Homeostatic representation for risk decision making: a novel multi-method simulation approach for evacuation under volcanic eruption

All decision-making processes are complex and include a high number of variables. Particularly, decisions related to disaster risk reduction despite having an inherent uncertainty, depend on many factors associated with the inhabitants in danger, risk disaster management authorities, previous experi...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inNatural hazards (Dordrecht) Vol. 103; no. 1; pp. 29 - 56
Main Authors Favereau, Marcel, Robledo, Luis F., Bull, María T.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Dordrecht Springer Netherlands 01.08.2020
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects
Online AccessGet full text

Cover

Loading…
Abstract All decision-making processes are complex and include a high number of variables. Particularly, decisions related to disaster risk reduction despite having an inherent uncertainty, depend on many factors associated with the inhabitants in danger, risk disaster management authorities, previous experiences, among others. Although considerable research has been carried out to understand the evacuation processes undergoing among different types of natural hazards, few of them consider psychosocial variables under a dynamic approach. This research proposes a novel way of representing decision making using the risk homeostasis theory approach. We developed a multi-method simulation model to gain an understanding of how individuals react and what are the decision-making processes undergoing a volcanic eruption. For this, we developed a system dynamics (SD) model that captures the psychosocial decision-making process of individuals facing a volcanic eruption. This theory proposes that individuals will make decisions to balance their levels of perception and acceptance of risk and that, in addition, they depend on certain motivational and cognitive variables. Once the evacuation decision making was captured by the SD model, we represented the evacuation process through agent-based simulation based on the relationship between evacuation probability and the difference between risk perception and risk acceptance levels. For experimentation and validation methods, we worked with the 2008 Chaitén (southern Chile) volcanic eruption and further population evacuation as a use case scenario.
AbstractList All decision-making processes are complex and include a high number of variables. Particularly, decisions related to disaster risk reduction despite having an inherent uncertainty, depend on many factors associated with the inhabitants in danger, risk disaster management authorities, previous experiences, among others. Although considerable research has been carried out to understand the evacuation processes undergoing among different types of natural hazards, few of them consider psychosocial variables under a dynamic approach. This research proposes a novel way of representing decision making using the risk homeostasis theory approach. We developed a multi-method simulation model to gain an understanding of how individuals react and what are the decision-making processes undergoing a volcanic eruption. For this, we developed a system dynamics (SD) model that captures the psychosocial decision-making process of individuals facing a volcanic eruption. This theory proposes that individuals will make decisions to balance their levels of perception and acceptance of risk and that, in addition, they depend on certain motivational and cognitive variables. Once the evacuation decision making was captured by the SD model, we represented the evacuation process through agent-based simulation based on the relationship between evacuation probability and the difference between risk perception and risk acceptance levels. For experimentation and validation methods, we worked with the 2008 Chaitén (southern Chile) volcanic eruption and further population evacuation as a use case scenario.
All decision-making processes are complex and include a high number of variables. Particularly, decisions related to disaster risk reduction despite having an inherent uncertainty, depend on many factors associated with the inhabitants in danger, risk disaster management authorities, previous experiences, among others. Although considerable research has been carried out to understand the evacuation processes undergoing among different types of natural hazards, few of them consider psychosocial variables under a dynamic approach. This research proposes a novel way of representing decision making using the risk homeostasis theory approach. We developed a multi-method simulation model to gain an understanding of how individuals react and what are the decision-making processes undergoing a volcanic eruption. For this, we developed a system dynamics (SD) model that captures the psychosocial decision-making process of individuals facing a volcanic eruption. This theory proposes that individuals will make decisions to balance their levels of perception and acceptance of risk and that, in addition, they depend on certain motivational and cognitive variables. Once the evacuation decision making was captured by the SD model, we represented the evacuation process through agent-based simulation based on the relationship between evacuation probability and the difference between risk perception and risk acceptance levels. For experimentation and validation methods, we worked with the 2008 Chaitén (southern Chile) volcanic eruption and further population evacuation as a use case scenario.
Author Bull, María T.
Favereau, Marcel
Robledo, Luis F.
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Marcel
  orcidid: 0000-0001-8573-2742
  surname: Favereau
  fullname: Favereau, Marcel
  email: m.favereaumonti@uandresbello.edu
  organization: Engineering Science Department, Universidad Andrés Bello
– sequence: 2
  givenname: Luis F.
  orcidid: 0000-0003-0700-5835
  surname: Robledo
  fullname: Robledo, Luis F.
  organization: Engineering Science Department, Universidad Andrés Bello
– sequence: 3
  givenname: María T.
  orcidid: 0000-0002-6651-5512
  surname: Bull
  fullname: Bull, María T.
  organization: Industrial Engineering Department, Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción
BookMark eNp9UE1LAzEQDVLBtvoHPAU8r06yX403KWqFghcFbyFNpu223WRNdgve_eFmu4I3D8Mwb957M7wJGVlnkZBrBrcMoLwLjEEhEuCQQCryMuFnZMzyMk1glsGIjEFwFlfwcUEmIewAGCu4GJPvhavRhVa1laYeG48BbT85S9fOU1-FPTWoq9AjtdpXdnNPFbXuiAdad4e2Smpst87QUMVxUKqm8U7p7ckCj0p3A95Zg54e3UErG--h75oevyTna3UIePXbp-T96fFtvkiWr88v84dlolMm2mSVrdPUrEDooig1QpGlkJsckIssU8hMrlQRyyghyrjNjc75bFaUmSpmnJl0Sm4G3_jdZ4ehlTvXeRtPSt578VwIFll8YGnvQvC4lo2vauW_JAPZpy2HtGVMW57SljyK0kEUItlu0P9Z_6P6AUVlhy0
CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_1016_j_ijdrr_2021_102678
crossref_primary_10_1108_JHLSCM_07_2022_0082
crossref_primary_10_1007_s10745_021_00304_2
crossref_primary_10_1177_00375497231209998
Cites_doi 10.1108/09653569510093414
10.1016/J.TRC.2017.03.008
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01791.x
10.1007/s12110-013-9162-3
10.2307/20025337
10.1038/35035023
10.1016/J.JENVP.2009.09.006
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01942.x
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.009
10.1111/j.1525-1446.2007.00620.x
10.1016/J.APGEOG.2010.12.008
10.1177/107554708200300404
10.1016/J.SSCI.2017.04.005
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2013.01.002
10.1093/oxfordjournals.bmb.a071283
10.1126/science.3563507
10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00013-4
10.1111/risa.12275
10.1016/J.SBSPRO.2016.06.092
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.010
10.3390/systems5040053
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.026
10.1108/09653569910266166
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.011
10.3390/geosciences8060196
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.036
10.1002/ejsp.2420020304
10.1186/2191-5040-2-2
10.1037/10011-000
10.1002/sdr.4260040109
10.1016/J.AAP.2005.06.004
10.1111/j.0272-4332.2003.00400.x
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00792.x
10.1007/s11069-004-0785-x
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.04.023
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.006
10.1002/sdr.1481
10.1126/SCIENCE.165.3899.1232
10.1111/j.1539-6924.1982.tb01384.x
10.1016/J.PROENG.2010.07.004
10.1080/13669877.2014.880728
10.1111/0272-4332.00001
10.1080/13658810801949850
10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.07.010
10.2466/pr0.1988.62.3.807
10.1177/0013916515578485
10.1177/0013916512452427
10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2018.10.009
10.11144/Javeriana.up14-4.scpa
10.1371/journal.pone.0087380
10.1007/s11069-015-2080-4
10.1001/jama.1980.03310110036026
10.1007/BF00143739
10.4067/S0718-22442015000300005
10.1177/028072709100900203
10.1109/IEEM.2016.7797880
10.1109/WSC.2014.7019874
10.1007/978-3-642-12842-4_54
10.1063/1.4947401
10.1007/978-1-4899-0445-4_9
ContentType Journal Article
Copyright Springer Nature B.V. 2020
Springer Nature B.V. 2020.
