The autonomy‐validity dilemma in mechanical prediction procedures: The quest for a compromise

• Published in: Journal of behavioral decision making Vol. 35; no. 4
• Main Authors: Neumann, Marvin, Niessen, A. Susan M., Tendeiro, Jorge N., Meijer, Rob R.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Chichester Wiley Periodicals Inc 01.10.2022
• Subjects: Admissions policies; algorithm aversion; Applicants; Autonomy; autonomy‐validity dilemma; Bayesian analysis; decision aid; Decision makers; Decision making; Dropping out; holistic prediction; mechanical prediction; Predictions; Predictive validity; selection; Validity

A robust finding in psychological research is that combining information with a mechanical rule results in more valid predictions than combining information holistically in the mind. Nevertheless, information is typically combined holistically in practice, resulting in suboptimal predictions and dec...