Projection of AIDS incidence in women in New York State

The results of the Newborn HIV Seroprevalence Study in New York State for 1988 were used to estimate the number of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected women of childbearing age in 1988. The estimate was accomplished for each of 80 age, racial/ethnic, and geographic strata by dividing the num...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inAmerican journal of public health (1971) Vol. 81 Suppl; no. Suppl; pp. 30 - 34
Main Author Lessner, L
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published United States 01.05.1991
Subjects
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome - epidemiology
Adolescent
Adult
AIDS/HIV
Bias
Female
Fertility
Forecasting - methods
HIV Seroprevalence
Humans
Incidence
Infant, Newborn
New York - epidemiology
Online AccessGet full text

Cover

More Information
Summary:The results of the Newborn HIV Seroprevalence Study in New York State for 1988 were used to estimate the number of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected women of childbearing age in 1988. The estimate was accomplished for each of 80 age, racial/ethnic, and geographic strata by dividing the number of seropositive newborns by the 1988 estimated fertility rate. Summing across strata yielded a total of 23,430 infected women age 15 to 44 years in 1988. From this estimate a tree model was used to estimate the number of women infected during 1981-88. Back calculation was used to distribute these infections over time, and the selected incubation distribution was used to estimate future AIDS cases for this population: 8,295 cases by 1993.
Bibliography:ObjectType-Article-2
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-1
content type line 23
ObjectType-Article-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
ISSN:0090-0036
1541-0048
DOI:10.2105/AJPH.81.Suppl.30