Copyright_xml – notice: Springer Nature B.V. 2020
– notice: Springer Nature B.V. 2020.
DBID AAYXX
CITATION
3V.
7ST
7TG
7UA
7XB
88I
8FD
8FE
8FG
8FK
ABJCF
ABUWG
AFKRA
ATCPS
AZQEC
BENPR
BGLVJ
BHPHI
BKSAR
C1K
CCPQU
DWQXO
F1W
FR3
GNUQQ
H96
HCIFZ
KL.
KR7
L.G
L6V
M2P
M7S
PATMY
PCBAR
PQEST
PQQKQ
PQUKI
PTHSS
PYCSY
Q9U
SOI
DOI 10.1007/s11069-020-03957-2
DatabaseName CrossRef
ProQuest Central (Corporate)
Environment Abstracts
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts
Water Resources Abstracts
ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)
Science Database (Alumni Edition)
Technology Research Database
ProQuest SciTech Collection
ProQuest Technology Collection
ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)
Materials Science & Engineering Collection
ProQuest Central (Alumni)
ProQuest Central
Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection
ProQuest Central Essentials
AUTh Library subscriptions: ProQuest Central
Technology Collection
ProQuest Natural Science Collection
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection
Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management
ProQuest One Community College
ProQuest Central
ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts
Engineering Research Database
ProQuest Central Student
Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources
SciTech Premium Collection (Proquest) (PQ_SDU_P3)
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic
Civil Engineering Abstracts
Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional
ProQuest Engineering Collection
ProQuest Science Journals
Engineering Database
Environmental Science Database
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database
ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)
ProQuest One Academic
ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition
Engineering Collection
Environmental Science Collection
ProQuest Central Basic
Environment Abstracts
DatabaseTitle CrossRef
Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional
ProQuest Central Student
Technology Collection
Technology Research Database
ProQuest Central Essentials
ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)
SciTech Premium Collection
ProQuest One Community College
Water Resources Abstracts
Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management
ProQuest Central
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection
ProQuest Engineering Collection
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts
Natural Science Collection
ProQuest Central Korea
Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection
Engineering Collection
Civil Engineering Abstracts
Engineering Database
ProQuest Science Journals (Alumni Edition)
ProQuest Central Basic
ProQuest Science Journals
ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition
Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database
ProQuest Technology Collection
ProQuest SciTech Collection
Environmental Science Collection
Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources
ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition
ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts
Materials Science & Engineering Collection
Environmental Science Database
Engineering Research Database
ProQuest One Academic
Environment Abstracts
Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic
ProQuest Central (Alumni)
DatabaseTitleList Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional

Database_xml – sequence: 1
  dbid: 8FG
  name: ProQuest Technology Collection
  url: https://search.proquest.com/technologycollection1
  sourceTypes: Aggregation Database
DeliveryMethod fulltext_linktorsrc
Discipline Geography
EISSN 1573-0840
EndPage 56
ExternalDocumentID 10_1007_s11069_020_03957_2
GroupedDBID -5A
-5G
-5~
-BR
-EM
-Y2
-~C
.86
.VR
06D
0R~
0VY
123
199
1N0
1SB
2.D
203
28-
29M
2J2
2JN
2JY
2KG
2KM
2LR
2P1
2VQ
2~H
30V
3SX
3V.
4.4
406
408
409
40D
40E
53G
5QI
5VS
67M
67Z
6KP
6NX
78A
7XC
88I
8FE
8FG
8FH
8TC
8UJ
95-
95.
95~
96X
AAAVM
AABHQ
AABYN
AAFGU
AAHNG
AAIAL
AAJKR
AAMRO
AANZL
AAPBV
AARHV
AARTL
AATNV
AATVU
AAUYE
AAWCG
AAYFA
AAYIU
AAYQN
AAYTO
AAZAB
ABBBX
ABBXA
ABDZT
ABECU
ABEOS
ABFGW
ABFTV
ABHLI
ABHQN
ABJCF
ABJNI
ABJOX
ABKAS
ABKCH
ABKTR
ABMNI
ABMQK
ABNWP
ABQBU
ABSXP
ABTAH
ABTEG
ABTHY
ABTKH
ABTMW
ABULA
ABUWG
ABWNU
ABXPI
ACBMV
ACBRV
ACBXY
ACBYP
ACGFS
ACGOD
ACHSB
ACHXU
ACIGE
ACIPQ
ACIWK
ACKNC
ACMDZ
ACMLO
ACOKC
ACOMO
ACTTH
ACVWB
ACWMK
ADHHG
ADHIR
ADIMF
ADINQ
ADKNI
ADKPE
ADMDM
ADOXG
ADRFC
ADTPH
ADURQ
ADYFF
ADZKW
AEBTG
AEEQQ
AEFIE
AEFTE
AEGAL
AEGNC
AEJHL
AEJRE
AEKMD
AENEX
AEOHA
AEPYU
AESKC
AESTI
AETLH
AEVLU
AEVTX
AEXYK
AFEXP
AFGCZ
AFKRA
AFLOW
AFNRJ
AFQWF
AFRAH
AFWTZ
AFZKB
AGAYW
AGDGC
AGGBP
AGGDS
AGJBK
AGMZJ
AGQMX
AGWIL
AGWZB
AGYKE
AHAVH
AHBYD
AHKAY
AHSBF
AHYZX
AIAKS
AIIXL
AILAN
AIMYW
AITGF
AJBLW
AJDOV
AJRNO
AJZVZ
AKQUC
ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS
ALWAN
AMKLP
AMXSW
AMYLF
AMYQR
AOCGG
ARMRJ
ASPBG
ATCPS
AVWKF
AXYYD
AYJHY
AZFZN
AZQEC
B-.
