A non-parametric copula approach to dependence modelling of shear strength parameters and its implications for geotechnical reliability under incomplete probability information

This paper aims to evaluate the potential of the non-parametric copula approach to dependence modelling of shear strength parameters and address the problem of copula selection for geotechnical reliability under incomplete probability information. The optimal non-parametric copula is determined by t...

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Published inComputers and geotechnics Vol. 116; p. 103185
Main Authors Wang, Fan, Li, Heng
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published New York Elsevier Ltd 01.12.2019
Elsevier BV
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text
ISSN0266-352X
1873-7633
DOI10.1016/j.compgeo.2019.103185

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Abstract This paper aims to evaluate the potential of the non-parametric copula approach to dependence modelling of shear strength parameters and address the problem of copula selection for geotechnical reliability under incomplete probability information. The optimal non-parametric copula is determined by truncating the basis functions in the kernel according to the Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion. The fitting of copulas to the same dataset shows that the non-parametric approach generally gives better copula models. As the non-parametric copula maximizes its relative entropy (Kullback–Leibler divergence) with respect to the independence copula subject to given constraints, the approximated copula should be the best model according to the principle of maximum entropy. The interpretation of the incomplete probability information as constraints on the expectation of a basis function is later provided, and the non-parametric copula approach is applied to solve two geotechnical reliability problems under incomplete probability information. By measuring the relative entropy of the copulas, the best reliability result and reliability-based design under incomplete probability information can be selected. The comparison between the parametric and non-parametric copula shows that the non-parametric copula almost always encodes the minimum dependence information in the context of given probability information.
AbstractList This paper aims to evaluate the potential of the non-parametric copula approach to dependence modelling of shear strength parameters and address the problem of copula selection for geotechnical reliability under incomplete probability information. The optimal non-parametric copula is determined by truncating the basis functions in the kernel according to the Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion. The fitting of copulas to the same dataset shows that the non-parametric approach generally gives better copula models. As the non-parametric copula maximizes its relative entropy (Kullback–Leibler divergence) with respect to the independence copula subject to given constraints, the approximated copula should be the best model according to the principle of maximum entropy. The interpretation of the incomplete probability information as constraints on the expectation of a basis function is later provided, and the non-parametric copula approach is applied to solve two geotechnical reliability problems under incomplete probability information. By measuring the relative entropy of the copulas, the best reliability result and reliability-based design under incomplete probability information can be selected. The comparison between the parametric and non-parametric copula shows that the non-parametric copula almost always encodes the minimum dependence information in the context of given probability information.
ArticleNumber 103185
Author Wang, Fan
Li, Heng
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Keywords Shear strength parameters
Non-parametric copula approach
Principle of maximum entropy
Reliability
Incomplete probability information
Language English
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Snippet This paper aims to evaluate the potential of the non-parametric copula approach to dependence modelling of shear strength parameters and address the problem of...
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StartPage 103185
SubjectTerms Basis functions
Bayesian analysis
Criteria
Dependence
Divergence
Entropy
Geotechnical engineering
Incomplete probability information
Mathematical models
Maximum entropy
Modelling
Non-parametric copula approach
Nonparametric statistics
Parameters
Principle of maximum entropy
Probability theory
Reliability
Reliability analysis
Shear strength
Shear strength parameters
Title A non-parametric copula approach to dependence modelling of shear strength parameters and its implications for geotechnical reliability under incomplete probability information
URI https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2019.103185
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2306223698
Volume 116
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