Staffing Levels and COVID‐19 Cases and Outbreaks in U.S. Nursing Homes

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond...

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Published inJournal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) Vol. 68; no. 11; pp. 2462 - 2466
Main Authors Gorges, Rebecca J., Konetzka, R. Tamara
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Hoboken, USA John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.11.2020
Wiley Subscription Services, Inc
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Abstract BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID‐19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity. DESIGN We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility‐level data on COVID‐19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID‐19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial‐2 regressions. SETTING All nursing homes in the CMS COVID‐19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020. PARTICIPANTS Residents of nursing homes that met COVID‐19 reporting requirements. MEASUREMENTS A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID‐19 among residents and staff. RESULTS A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID‐19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse‐hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county. CONCLUSION The prevalence of COVID‐19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID‐19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.
AbstractList Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID-19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVESNursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID-19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility-level data on COVID-19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID-19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial-2 regressions.DESIGNWe analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility-level data on COVID-19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID-19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial-2 regressions.All nursing homes in the CMS COVID-19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.SETTINGAll nursing homes in the CMS COVID-19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.Residents of nursing homes that met COVID-19 reporting requirements.PARTICIPANTSResidents of nursing homes that met COVID-19 reporting requirements.A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID-19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 among residents and staff.MEASUREMENTSA nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID-19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 among residents and staff.A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID-19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse-hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.RESULTSA total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID-19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse-hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.The prevalence of COVID-19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.CONCLUSIONThe prevalence of COVID-19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID‐19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity. DESIGN We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility‐level data on COVID‐19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID‐19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial‐2 regressions. SETTING All nursing homes in the CMS COVID‐19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020. PARTICIPANTS Residents of nursing homes that met COVID‐19 reporting requirements. MEASUREMENTS A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID‐19 among residents and staff. RESULTS A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID‐19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse‐hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county. CONCLUSION The prevalence of COVID‐19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID‐19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVESNursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID‐19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity.DESIGNWe analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility‐level data on COVID‐19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID‐19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial‐2 regressions.SETTINGAll nursing homes in the CMS COVID‐19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020.PARTICIPANTSResidents of nursing homes that met COVID‐19 reporting requirements.MEASUREMENTSA nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID‐19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID‐19 among residents and staff.RESULTSA total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID‐19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse‐hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county.CONCLUSIONThe prevalence of COVID‐19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID‐19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.
Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of nursing home cases, but a more nuanced study of the role of nurse staffing is needed to target resources and better respond to future outbreaks. We sought to understand whether baseline nurse staffing is associated with the presence of COVID-19 in nursing homes and whether staffing impacts outbreak severity. We analyzed Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) facility-level data on COVID-19 cases and deaths merged with nursing home and county characteristics. We used logistic regressions to examine the associations of staffing levels from Nursing Home Compare with the outcomes of any COVID-19 cases and, conditional on at least one case, an outbreak. Among facilities with at least one case, we modeled count of deaths using hurdle negative binomial-2 regressions. All nursing homes in the CMS COVID-19 Nursing Home Dataset with reports that passed the CMS Quality Assurance Check as of June 25, 2020. Residents of nursing homes that met COVID-19 reporting requirements. A nursing home is defined as having at least one case is if one or more confirmed or suspected COVID-19 case among residents or staff is reported. Conditional on at least one case, we examine two outcomes: an outbreak, defined as confirmed cases/certified beds >10% or total confirmed and suspected cases/beds >20% or >10 deaths, and the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 among residents and staff. A total of 71% of the 13,167 nursing homes that reported COVID-19 data as of June 14 had at least one case among residents and/or staff. Of those, 27% experienced an outbreak. Higher registered nurse-hours are associated with a higher probability of experiencing any cases. However, among facilities with at least one case, higher nurse aide (NA) hours and total nursing hours are associated with a lower probability of experiencing an outbreak and with fewer deaths. The strongest predictor of cases and outbreaks in nursing homes is per capita cases in the county. The prevalence of COVID-19 in the community remains the strongest predictor of COVID-19 cases and deaths in nursing homes, but higher NA hours and total nursing hours may help contain the number of cases and deaths.
Author Gorges, Rebecca J.
Konetzka, R. Tamara
AuthorAffiliation 1 Department of Public Health Sciences The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA
2 Department of Medicine The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA
AuthorAffiliation_xml – name: 2 Department of Medicine The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA
– name: 1 Department of Public Health Sciences The University of Chicago Chicago Illinois USA
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  givenname: Rebecca J.
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  organization: The University of Chicago
– sequence: 2
  givenname: R. Tamara
  surname: Konetzka
  fullname: Konetzka, R. Tamara
  organization: The University of Chicago
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32770832$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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Cites_doi 10.1177/1527154420938707
10.1111/jgs.16661
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10.1111/jgs16642
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Copyright 2020 The American Geriatrics Society
2020 The American Geriatrics Society.
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Issue 11
Keywords COVID-19
nursing homes
long-term care
Language English
License 2020 The American Geriatrics Society.
This article is being made freely available through PubMed Central as part of the COVID-19 public health emergency response. It can be used for unrestricted research re-use and analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source, for the duration of the public health emergency.
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This article was published online on 28 August 2020. An error was subsequently identified in the author name. This notice is included in both the online and print versions to indicate that they have been corrected on 3 September 2020.
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References 2017
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– volume: 21
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Snippet BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was...
Nursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID-19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was not predictive of...
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVESNursing homes have experienced a disproportionate share of COVID‐19 cases and deaths. Early analyses indicated that baseline quality was...
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SubjectTerms Brief Report
COVID-19
COVID-19 - epidemiology
COVID‐19‐Related Content
Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data
Humans
long‐term care
Nursing homes
Nursing Homes - organization & administration
Nursing Staff - supply & distribution
Outbreaks
Pandemics
Personnel Staffing and Scheduling
Prevalence
Quality assurance
United States
Workforce planning
Title Staffing Levels and COVID‐19 Cases and Outbreaks in U.S. Nursing Homes
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111%2Fjgs.16787
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