BA0
BBWZM
BDATZ
BENPR
BGLVJ
BGNMA
BHPHI
BKSAR
BPHCQ
CAG
CCPQU
COF
CS3
CSCUP
D1K
DDRTE
DL5
DNIVK
DPUIP
DWQXO
EBLON
EBS
EDH
EIOEI
EIS
EJD
EPAXT
ESBYG
FEDTE
FERAY
FFXSO
FIGPU
FIL
FINBP
FNLPD
FRRFC
FSGXE
FWDCC
GGCAI
GGRSB
GJIRD
GNUQQ
GNWQR
GQ6
GQ7
GQ8
GXS
HCIFZ
HF~
HG5
HG6
HMJXF
HQYDN
HRMNR
HVGLF
HZ~
I09
IHE
IJ-
IKXTQ
ITM
IWAJR
IXC
IZIGR
IZQ
I~X
I~Y
I~Z
J-C
J0Z
JBSCW
JCJTX
JZLTJ
K6-
KDC
KOV
KOW
L6V
L8X
LAK
LK5
LLZTM
M2P
M4Y
M7R
M7S
MA-
N2Q
NB0
NDZJH
NPVJJ
NQJWS
NU0
O9-
O93
O9G
O9I
O9J
OAM
OVD
P19
P2P
PATMY
PCBAR
PF0
PQQKQ
PROAC
PT4
PT5
PTHSS
PYCSY
Q2X
QOK
QOS
R4E
R89
R9I
RHV
RNI
RNS
ROL
RPX
RSV
RZC
RZE
RZK
S16
S1Z
S26
S27
S28
S3B
SAP
SCK
SCLPG
SDH
SDM
SEV
SHX
SISQX
SJYHP
SNE
SNPRN
SNX
SOHCF
SOJ
SPISZ
SRMVM
SSLCW
STPWE
SZN
T13
T16
TEORI
TSG
TSK
TSV
TUC
U2A
UG4
UNUBA
UOJIU
UTJUX
UZXMN
VC2
VFIZW
W23
W48
WH7
WJK
WK6
WK8
Y6R
YLTOR
Z45
Z5O
Z7R
Z7X
Z7Y
Z7Z
Z81
Z83
Z85
Z86
Z88
Z8M
Z8S
Z8T
Z8U
Z8W
Z8Z
Z92
ZMTXR
ZY4
~02
~A9
~EX
~KM
AACDK
AAEOY
AAJBT
AASML
AAYXX
ABAKF
ACAOD
ACDTI
ACZOJ
AEFQL
AEMSY
AFBBN
AGQEE
AGRTI
AIGIU
CITATION
H13
7ST
7TG
7UA
7XB
8FD
8FK
C1K
F1W
FR3
H96
KL.
KR7
L.G
PQEST
PQUKI
Q9U
SOI
ID FETCH-LOGICAL-c319t-b4f33db09c667ce064305d50e2944ae1d5aa65aada9970645dc5288674a6821d3
IEDL.DBID AGYKE
ISSN 0921-030X
IngestDate Thu Oct 10 20:57:43 EDT 2024
Thu Sep 12 17:35:20 EDT 2024
Sat Dec 16 12:01:30 EST 2023
IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 1
Keywords Risk homeostasis
Multi-method simulation
Decision making
Evacuation
Volcanic eruptions
Language English
LinkModel DirectLink
MergedId FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-c319t-b4f33db09c667ce064305d50e2944ae1d5aa65aada9970645dc5288674a6821d3
ORCID 0000-0001-8573-2742
0000-0003-0700-5835
0000-0002-6651-5512
PQID 2430525991
PQPubID 54179
PageCount 28
ParticipantIDs proquest_journals_2430525991
crossref_primary_10_1007_s11069_020_03957_2
springer_journals_10_1007_s11069_020_03957_2
PublicationCentury 2000
PublicationDate 2020-08-01
PublicationDateYYYYMMDD 2020-08-01
PublicationDate_xml – month: 08
  year: 2020
  text: 2020-08-01
  day: 01
PublicationDecade 2020
PublicationPlace Dordrecht
PublicationPlace_xml – name: Dordrecht
PublicationTitle Natural hazards (Dordrecht)
PublicationTitleAbbrev Nat Hazards
PublicationYear 2020
Publisher Springer Netherlands
Springer Nature B.V
Publisher_xml – name: Springer Netherlands
– name: Springer Nature B.V
References Marti, Spence, Calogero, Ordoñez, Felpeto, Baxter (CR42) 2008; 178
Whitehead, Edwards, Van Willigen, Maiolo, Wilson, Smith (CR73) 2000; 2
Rosenkoetter, Covan, Cobb, Bunting, Weinrich (CR55) 2007; 24
Sterman (CR66) 1988; 4
Busogi, Shin, Ryu, Oh, Kim (CR9) 2017; 96
Paton, Smith, Daly, Johnston (CR46) 2008; 172
Sterman (CR67) 2000
Shaw (CR58) 1905; 76
CR78
CR33
Rahmandad, Sterman (CR52) 2012; 28
CR76
Helbing, Farkas, Vicsek (CR27) 2000; 407
Carlson, Alderson, Stromberg, Bassett, Craparo, Guiterrez-Villarreal, Otani (CR11) 2014; 9
CR71
Berroeta, Ramoneda, Opazo (CR4) 2015; 14
Romero (CR54) 2011; 1
Jumadi, Carver, Quincey (CR32) 2016; 227
Tobin, Whiteford, Jones, Murphy, Garren, Padros (CR69) 2011; 31
Auker, Sparks, Siebert, Crosweller, Ewert (CR1) 2013; 2
Wildavsky, Dake (CR74) 1990; 119
Leung, Starmer (CR38) 2005; 37
Kim, Oh (CR35) 2015; 18
Sorenson (CR64) 1991; 9
Jones, Faas, Murphy, Tobin, Whiteford, McCarty (CR31) 2013; 24
Eiser, Donovan, Sparks (CR18) 2015; 35
Favereau, Robledo, Bull (CR19) 2018; 365
Johnston, Lai, Houghton, Paton (CR30) 1999; 8
Jumadi, Carver, Quincey (CR34) 2017; 5
Lamm, Trommsdorff, Rost-Schaude (CR37) 1972; 2
Berroeta, Ramoneda, Rodriguez, Di Masso, Vidal (CR5) 2015; 43
Wilde (CR75) 1982; 2
Lamm (CR36) 1988; 62
CR45
CR44
Pierce, Lovrich (CR49) 1982; 3
CR43
Li, Zhuang, Shen (CR39) 2017; 79
Simonovic, Ahmad (CR60) 2005; 34
Sjoberg (CR61) 2000; 20
CR41
Grimm, Berger, Bastiansen, Eliassen, Ginot, Giske, DeAngelis (CR25) 2006; 198
Carlino, Somma, Mayberry (CR10) 2008; 172
Fischhoff, Slovic, Lichtenstein, Read, Combs (CR21) 1978; 9
Perry (CR47) 1979; 4
Baker (CR2) 1979; 4
Likert (CR40) 1932; 22
Sarason (CR56) 1974
Siegrist, Gutscher (CR59) 2006; 26
Pochin (CR50) 1975; 31
CR15
Heppenstall, Malleson, Carver, Quincey, Manville (CR28) 2018; 8
Barberi, Davis, Isaia, Nave, Ricci (CR3) 2008; 172
CR13
Huang, Lindell, Prater (CR29) 2016; 48
