Adaptive Blending of Model and Observations for Automated Short-Range Forecasting: Examples from the Vancouver 2010 Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games

• Published in: Pure and applied geophysics Vol. 171; no. 1-2; pp. 257 - 276
• Main Authors: Bailey, Monika E., Isaac, George A., Gultepe, Ismail, Heckman, Ivan, Reid, Janti
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Basel Springer Basel 01.01.2014; Springer Nature B.V
• Subjects: Blending; Climatology; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Extrapolation; Games; Geophysics/Geodesy; Mathematical analysis; Mathematical models; Meteorology; Olympic games; Paralympic Games; Relative humidity; Stations; Weather forecasting; Wind speed; Winter; Vancouver British Columbia Canada; Canada; Heidke Skill Score; Lead Time; Mean Absolute Error; Forecast Lead Time; Numerical Weather Prediction

An automated short-range forecasting system, adaptive blending of observations and model (ABOM), was tested in real time during the 2010 Vancouver Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games in British Columbia. Data at 1-min time resolution were available from a newly established, dense network of surface...