0A-D35dp3a3V7qjQCAktswZaKE30aDyZhL8ISSBLhkyrYIj5P-6nQulvxqq8sMWVg7k5gfl-afW5kh_D3dYO3Z9nqI3_u_ZTeNtEmtG4Fo0zOMDVObx5gj_YhatFfQg8vg6-rIxmxW-a3BmNnxQXohDURrP16nu8DDY8ut9QYYeY-Q4ebr4uJ9O4maYQOy5zmjmPssiUE56K7RkSMA4y5ZXDEGbkZUg0OHJkCS-VUJhKh5xLn3pZYo5O8ffQWa1X-AEiqb2WwY0JL1H4orQJZ4WWNrGYKpfxHgz2RDY_a9AMUyUbiTY1TwzxxDQ86cE1MaJ9lBCvqxuBgKZRIJOidsqLMteioKAnZ96mzBYOrZS8THrQJaK3H2no3YP-nq2m0c5fhhGKGaee3I-vv_UZjqbL-czMvi3uLuCYFltvu_Shs93s8DIEIlv7qZK_v6zD2Fs |
openUrl | ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Network-Based+Layered+Architecture+for+Long-Term+Prediction&rft.jtitle=IEEE+access&rft.au=Wang%2C+Weina&rft.au=Lin%2C+Kai&rft.au=Zhao%2C+Jinxing&rft.date=2020&rft.issn=2169-3536&rft.eissn=2169-3536&rft.volume=8&rft.spage=18252&rft.epage=18257&rft_id=info:doi/10.1109%2FACCESS.2020.2968473&rft.externalDBID=n%2Fa&rft.externalDocID=10_1109_ACCESS_2020_2968473 |
thumbnail_l | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=2169-3536&client=summon |
thumbnail_m | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=2169-3536&client=summon |
thumbnail_s | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=2169-3536&client=summon |