Burns, Slovic (CR8) 2012; 32
CR51
Crichton (CR14) 1999; 102
Ebbinghaus (CR17) 1913
Fischer, Stine, Stoker, Trowbridge, Drain (CR20) 1995; 4
Zeng, Church (CR77) 2009; 23
Chester, Duncan (CR12) 2008; 172
Bronfman, Cisternas, López-Vázquez, Cifuentes (CR7) 2016; 81
Ricci, Barberi, Davis, Isaia, Nave (CR53) 2013; 254
Scannell, Gifford (CR57) 2010; 30
CR26
CR24
CR22
CR63
Bronfman, Cifuentes (CR6) 2003; 23
Gaillard (CR23) 2008; 172
Wachinger, Renn, Begg, Kuhlicke (CR72) 2013; 33
Dinman (CR16) 1980; 244
Perry, Lindell (CR48) 2008; 172
Starr (CR65) 1969; 165
Slovic (CR62) 1987; 236
Terpstra, Lindell (CR68) 2013; 45
Vorst (CR70) 2010; 3
J Jumadi (3957_CR32) 2016; 227
3957_CR51
J Marti (3957_CR42) 2008; 178
3957_CR13
3957_CR15
S Sarason (3957_CR56) 1974
JD Sterman (3957_CR66) 1988; 4
S-K Huang (3957_CR29) 2016; 48
J Romero (3957_CR54) 2011; 1
F Barberi (3957_CR3) 2008; 172
H Rahmandad (3957_CR52) 2012; 28
BD Dinman (3957_CR16) 1980; 244
C Starr (3957_CR65) 1969; 165
L Sjoberg (3957_CR61) 2000; 20
3957_CR43
MR Auker (3957_CR1) 2013; 2
3957_CR44
3957_CR45
3957_CR41
V Grimm (3957_CR25) 2006; 198
JD Sterman (3957_CR67) 2000
MM Rosenkoetter (3957_CR55) 2007; 24
H Lamm (3957_CR37) 1972; 2
JC Pierce (3957_CR49) 1982; 3
W Zeng (3957_CR77) 2009; 23
NC Bronfman (3957_CR7) 2016; 81
B Fischhoff (3957_CR21) 1978; 9
M Busogi (3957_CR9) 2017; 96
T Terpstra (3957_CR68) 2013; 45
WJ Burns (3957_CR8) 2012; 32
H Berroeta (3957_CR5) 2015; 43
H Berroeta (3957_CR4) 2015; 14
A Wildavsky (3957_CR74) 1990; 119
JC Whitehead (3957_CR73) 2000; 2
H Lamm (3957_CR36) 1988; 62
G Wachinger (3957_CR72) 2013; 33
R Likert (3957_CR40) 1932; 22
GA Tobin (3957_CR69) 2011; 31
3957_CR76
3957_CR33
SP Simonovic (3957_CR60) 2005; 34
JM Carlson (3957_CR11) 2014; 9
3957_CR78
3957_CR71
S Carlino (3957_CR10) 2008; 172
T Ricci (3957_CR53) 2013; 254
EC Jones (3957_CR31) 2013; 24
S Li (3957_CR39) 2017; 79
DK Chester (3957_CR12) 2008; 172
JR Eiser (3957_CR18) 2015; 35
L Scannell (3957_CR57) 2010; 30
H Ebbinghaus (3957_CR17) 1913
J-C Gaillard (3957_CR23) 2008; 172
S Leung (3957_CR38) 2005; 37
HCM Vorst (3957_CR70) 2010; 3
M Favereau (3957_CR19) 2018; 365
RW Perry (3957_CR48) 2008; 172
GJS Wilde (3957_CR75) 1982; 2
D Helbing (3957_CR27) 2000; 407
P Shaw (3957_CR58) 1905; 76
M Siegrist (3957_CR59) 2006; 26
HW Fischer (3957_CR20) 1995; 4
3957_CR22
J Jumadi (3957_CR34) 2017; 5
RW Perry (3957_CR47) 1979; 4
3957_CR63
3957_CR24
DM Johnston (3957_CR30) 1999; 8
3957_CR26
D Crichton (3957_CR14) 1999; 102
EE Pochin (3957_CR50) 1975; 31
D Paton (3957_CR46) 2008; 172
JH Sorenson (3957_CR64) 1991; 9
NC Bronfman (3957_CR6) 2003; 23
E Baker (3957_CR2) 1979; 4
P Slovic (3957_CR62) 1987; 236
AJ Heppenstall (3957_CR28) 2018; 8
J Kim (3957_CR35) 2015; 18
References_xml – ident: CR45
– ident: CR22
– volume: 4
  start-page: 30
  issue: 4
  year: 1995
  end-page: 36
  ident: CR20
  article-title: Evacuation behaviour: why do some evacuate, while others do not? A case study of the Ephrata, Pennsylvania (USA) evacuation
  publication-title: Disaster Prev Manag Int J
  doi: 10.1108/09653569510093414
  contributor:
    fullname: Drain
– volume: 79
  start-page: 119
  year: 2017
  end-page: 135
  ident: CR39
  article-title: A three-stage evacuation decision-making and behavior model for the onset of an attack
  publication-title: Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol
  doi: 10.1016/J.TRC.2017.03.008
  contributor:
    fullname: Shen
– volume: 32
  start-page: 579
  issue: 4
  year: 2012
  end-page: 582
  ident: CR8
  article-title: Risk perception and behaviors: anticipating and responding to crises
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01791.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Slovic
– volume: 24
  start-page: 5
  issue: 1
  year: 2013
  end-page: 32
  ident: CR31
  article-title: Cross-cultural and site-based influences on demographic, well-being, and social network predictors of risk perception in hazard and disaster settings in Ecuador and Mexico
  publication-title: Hum Nat
  doi: 10.1007/s12110-013-9162-3
  contributor:
    fullname: McCarty
– ident: CR51
– volume: 119
  start-page: 41
  year: 1990
  end-page: 60
  ident: CR74
  article-title: Theories of risk perception: who fears what and why?
