A probabilistic risk approach for the collision detection of multi-ships under spatiotemporal movement uncertainty

• Published in: Reliability engineering & system safety Vol. 215; p. 107772
• Main Authors: Xin, Xuri, Liu, Kezhong, Yang, Zaili, Zhang, Jinfen, Wu, Xiaolie
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Barking Elsevier Ltd 01.11.2021; Elsevier BV
• Subjects: AIS data; Algorithms; Collision avoidance; Maritime safety; Monte Carlo simulation; Multi-ship spatiotemporal movements; Probabilistic conflict detection; Reliability engineering; Risk analysis; Risk reduction; Ship collision risk; Ship motion; Ships; Trajectories; Uncertainty; Uncertainty time-dependent analysis; AIS data; Multi-ship spatiotemporal movements; Maritime safety; Uncertainty time-dependent analysis; Probabilistic conflict detection; Ship collision risk
• ISSN: 0951-8320; 1879-0836
• DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107772

•Proposed a novel probabilistic conflict detection approach to quantify the conflict criticality of multi-ships in dynamic and uncertain situations.•Develop a two-stage MC simulation algorithm to efficiently and accurately compute the ship conflict probability.•Introduce an AIS data-driven mechanism...