A Hybrid Neural Network Model for ENSO Prediction in Combination with Principal Oscillation Pattern Analyses

• Published in: Advances in atmospheric sciences Vol. 39; no. 6; pp. 889 - 902
• Main Authors: Zhou, Lu, Zhang, Rong-Hua
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Heidelberg Science Press 01.06.2022; Springer Nature B.V; Laboratory for Ocean and Climate Dynamics,Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology,Qingdao 266237,China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China%CAS Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves,Institute of Oceanology,and Center for Ocean Mega-Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Qingdao 266071,China; CAS Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves,Institute of Oceanology,and Center for Ocean Mega-Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Qingdao 266071,China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China; Center for Excellence in Quaternary Science and Global Change,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Xi'an 710061,China
• Subjects: Algorithms; Artificial neural networks; Atmospheric Sciences; Coefficients; Correlation coefficient; Correlation coefficients; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; El Nino; El Nino phenomena; El Nino-Southern Oscillation event; Geophysics/Geodesy; Lead time; Long short-term memory; Mathematical models; Meteorology; Modelling; Neural networks; Noise prediction; Original Paper; Pattern analysis; Predictions; Sea surface; Sea surface temperature; Signal processing; Southern Oscillation; Statistical analysis; Statistical models; Surface temperature; the principal oscillation pattern (POP) analyses; a hybrid approach; ENSO prediction; 神经网络; 混合建模; neural network; 主振荡型分析和神经网络相结合; ENSO预测; 主振荡型分析

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can be currently predicted reasonably well six months and longer, but large biases and uncertainties remain in its real-time prediction. Various approaches have been taken to improve understanding of ENSO processes, and different models for ENSO predictions have b...