  publication-title: Daedalus
  doi: 10.2307/20025337
  contributor:
    fullname: Dake
– volume: 407
  start-page: 487
  year: 2000
  end-page: 490
  ident: CR27
  article-title: Simulating dynamical features of escape panic
  publication-title: Nature
  doi: 10.1038/35035023
  contributor:
    fullname: Vicsek
– volume: 30
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 2010
  end-page: 10
  ident: CR57
  article-title: Defining place attachment: a tripartite organizing framework
  publication-title: J Environ Psychol
  doi: 10.1016/J.JENVP.2009.09.006
  contributor:
    fullname: Gifford
– volume: 33
  start-page: 1049
  issue: 6
  year: 2013
  end-page: 1065
  ident: CR72
  article-title: The risk perception paradox-implications for governance and communication of natural hazards
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01942.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Kuhlicke
– volume: 172
  start-page: 216
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  end-page: 228
  ident: CR12
  article-title: The importance of religion in shaping volcanic risk perception in Italy, with special reference to Vesuvius and Etna
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.009
  contributor:
    fullname: Duncan
– volume: 24
  start-page: 160
  issue: 2
  year: 2007
  end-page: 168
  ident: CR55
  article-title: Perceptions of older adults regarding evacuation in the event of a natural disaster
  publication-title: Public Health Nurs
  doi: 10.1111/j.1525-1446.2007.00620.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Weinrich
– volume: 31
  start-page: 700
  issue: 2
  year: 2011
  end-page: 711
  ident: CR69
  article-title: The role of individual well-being in risk perception and evacuation for chronic vs. acute natural hazards in Mexico
  publication-title: Appl Geogr
  doi: 10.1016/J.APGEOG.2010.12.008
  contributor:
    fullname: Padros
– volume: 3
  start-page: 521
  issue: 4
  year: 1982
  end-page: 554
  ident: CR49
  article-title: Knowledge and politics
  publication-title: Knowledge
  doi: 10.1177/107554708200300404
  contributor:
    fullname: Lovrich
– ident: CR71
– volume: 96
  start-page: 209
  year: 2017
  end-page: 227
  ident: CR9
  article-title: Weighted affordance-based agent modeling and simulation in emergency evacuation
  publication-title: Saf Sci
  doi: 10.1016/J.SSCI.2017.04.005
  contributor:
    fullname: Kim
– volume: 254
  start-page: 118
  year: 2013
  end-page: 130
  ident: CR53
  article-title: Volcanic risk perception in the Campi Flegrei area
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2013.01.002
  contributor:
    fullname: Nave
– ident: CR15
– volume: 31
  start-page: 184
  issue: 3
  year: 1975
  end-page: 190
  ident: CR50
  article-title: The acceptance of risk
  publication-title: Br Med Bull
  doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.bmb.a071283
  contributor:
    fullname: Pochin
– volume: 236
  start-page: 280
  year: 1987
  end-page: 285
  ident: CR62
  article-title: Perception of risk
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/science.3563507
  contributor:
    fullname: Slovic
– volume: 76
  start-page: 360
  issue: 511
  year: 1905
  end-page: 366
  ident: CR58
  article-title: The amplitude of the minimum audible impulsive sound
  publication-title: Pap Math Phys Character
  contributor:
    fullname: Shaw
– volume: 2
  start-page: 133
  issue: 4
  year: 2000
  end-page: 142
  ident: CR73
  article-title: Heading for higher ground: factors affecting real and hypothetical hurricane evacuation behavior
  publication-title: Glob Environ Change Part B Environ Hazards
  doi: 10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00013-4
  contributor:
    fullname: Smith
– volume: 35
  start-page: 332
  issue: 2
  year: 2015
  end-page: 343
  ident: CR18
  article-title: Risk perceptions and trust following the 2010 and 2011 Icelandic volcanic ash crises
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/risa.12275
  contributor:
    fullname: Sparks
– ident: CR78
– volume: 227
  start-page: 402
  year: 2016
  end-page: 409
  ident: CR32
  article-title: A conceptual framework of volcanic evacuation simulation of Merapi using agent-based model and GIS
  publication-title: Procedia Soc Behav Sci
  doi: 10.1016/J.SBSPRO.2016.06.092
  contributor:
    fullname: Quincey
– volume: 172
  start-page: 229
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  end-page: 243
  ident: CR10
  article-title: Volcanic risk perception of young people in the urban areas of Vesuvius: comparisons with other volcanic areas and implications for emergency management
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.010
  contributor:
    fullname: Mayberry
– volume: 5
  start-page: 1
  issue: 53
  year: 2017
  end-page: 28
  ident: CR34
  article-title: A conceptual design of spatio-temporal agent-based model for volcanic evacuation
  publication-title: Systems
  doi: 10.3390/systems5040053
  contributor:
    fullname: Quincey
– year: 1974
  ident: CR56
  publication-title: The psychological sense of community: prospects for a community psychology
  contributor:
    fullname: Sarason
– ident: CR26
– volume: 172
  start-page: 179
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  end-page: 188
  ident: CR46
  article-title: Risk perception and volcanic hazard mitigation: individual and social perspectives
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.026
  contributor:
    fullname: Johnston
– volume: 1
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 2011
  end-page: 10
  ident: CR54
  article-title: The evolution of the 2008–2011 eruptive cycle at Chaiten volcano, 42°83’ S, Southern Chile
  publication-title: Pyroclastic Flow J Geol
  contributor:
    fullname: Romero
– volume: 8
  start-page: 118
  issue: 2
  year: 1999
  end-page: 126
  ident: CR30
  article-title: Volcanic hazard perceptions: comparative shifts in knowledge and risk
  publication-title: Disaster Prev Manag Int J
  doi: 10.1108/09653569910266166
  contributor:
    fullname: Paton
– volume: 172
  start-page: 244
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  end-page: 258
  ident: CR3
  article-title: Volcanic risk perception in the Vesuvius population
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.011
  contributor:
    fullname: Ricci
– volume: 22
  start-page: 5
  issue: 140
  year: 1932
  end-page: 55
  ident: CR40
  article-title: A technique for the measurement of attitudes
