Spatio-temporal variation prediction on Cd content in the rice grains from Northern Zhejiang Plain during 2014–2019 based on high-precision soil geochemical data
In recent years, Cadmium (Cd) pollution has been found in many soil geochemical surveys in Northern Zhejiang Plain, a crucial rice production area in East China, located in the lower Yangtze River. To more scientifically predict the effect of soil Cd on rice safety, data including 348 local rhizosph...
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Published in | Journal of geographical sciences Vol. 33; no. 2; pp. 413 - 426 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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01.02.2023
Springer Springer Nature B.V |
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Abstract | In recent years, Cadmium (Cd) pollution has been found in many soil geochemical surveys in Northern Zhejiang Plain, a crucial rice production area in East China, located in the lower Yangtze River. To more scientifically predict the effect of soil Cd on rice safety, data including 348 local rhizosphere soil-rice samples obtained in 2014 were used in this study. Meanwhile, we extracted 90% of random samples as variables based on soil Cd content (Cd
soil
), soil organic matter (SOM), pH, and other indicators. In addition, a multivariate linear model for rice Cd content (Cd
rice
) prediction based on the indicators including the soil Cd content (Cd
soil
), the soil organic matter (SOM), and the pH value. The remaining 10% of random samples were used for the significance test. Based on the 2014 soil Cd content (Cd
soil14
) and the 2019 soil Cd content (Cd
soil19
), this study predicted Cd content in 2019 rice grains (Cd
p-rice19
). The spatio-temporal variation of Cd
rice
was contrasted in the five years from 2014 to 2019, and the risk areas of rice safety production were analyzed using the Geographical Information System (GIS). The results indicated that compared with the actual Cd content in 2014 rice grains (Cd
rice14
), the proportion of Cd
p-rice19
, which exceeded the standard food level in China (GB2762-2017), increased dramatically. Moreover, the high-value areas of Cd
rice
distributed greatly coincidentally in these two years. By contrast, both Cd
rice
and Cd
soil
show very different spatial scales. The dominant reason is the distribution of the local canal systems, indicating that economic activities and agricultural irrigation may aggravate the risk of soil Cd pollution, thus threatening safe rice production. |
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AbstractList | In recent years, Cadmium (Cd) pollution has been found in many soil geochemical surveys in Northern Zhejiang Plain, a crucial rice production area in East China, located in the lower Yangtze River. To more scientifically predict the effect of soil Cd on rice safety, data including 348 local rhizosphere soil-rice samples obtained in 2014 were used in this study. Meanwhile, we extracted 90% of random samples as variables based on soil Cd content (Cdsoil), soil organic matter (SOM), pH, and other indicators. In addition, a multivariate linear model for rice Cd content (Cdrice) prediction based on the indicators including the soil Cd content (Cdsoil), the soil organic matter (SOM), and the pH value. The remaining 10% of random samples were used for the significance test. Based on the 2014 soil Cd content (Cdsoil14) and the 2019 soil Cd content (Cdsoil19), this study predicted Cd content in 2019 rice grains (Cdp-rice19). The spatio-temporal variation of Cdrice was contrasted in the five years from 2014 to 2019, and the risk areas of rice safety production were analyzed using the Geographical Information System (GIS). The results indicated that compared with the actual Cd content in 2014 rice grains (Cdrice14), the proportion of Cdp-rice19, which exceeded the standard food level in China (GB2762-2017), increased dramatically. Moreover, the high-value areas of Cdrice distributed greatly coincidentally in these two years. By contrast, both Cdrice and Cdsoil show very different spatial scales. The dominant reason is the distribution of the local canal systems, indicating that economic activities and agricultural irrigation may aggravate the risk of soil Cd pollution, thus threatening safe rice production. In recent years, Cadmium (Cd) pollution has been found in many soil geochemical surveys in Northern Zhejiang Plain, a crucial rice production area in East China, located in the lower Yangtze River. To more scientifically predict the effect of soil Cd on rice safety, data including 348 local rhizosphere soil-rice samples obtained in 2014 were used in this study. Meanwhile, we extracted 90% of random samples as variables based on soil Cd content (Cd soil ), soil organic matter (SOM), pH, and other indicators. In addition, a multivariate linear model for rice Cd content (Cd rice ) prediction based on the indicators including the soil Cd content (Cd soil ), the soil organic matter (SOM), and the pH value. The remaining 10% of random samples were used for the significance test. Based on the 