Staffing Levels and COVID‐19 Cases and Outbreaks in U.S. Nursing Homes
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond...
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Published in | Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) Vol. 68; no. 11; pp. 2462 - 2466 |
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Main Authors | , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Hoboken, USA
John Wiley & Sons, Inc
01.11.2020
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc |
Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Abstract | BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES
Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID‐19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.
DESIGN
We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility‐level data on COVID‐19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID‐19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial‐2 regressions.
SETTING
All nursing homes in the CMS COVID‐19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.
PARTICIPANTS
Residents of nursing homes that met COVID‐19 reporting requirements.
MEASUREMENTS
A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID‐19 among residents and staff.
RESULTS
A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID‐19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse‐hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.
CONCLUSION
The prevalence of COVID‐19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID‐19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths. |
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AbstractList | Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID-19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVESNursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID-19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility-level data on COVID-19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID-19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial-2 regressions.DESIGNWe analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility-level data on COVID-19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID-19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial-2 regressions.All nursing homes in the CMS COVID-19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.SETTINGAll nursing homes in the CMS COVID-19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.Residents of nursing homes that met COVID-19 reporting requirements.PARTICIPANTSResidents of nursing homes that met COVID-19 reporting requirements.A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID-19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 among residents and staff.MEASUREMENTSA nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID-19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 among residents and staff.A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID-19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse-hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.RESULTSA total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID-19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse-hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.The prevalence of COVID-19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.CONCLUSIONThe prevalence of COVID-19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths. BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID‐19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity. DESIGN We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility‐level data on COVID‐19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID‐19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial‐2 regressions. SETTING All nursing homes in the CMS COVID‐19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020. PARTICIPANTS Residents of nursing homes that met COVID‐19 reporting requirements. MEASUREMENTS A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID‐19 among residents and staff. RESULTS A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID‐19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse‐hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county. CONCLUSION The prevalence of COVID‐19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID‐19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths. BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVESNursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID‐19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.DESIGNWe analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility‐level data on COVID‐19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID‐19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial‐2 regressions.SETTINGAll nursing homes in the CMS COVID‐19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.PARTICIPANTSResidents of nursing homes that met COVID‐19 reporting requirements.MEASUREMENTSA nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID‐19 among residents and staff.RESULTSA total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID‐19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse‐hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.CONCLUSIONThe prevalence of COVID‐19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID‐19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths. Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID-19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity. We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility-level data on COVID-19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID-19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial-2 regressions. All nursing homes in the CMS COVID-19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020. Residents of nursing homes that met COVID-19 reporting requirements. A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID-19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 among residents and staff. A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID-19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse-hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county. The prevalence of COVID-19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths. |
Author | Gorges, Rebecca J. Konetzka, R. Tamara |
AuthorAffiliation | 1 Department of Public Health Sciences The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA 2 Department of Medicine The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA |
AuthorAffiliation_xml | – name: 2 Department of Medicine The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA – name: 1 Department of Public Health Sciences The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Rebecca J. orcidid: 0000-0003-3300-0579 surname: Gorges fullname: Gorges, Rebecca J. email: rjgorges@uchicago.edu organization: The University of Chicago – sequence: 2 givenname: R. Tamara surname: Konetzka fullname: Konetzka, R. Tamara organization: The University of Chicago |
BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32770832$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
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Cites_doi | 10.1177/1527154420938707 10.1111/jgs.16661 10.1111/jgs.16689 10.1111/jgs16642 |
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Copyright | 2020 The American Geriatrics Society 2020 The American Geriatrics Society. 2020 American Geriatrics Society and Wiley Periodicals, Inc. |
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Notes | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 14 content type line 23 This article was published online on 28 August 2020. An error was subsequently identified in the author name. This notice is included in both the online and print versions to indicate that they have been corrected on 3 September 2020. |
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References | 2017 2020 2020; 68 2020; 21 e_1_2_6_9_1 e_1_2_6_8_1 e_1_2_6_5_1 e_1_2_6_4_1 e_1_2_6_10_1 e_1_2_6_7_1 e_1_2_6_6_1 Deb P (e_1_2_6_12_1) 2017 e_1_2_6_3_1 e_1_2_6_11_1 e_1_2_6_2_1 |
References_xml | – year: 2017 – volume: 21 start-page: 174 year: 2020 end-page: 186 article-title: Nurse staffing and coronavirus infections in California nursing homes publication-title: Policy Polit Nurs Pract – year: 2020 article-title: Variation in SARS‐CoV‐2 prevalence in US skilled nursing facilities publication-title: J Am Geriatr Soc. – volume: 68 start-page: 1653 year: 2020 end-page: 1656 article-title: Characteristics of U.S. nursing homes with COVID‐19 cases publication-title: J Am Geriatr Soc. – volume: 68 issue: 9 year: 2020 article-title: COVID‐19 infections and deaths among Connecticut nursing home residents: facility correlates publication-title: J Am Geriatr Soc. – year: 2020 – ident: e_1_2_6_6_1 doi: 10.1177/1527154420938707 – ident: e_1_2_6_11_1 – ident: e_1_2_6_3_1 – ident: e_1_2_6_4_1 doi: 10.1111/jgs.16661 – ident: e_1_2_6_9_1 – ident: e_1_2_6_2_1 – ident: e_1_2_6_10_1 – ident: e_1_2_6_7_1 doi: 10.1111/jgs.16689 – ident: e_1_2_6_5_1 doi: 10.1111/jgs16642 – ident: e_1_2_6_8_1 – volume-title: Health Econometrics Using Stata year: 2017 ident: e_1_2_6_12_1 |
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Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was... Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of... BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVESNursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was... |
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SubjectTerms | Brief Report COVID-19 COVID-19 - epidemiology COVID‐19‐Related Content Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data Humans long‐term care Nursing homes Nursing Homes - organization & administration Nursing Staff - supply & distribution Outbreaks Pandemics Personnel Staffing and Scheduling Prevalence Quality assurance United States Workforce planning |
Title | Staffing Levels and COVID‐19 Cases and Outbreaks in U.S. Nursing Homes |
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