  publication-title: Arch Psychol
  contributor:
    fullname: Likert
– volume: 4
  start-page: 25
  year: 1979
  end-page: 38
  ident: CR47
  article-title: Evacuation decision-making in natural disasters
  publication-title: Mass Emerg
  contributor:
    fullname: Perry
– volume: 8
  start-page: 196
  issue: 6
  year: 2018
  ident: CR28
  article-title: Modelling individual evacuation decisions during natural disasters: a case study of volcanic crisis in Merapi, Indonesia
  publication-title: Geosciences
  doi: 10.3390/geosciences8060196
  contributor:
    fullname: Manville
– volume: 172
  start-page: 315
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  end-page: 328
  ident: CR23
  article-title: Alternative paradigms of volcanic risk perception: the case of Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.036
  contributor:
    fullname: Gaillard
– volume: 2
  start-page: 255
  issue: 3
  year: 1972
  end-page: 272
  ident: CR37
  article-title: Self-image, perception of peers’ risk acceptance and risky shift
  publication-title: Eur J Soc Psychol
  doi: 10.1002/ejsp.2420020304
  contributor:
    fullname: Rost-Schaude
– volume: 2
  start-page: 2
  issue: 1
  year: 2013
  ident: CR1
  article-title: A statistical analysis of the global historical volcanic fatalities record
  publication-title: J Appl Volcanol
  doi: 10.1186/2191-5040-2-2
  contributor:
    fullname: Ewert
– year: 1913
  ident: CR17
  publication-title: Memory, a contribution to experimental psychology
  doi: 10.1037/10011-000
  contributor:
    fullname: Ebbinghaus
– ident: CR43
– volume: 4
  start-page: 148
  issue: 1–2
  year: 1988
  end-page: 178
  ident: CR66
  article-title: Deterministic chaos in models of human behavior: methodological issues and experimental results
  publication-title: Syst Dyn Rev
  doi: 10.1002/sdr.4260040109
  contributor:
    fullname: Sterman
– volume: 9
  start-page: 153
  issue: 2
  year: 1991
  end-page: 165
  ident: CR64
  article-title: When shall we leave? Factors affecting the timing evacuation departures
  publication-title: Int J Mass Emerg Disasters
  contributor:
    fullname: Sorenson
– volume: 37
  start-page: 1056
  issue: 6
  year: 2005
  end-page: 1065
  ident: CR38
  article-title: Gap acceptance and risk-taking by young and mature drivers, both sober and alcohol-intoxicated, in a simulated driving task
  publication-title: Accid Anal Prev
  doi: 10.1016/J.AAP.2005.06.004
  contributor:
    fullname: Starmer
– volume: 23
  start-page: 1271
  issue: 6
  year: 2003
  end-page: 1285
  ident: CR6
  article-title: Risk perception in a developing country: the case of Chile
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.0272-4332.2003.00400.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Cifuentes
– volume: 26
  start-page: 971
  issue: 4
  year: 2006
  end-page: 979
  ident: CR59
  article-title: Flooding risks: a comparison of lay people’s perceptions and expert’s assessments in Switzerland
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00792.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Gutscher
– volume: 34
  start-page: 25
  issue: 1
  year: 2005
  end-page: 51
  ident: CR60
  article-title: Computer-based model for flood evacuation emergency planning
  publication-title: Nat Hazards
  doi: 10.1007/s11069-004-0785-x
  contributor:
    fullname: Ahmad
– volume: 198
  start-page: 115
  issue: 1–2
  year: 2006
  end-page: 126
  ident: CR25
  article-title: A standard protocol for describing individual-based and agent-based models
  publication-title: Ecol Model
  doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.04.023
  contributor:
    fullname: DeAngelis
– ident: CR33
– volume: 172
  start-page: 170
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  end-page: 178
  ident: CR48
  article-title: Volcanic risk perception and adjustment in a multi-hazard environment
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.006
  contributor:
    fullname: Lindell
– volume: 28
  start-page: 396
  issue: 4
  year: 2012
  end-page: 411
  ident: CR52
  article-title: Reporting guidelines for simulation-based research in social sciences
  publication-title: Syst Dyn Rev
  doi: 10.1002/sdr.1481
  contributor:
    fullname: Sterman
– volume: 165
  start-page: 1232
  issue: 3899
  year: 1969
  end-page: 1238
  ident: CR65
  article-title: Social benefit versus technological risk
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/SCIENCE.165.3899.1232
  contributor:
    fullname: Starr
– volume: 2
  start-page: 209
  issue: 4
  year: 1982
  end-page: 225
  ident: CR75
  article-title: The theory of risk homeostasis: implications for safety and health
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1982.tb01384.x
  contributor:
    fullname: Wilde
– volume: 3
  start-page: 15
  year: 2010
  end-page: 21
  ident: CR70
  article-title: Evacuation models and disaster psychology
  publication-title: Procedia Eng
  doi: 10.1016/J.PROENG.2010.07.004
  contributor:
    fullname: Vorst
– volume: 18
  start-page: 111
  issue: 1
  year: 2015
  end-page: 126
  ident: CR35
  article-title: Confidence, knowledge, and compliance with emergency evacuation
  publication-title: J Risk Res
  doi: 10.1080/13669877.2014.880728
  contributor:
    fullname: Oh
– ident: CR63
– volume: 20
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 2000
  end-page: 12
  ident: CR61
  article-title: Factors in risk perception
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/0272-4332.00001
  contributor:
    fullname: Sjoberg
– volume: 23
  start-page: 531
  issue: 4
  year: 2009
  end-page: 543
  ident: CR77
  article-title: Finding shortest paths on real road networks: the case for A
  publication-title: Int J Geogr Inf Sci
  doi: 10.1080/13658810801949850
  contributor:
    fullname: Church
– volume: 178
  start-page: 553
  issue: 3
  year: 2008
  end-page: 561
  ident: CR42
  article-title: Estimating building exposure and impact to volcanic hazards in Icod de los Vinos, Tenerife (Canary Islands)
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.07.010
  contributor:
    fullname: Baxter
– volume: 4
  start-page: 9
  year: 1979
  end-page: 24
  ident: CR2
  article-title: Predicting response to Hurricane warnings: a reanalysis of data from four studies
  publication-title: Mass Emerg
  contributor:
    fullname: Baker
– volume: 62
  start-page: 807
  issue: 3
  year: 1988
  end-page: 813
  ident: CR36
