CLIMATE AND WILDFIRE IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
A 21-yr gridded monthly fire-starts and acres-burned dataset from U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, National Park Service, and Bureau of Indian Affairs fire reports recreates the seasonality and interannual variability of wildfire in the western United States. Despite pervasive human i...
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| Published in | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 84; no. 5; pp. 595 - 604 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
Boston, MA
American Meteorological Society
01.05.2003
|
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
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| Abstract | A 21-yr gridded monthly fire-starts and acres-burned dataset from U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, National Park Service, and Bureau of Indian Affairs fire reports recreates the seasonality and interannual variability of wildfire in the western United States. Despite pervasive human influence in western fire regimes, it is striking how strongly these data reveal a fire season responding to variations in climate. Correlating anomalous wildfire frequency and extent with the Palmer Drought Severity Index illustrates the importance of prior and accumulated precipitation anomalies for future wildfire season severity. This link to antecedent seasons' moisture conditions varies widely with differences in predominant fuel type. Furthermore, these data demonstrate that the relationship between wildfire season severity and observed moisture anomalies from antecedent seasons is strong enough to forecast fire season severity at lead times of one season to a year in advance. |
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| AbstractList | A 21-yr gridded monthly fire-starts and acres-burned dataset from U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, National Park Service, and Bureau of Indian Affairs fire reports recreates the seasonality and interannual variability of wildfire in the western United States. Despite pervasive human influence in western fire regimes, it is striking how strongly these data reveal a fire season responding to variations in climate. Correlating anomalous wildfire frequency and extent with the Palmer Drought Severity Index illustrates the importance of prior and accumulated precipitation anomalies for future wildfire season severity. This link to antecedent seasons' moisture conditions varies widely with differences in predominant fuel type. Furthermore, these data demonstrate that the relationship between wildfire season severity and observed moisture anomalies from antecedent seasons is strong enough to forecast fire season severity at lead times of one season to a year in advance. Regional patterns in western U.S. wildfire regimes' response to climate variability allow forecasts of wildfire seasor severity up to ayear in advance. |
| Author | Westerling, A. L. Gershunov, A. Cayan, D. R. Dettinger, M. D. Brown, T. J. |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: A. L. surname: Westerling fullname: Westerling, A. L. organization: Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California – sequence: 2 givenname: A. surname: Gershunov fullname: Gershunov, A. organization: Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California – sequence: 3 givenname: T. J. surname: Brown fullname: Brown, T. J. organization: Desert Research Institute, University of Nevada, Reno, Nevada – sequence: 4 givenname: D. R. surname: Cayan fullname: Cayan, D. R. organization: Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, and U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, California – sequence: 5 givenname: M. D. surname: Dettinger fullname: Dettinger, M. D. organization: U.S. Geological Survey, and Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California |
| BackLink | http://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=14843160$$DView record in Pascal Francis |
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| Copyright | 2003 American Meteorological Society 2003 INIST-CNRS Copyright American Meteorological Society May 2003 |
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| Keywords | Forecasting Climate variation Forest fire |
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| PublicationTitle | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
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| Snippet | A 21-yr gridded monthly fire-starts and acres-burned dataset from U.S. Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management, National Park Service, and Bureau of Indian... Regional patterns in western U.S. wildfire regimes' response to climate variability allow forecasts of wildfire seasor severity up to ayear in advance. |
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| SubjectTerms | Analytical forecasting Climate Climate models Climate variability Climatic zones Correlations Earth, ocean, space Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Fire history Fires Forest fires Meteorology Other topics in atmospheric geophysics Seasons Summer Wildfire seasons Wildfires |
| Title | CLIMATE AND WILDFIRE IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES |
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