Group-sequential response-adaptive designs for censored survival outcomes
Previous work on two-treatment comparisons for immediate responses has shown that the use of optimal response-adaptive randomisation with group sequential analysis can allocate more patients to the better-performing treatment while preserving the error rates. In this paper, the application of the co...
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Published in | Journal of statistical planning and inference Vol. 205; pp. 293 - 305 |
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Main Authors | , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
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Elsevier B.V
01.03.2020
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ISSN | 0378-3758 1873-1171 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.jspi.2019.08.004 |
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Abstract | Previous work on two-treatment comparisons for immediate responses has shown that the use of optimal response-adaptive randomisation with group sequential analysis can allocate more patients to the better-performing treatment while preserving the error rates. In this paper, the application of the combined approach to censored survival responses is investigated and different optimal response-adaptive randomised procedures are compared. For a maximum duration trial, the information level at the final look is usually unpredictable. An approximate information time is defined. Group sequential tests and optimal allocations for two measures of treatment difference are given. Operating characteristics of the combined approach are investigated by simulation, including cases of exponential and Weibull survival responses and redesign of a clinical trial. The results reveal that the existing boundaries for standard group sequential designs derived based on the error-spending approach can be applied as approximate tests to control the overall type I error rate. Compared to the group sequential complete randomisation design, the combined approach is found to retain ethical advantages as in previous work on immediate responses while the power is not adversely affected.
•An approximate information time is defined for maximum duration trials.•Both parametric and nonparametric tests are considered.•Standard critical boundaries using the error-spending approach can be applied.•Simulation shows that the overall type I error rate is controlled.•The combined approach reduces the expected numbers of patients and failures. |
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AbstractList | Previous work on two-treatment comparisons for immediate responses has shown that the use of optimal response-adaptive randomisation with group sequential analysis can allocate more patients to the better-performing treatment while preserving the error rates. In this paper, the application of the combined approach to censored survival responses is investigated and different optimal response-adaptive randomised procedures are compared. For a maximum duration trial, the information level at the final look is usually unpredictable. An approximate information time is defined. Group sequential tests and optimal allocations for two measures of treatment difference are given. Operating characteristics of the combined approach are investigated by simulation, including cases of exponential and Weibull survival responses and redesign of a clinical trial. The results reveal that the existing boundaries for standard group sequential designs derived based on the error-spending approach can be applied as approximate tests to control the overall type I error rate. Compared to the group sequential complete randomisation design, the combined approach is found to retain ethical advantages as in previous work on immediate responses while the power is not adversely affected.
•An approximate information time is defined for maximum duration trials.•Both parametric and nonparametric tests are considered.•Standard critical boundaries using the error-spending approach can be applied.•Simulation shows that the overall type I error rate is controlled.•The combined approach reduces the expected numbers of patients and failures. |
Author | Coad, D. Stephen Liu, Wenyu |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Wenyu orcidid: 0000-0002-6682-2053 surname: Liu fullname: Liu, Wenyu email: W.Liu.1@bham.ac.uk organization: Cancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK – sequence: 2 givenname: D. Stephen surname: Coad fullname: Coad, D. Stephen organization: School of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary, University of London, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, UK |
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Cites_doi | 10.1002/pst.1845 10.1200/JCO.2005.02.027 10.1002/sim.2693 10.1007/s001840200220 10.1198/016214503000000576 10.1016/j.jspi.2005.08.011 10.1093/biomet/64.2.191 10.2307/2336502 10.1177/0962280214524177 10.1214/aos/1176324465 10.1214/08-AOS655 10.1016/S0197-2456(03)00062-X 10.3414/ME14-01-0048 10.1081/SQA-100107646 10.2307/2530245 10.2307/2532999 10.1002/sim.1677 10.1214/10-AOS796 |
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Keywords | Log hazard ratio Weibull response Information time Optimal allocation Power Error-spending function |
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