  article-title: A review of our research on group polarization: eleven experiments on the effects of group discussion on risk acceptance, probability estimation, and negotiation positions
  publication-title: Psychol Rep
  doi: 10.2466/pr0.1988.62.3.807
  contributor:
    fullname: Lamm
– volume: 48
  start-page: 991
  issue: 8
  year: 2016
  end-page: 1029
  ident: CR29
  article-title: Who leaves and who stays? A review and statistical meta-analysis of hurricane evacuation studies
  publication-title: Environ Behav
  doi: 10.1177/0013916515578485
  contributor:
    fullname: Prater
– ident: CR44
– volume: 45
  start-page: 993
  issue: 8
  year: 2013
  end-page: 1018
  ident: CR68
  article-title: Citizens’ perceptions of flood hazard adjustments
  publication-title: Environ Behav
  doi: 10.1177/0013916512452427
  contributor:
    fullname: Lindell
– volume: 365
  start-page: 57
  year: 2018
  end-page: 64
  ident: CR19
  article-title: Analysis of risk assessment factors of individuals in volcanic hazards: review of the last decade
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2018.10.009
  contributor:
    fullname: Bull
– volume: 14
  start-page: 1221
  issue: 4
  year: 2015
  ident: CR4
  article-title: Sentido de comunidad, participación y apego de lugar en comunidades desplazadas y no desplazadas postdesastres: chaitén y Consitución
  publication-title: Universitas Psychologica
  doi: 10.11144/Javeriana.up14-4.scpa
  contributor:
    fullname: Opazo
– volume: 9
  start-page: e87380
  issue: 2
  year: 2014
  ident: CR11
  article-title: Measuring and modeling behavioral decision dynamics in collective evacuation
  publication-title: PLoS ONE
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0087380
  contributor:
    fullname: Otani
– year: 2000
  ident: CR67
  publication-title: Business dynamics, systems thinking and modeling for a complex world
  contributor:
    fullname: Sterman
– volume: 81
  start-page: 307
  issue: 1
  year: 2016
  end-page: 327
  ident: CR7
  article-title: Trust and risk perception of natural hazards: implications for risk preparedness in Chile
  publication-title: Nat Hazards
  doi: 10.1007/s11069-015-2080-4
  contributor:
    fullname: Cifuentes
– volume: 244
  start-page: 1226
  issue: 11
  year: 1980
  ident: CR16
  article-title: The reality and acceptance of risk
  publication-title: JAMA J Am Med As
  doi: 10.1001/jama.1980.03310110036026
  contributor:
    fullname: Dinman
– volume: 9
  start-page: 127
  issue: 2
  year: 1978
  end-page: 152
  ident: CR21
  article-title: How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits
  publication-title: Policy Sci
  doi: 10.1007/BF00143739
  contributor:
    fullname: Combs
– ident: CR13
– volume: 43
  start-page: 51
  issue: 3
  year: 2015
  end-page: 63
  ident: CR5
  article-title: Apego de Lugar, Identidad de Lugar, Sentido de Comunidad y Participación Cívica en Personas Desplazadas de la Ciudad de Chaitén
  publication-title: Magallania (Chile)
  doi: 10.4067/S0718-22442015000300005
  contributor:
    fullname: Vidal
– volume: 102
  start-page: 103
  year: 1999
  ident: CR14
  article-title: The risk triangle
  publication-title: Nat Disaster Manag
  contributor:
    fullname: Crichton
– ident: CR76
– ident: CR41
– ident: CR24
– volume: 4
  start-page: 30
  issue: 4
  year: 1995
  ident: 3957_CR20
  publication-title: Disaster Prev Manag Int J
  doi: 10.1108/09653569510093414
  contributor:
    fullname: HW Fischer
– volume: 26
  start-page: 971
  issue: 4
  year: 2006
  ident: 3957_CR59
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00792.x
  contributor:
    fullname: M Siegrist
– volume: 172
  start-page: 229
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR10
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.010
  contributor:
    fullname: S Carlino
– volume: 34
  start-page: 25
  issue: 1
  year: 2005
  ident: 3957_CR60
  publication-title: Nat Hazards
  doi: 10.1007/s11069-004-0785-x
  contributor:
    fullname: SP Simonovic
– volume: 4
  start-page: 148
  issue: 1–2
  year: 1988
  ident: 3957_CR66
  publication-title: Syst Dyn Rev
  doi: 10.1002/sdr.4260040109
  contributor:
    fullname: JD Sterman
– volume: 31
  start-page: 184
  issue: 3
  year: 1975
  ident: 3957_CR50
  publication-title: Br Med Bull
  doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.bmb.a071283
  contributor:
    fullname: EE Pochin
– ident: 3957_CR13
– volume: 172
  start-page: 179
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR46
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.026
  contributor:
    fullname: D Paton
– volume: 2
  start-page: 2
  issue: 1
  year: 2013
  ident: 3957_CR1
  publication-title: J Appl Volcanol
  doi: 10.1186/2191-5040-2-2
  contributor:
    fullname: MR Auker
– ident: 3957_CR71
– volume: 407
  start-page: 487
  year: 2000
  ident: 3957_CR27
  publication-title: Nature
  doi: 10.1038/35035023
  contributor:
    fullname: D Helbing
– volume: 18
  start-page: 111
  issue: 1
  year: 2015
  ident: 3957_CR35
  publication-title: J Risk Res
  doi: 10.1080/13669877.2014.880728
  contributor:
    fullname: J Kim
– volume-title: Memory, a contribution to experimental psychology
  year: 1913
  ident: 3957_CR17
  doi: 10.1037/10011-000
  contributor:
    fullname: H Ebbinghaus
– volume: 3
  start-page: 15
  year: 2010
  ident: 3957_CR70
  publication-title: Procedia Eng
  doi: 10.1016/J.PROENG.2010.07.004
  contributor:
    fullname: HCM Vorst
– ident: 3957_CR43
– volume: 76
  start-page: 360
  issue: 511
  year: 1905
  ident: 3957_CR58
  publication-title: Pap Math Phys Character
  contributor:
    fullname: P Shaw
– volume: 31
  start-page: 700
  issue: 2
  year: 2011
  ident: 3957_CR69
  publication-title: Appl Geogr
  doi: 10.1016/J.APGEOG.2010.12.008
  contributor:
    fullname: GA Tobin
– volume: 172
  start-page: 170
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR48
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.006
  contributor:
    fullname: RW Perry
– volume: 3
  start-page: 521
  issue: 4
  year: 1982
  ident: 3957_CR49
  publication-title: Knowledge
  doi: 10.1177/107554708200300404
  contributor:
    fullname: JC Pierce
– volume: 198
  start-page: 115
  issue: 1–2
  year: 2006
  ident: 3957_CR25
  publication-title: Ecol Model
  doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.04.023
  contributor:
    fullname: V Grimm
– volume: 9
  start-page: 153
  issue: 2
  year: 1991