2014 soil Cd content (Cd soil14 ) and the 2019 soil Cd content (Cd soil19 ), this study predicted Cd content in 2019 rice grains (Cd p-rice19 ). The spatio-temporal variation of Cd rice was contrasted in the five years from 2014 to 2019, and the risk areas of rice safety production were analyzed using the Geographical Information System (GIS). The results indicated that compared with the actual Cd content in 2014 rice grains (Cd rice14 ), the proportion of Cd p-rice19 , which exceeded the standard food level in China (GB2762-2017), increased dramatically. Moreover, the high-value areas of Cd rice distributed greatly coincidentally in these two years. By contrast, both Cd rice and Cd soil show very different spatial scales. The dominant reason is the distribution of the local canal systems, indicating that economic activities and agricultural irrigation may aggravate the risk of soil Cd pollution, thus threatening safe rice production. In recent years, Cadmium (Cd) pollution has been found in many soil geochemical surveys in Northern Zhejiang Plain, a crucial rice production area in East China, located in the lower Yangtze River. To more scientifically predict the effect of soil Cd on rice safety, data including 348 local rhizosphere soil-rice samples obtained in 2014 were used in this study. Meanwhile, we extracted 90% of random samples as variables based on soil Cd content ([Cd.sub.soil]), soil organic matter (SOM), pH, and other indicators. In addition, a multivariate linear model for rice Cd content ([Cd.sub.rice]) prediction based on the indicators including the soil Cd content ([Cd.sub.soil]), the soil organic matter (SOM), and the pH value. The remaining 10% of random samples were used for the significance test. Based on the 2014 soil Cd content ([Cd.sub.soil14]) and the 2019 soil Cd content ([Cd.sub.soil19]), this study predicted Cd content in 2019 rice grains ([Cd.sub.p-rice19]). The spatio-temporal variation of [Cd.sub.rice] was contrasted in the five years from 2014 to 2019, and the risk areas of rice safety production were analyzed using the Geographical Information System (GIS). The results indicated that compared with the actual Cd content in 2014 rice grains ([Cd.sub.rice14]), the proportion of [Cd.sub.p-rice19], which exceeded the standard food level in China (GB2762-2017), increased dramatically. Moreover, the high-value areas of [Cd.sub.rice] distributed greatly coincidentally in these two years. By contrast, both [Cd.sub.rice] and [Cd.sub.soil] show very different spatial scales. The dominant reason is the distribution of the local canal systems, indicating that economic activities and agricultural irrigation may aggravate the risk of soil Cd pollution, thus threatening safe rice production. Keywords: Northern Zhejiang Plain; soil cadmium pollution; rice safety; multivariate linear model |
Audience | Academic |
Author | Lu, Xinzhe Cai, ZiHua Xu, Mingxing Yin, Hanqin Wei, Yingchun Kang, Zhanjun Huang, Chunlei Sun, Rui |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Hanqin surname: Yin fullname: Yin, Hanqin organization: State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 2 givenname: Xinzhe surname: Lu fullname: Lu, Xinzhe email: singh@shu.edu.cn organization: Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 3 givenname: Rui surname: Sun fullname: Sun, Rui organization: Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 4 givenname: Chunlei surname: Huang fullname: Huang, Chunlei organization: State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 5 givenname: Zhanjun surname: Kang fullname: Kang, Zhanjun organization: Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 6 givenname: Mingxing surname: Xu fullname: Xu, Mingxing organization: Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 7 givenname: Yingchun surname: Wei fullname: Wei, Yingchun organization: Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey – sequence: 8 givenname: ZiHua surname: Cai fullname: Cai, ZiHua organization: Technology Innovation Center of Ecological Evaluation and Remediation of Agricultural Land in Plain Area, MNR, Zhejiang Institute of Geological Survey |
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Snippet | In recent years, Cadmium (Cd) pollution has been found in many soil geochemical surveys in Northern Zhejiang Plain, a crucial rice production area in East... |
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SubjectTerms | Agriculture Analysis Cadmium Computer simulation Crop production Earth and Environmental Science Geochemistry Geographic information systems Geographical Information Systems/Cartography Geography Geospatial data Heavy metals Monte Carlo simulation Nature Conservation Organic matter Physical Geography Pollution Remote Sensing/Photogrammetry Rhizosphere Rice River networks Sample size Soil organic matter Soils |
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Title | Spatio-temporal variation prediction on Cd content in the rice grains from Northern Zhejiang Plain during 2014–2019 based on high-precision soil geochemical data |
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