Piecewise linear trees as surrogate models for system design and planning under high-frequency temporal variability

•Develop method for system design/planning under high-frequency temporal variability.•Propose a formulation to embed piecewise linear trees as surrogates onto MIP models.•Showcase the proposed framework using an energy system case study. The design and planning of systems subject to high-frequency t...

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Published inEuropean journal of operational research Vol. 315; no. 2; pp. 541 - 552
Main Authors Wu, Yaqing, Maravelias, Christos T.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier B.V 01.06.2024
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Abstract •Develop method for system design/planning under high-frequency temporal variability.•Propose a formulation to embed piecewise linear trees as surrogates onto MIP models.•Showcase the proposed framework using an energy system case study. The design and planning of systems subject to high-frequency time-varying conditions (e.g., prices, resource supplies, and customer demand) requires the solution of multi-period optimization problems, which have to account for operational aspects that are often described by complex nonlinear models. Accordingly, to overcome the computational challenges associated with the solution of the above problems, we present a framework to build computationally efficient and yet accurate optimization models. We also propose a general method to use trained piecewise linear (PWL) trees as surrogate models to approximate nonlinearities in relatively high dimensions and embed these trees onto mathematical optimization models. We show that, for some datasets, embedding PWL trees leads to models that result in a better balance between accuracy and computational performance when compared with approaches based on other machine-learning surrogate models. We showcase the applicability of the proposed framework via a case study on maintenance optimization of building cooling systems.
AbstractList •Develop method for system design/planning under high-frequency temporal variability.•Propose a formulation to embed piecewise linear trees as surrogates onto MIP models.•Showcase the proposed framework using an energy system case study. The design and planning of systems subject to high-frequency time-varying conditions (e.g., prices, resource supplies, and customer demand) requires the solution of multi-period optimization problems, which have to account for operational aspects that are often described by complex nonlinear models. Accordingly, to overcome the computational challenges associated with the solution of the above problems, we present a framework to build computationally efficient and yet accurate optimization models. We also propose a general method to use trained piecewise linear (PWL) trees as surrogate models to approximate nonlinearities in relatively high dimensions and embed these trees onto mathematical optimization models. We show that, for some datasets, embedding PWL trees leads to models that result in a better balance between accuracy and computational performance when compared with approaches based on other machine-learning surrogate models. We showcase the applicability of the proposed framework via a case study on maintenance optimization of building cooling systems.
Author Wu, Yaqing
Maravelias, Christos T.
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  surname: Maravelias
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  email: maravelias@princeton.edu
  organization: Department of Chemical and Biological Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA
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Maintenance optimization
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Decision trees
Machine learning
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Snippet •Develop method for system design/planning under high-frequency temporal variability.•Propose a formulation to embed piecewise linear trees as surrogates onto...
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SubjectTerms Decision trees
Energy systems
Machine learning
Maintenance optimization
OR in energy
Title Piecewise linear trees as surrogate models for system design and planning under high-frequency temporal variability
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2023.10.028
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