  ident: 3957_CR64
  publication-title: Int J Mass Emerg Disasters
  doi: 10.1177/028072709100900203
  contributor:
    fullname: JH Sorenson
– volume: 14
  start-page: 1221
  issue: 4
  year: 2015
  ident: 3957_CR4
  publication-title: Universitas Psychologica
  doi: 10.11144/Javeriana.up14-4.scpa
  contributor:
    fullname: H Berroeta
– volume-title: Business dynamics, systems thinking and modeling for a complex world
  year: 2000
  ident: 3957_CR67
  contributor:
    fullname: JD Sterman
– volume: 45
  start-page: 993
  issue: 8
  year: 2013
  ident: 3957_CR68
  publication-title: Environ Behav
  doi: 10.1177/0013916512452427
  contributor:
    fullname: T Terpstra
– volume: 119
  start-page: 41
  year: 1990
  ident: 3957_CR74
  publication-title: Daedalus
  doi: 10.2307/20025337
  contributor:
    fullname: A Wildavsky
– volume: 22
  start-page: 5
  issue: 140
  year: 1932
  ident: 3957_CR40
  publication-title: Arch Psychol
  contributor:
    fullname: R Likert
– volume: 4
  start-page: 25
  year: 1979
  ident: 3957_CR47
  publication-title: Mass Emerg
  contributor:
    fullname: RW Perry
– ident: 3957_CR22
– volume: 172
  start-page: 315
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR23
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.036
  contributor:
    fullname: J-C Gaillard
– volume: 24
  start-page: 5
  issue: 1
  year: 2013
  ident: 3957_CR31
  publication-title: Hum Nat
  doi: 10.1007/s12110-013-9162-3
  contributor:
    fullname: EC Jones
– volume: 32
  start-page: 579
  issue: 4
  year: 2012
  ident: 3957_CR8
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01791.x
  contributor:
    fullname: WJ Burns
– volume: 96
  start-page: 209
  year: 2017
  ident: 3957_CR9
  publication-title: Saf Sci
  doi: 10.1016/J.SSCI.2017.04.005
  contributor:
    fullname: M Busogi
– volume: 178
  start-page: 553
  issue: 3
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR42
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.07.010
  contributor:
    fullname: J Marti
– volume: 81
  start-page: 307
  issue: 1
  year: 2016
  ident: 3957_CR7
  publication-title: Nat Hazards
  doi: 10.1007/s11069-015-2080-4
  contributor:
    fullname: NC Bronfman
– volume: 9
  start-page: e87380
  issue: 2
  year: 2014
  ident: 3957_CR11
  publication-title: PLoS ONE
  doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0087380
  contributor:
    fullname: JM Carlson
– volume: 102
  start-page: 103
  year: 1999
  ident: 3957_CR14
  publication-title: Nat Disaster Manag
  contributor:
    fullname: D Crichton
– ident: 3957_CR15
– volume: 28
  start-page: 396
  issue: 4
  year: 2012
  ident: 3957_CR52
  publication-title: Syst Dyn Rev
  doi: 10.1002/sdr.1481
  contributor:
    fullname: H Rahmandad
– volume: 48
  start-page: 991
  issue: 8
  year: 2016
  ident: 3957_CR29
  publication-title: Environ Behav
  doi: 10.1177/0013916515578485
  contributor:
    fullname: S-K Huang
– volume: 23
  start-page: 1271
  issue: 6
  year: 2003
  ident: 3957_CR6
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.0272-4332.2003.00400.x
  contributor:
    fullname: NC Bronfman
– volume: 35
  start-page: 332
  issue: 2
  year: 2015
  ident: 3957_CR18
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/risa.12275
  contributor:
    fullname: JR Eiser
– volume: 30
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 2010
  ident: 3957_CR57
  publication-title: J Environ Psychol
  doi: 10.1016/J.JENVP.2009.09.006
  contributor:
    fullname: L Scannell
– ident: 3957_CR26
  doi: 10.1109/IEEM.2016.7797880
– volume: 37
  start-page: 1056
  issue: 6
  year: 2005
  ident: 3957_CR38
  publication-title: Accid Anal Prev
  doi: 10.1016/J.AAP.2005.06.004
  contributor:
    fullname: S Leung
– volume: 2
  start-page: 255
  issue: 3
  year: 1972
  ident: 3957_CR37
  publication-title: Eur J Soc Psychol
  doi: 10.1002/ejsp.2420020304
  contributor:
    fullname: H Lamm
– volume: 62
  start-page: 807
  issue: 3
  year: 1988
  ident: 3957_CR36
  publication-title: Psychol Rep
  doi: 10.2466/pr0.1988.62.3.807
  contributor:
    fullname: H Lamm
– volume: 24
  start-page: 160
  issue: 2
  year: 2007
  ident: 3957_CR55
  publication-title: Public Health Nurs
  doi: 10.1111/j.1525-1446.2007.00620.x
  contributor:
    fullname: MM Rosenkoetter
– volume: 20
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 2000
  ident: 3957_CR61
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/0272-4332.00001
  contributor:
    fullname: L Sjoberg
– volume-title: The psychological sense of community: prospects for a community psychology
  year: 1974
  ident: 3957_CR56
  contributor:
    fullname: S Sarason
– volume: 254
  start-page: 118
  year: 2013
  ident: 3957_CR53
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2013.01.002
  contributor:
    fullname: T Ricci
– volume: 1
  start-page: 1
  issue: 1
  year: 2011
  ident: 3957_CR54
  publication-title: Pyroclastic Flow J Geol
  contributor:
    fullname: J Romero
– volume: 4
  start-page: 9
  year: 1979
  ident: 3957_CR2
  publication-title: Mass Emerg
  contributor:
    fullname: E Baker
– volume: 8
  start-page: 196
  issue: 6
  year: 2018
  ident: 3957_CR28
  publication-title: Geosciences
  doi: 10.3390/geosciences8060196
  contributor:
    fullname: AJ Heppenstall
– ident: 3957_CR44
– volume: 23
  start-page: 531
  issue: 4
  year: 2009
  ident: 3957_CR77
  publication-title: Int J Geogr Inf Sci
  doi: 10.1080/13658810801949850
  contributor:
    fullname: W Zeng
– volume: 9
  start-page: 127
  issue: 2
  year: 1978
  ident: 3957_CR21
  publication-title: Policy Sci
  doi: 10.1007/BF00143739
  contributor:
    fullname: B Fischhoff
– volume: 165
  start-page: 1232
  issue: 3899
  year: 1969
  ident: 3957_CR65
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/SCIENCE.165.3899.1232
  contributor:
    fullname: C Starr
– volume: 172
  start-page: 244
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR3
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.011
  contributor:
    fullname: F Barberi
– volume: 227
  start-page: 402
  year: 2016
  ident: 3957_CR32
  publication-title: Procedia Soc Behav Sci
  doi: 10.1016/J.SBSPRO.2016.06.092
  contributor:
    fullname: J Jumadi
– ident: 3957_CR41
  doi: 10.1109/WSC.2014.7019874
– ident: 3957_CR76
– ident: 3957_CR78
  doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-12842-4_54
– volume: 79
  start-page: 119
  year: 2017
  ident: 3957_CR39
  publication-title: Transp Res Part C Emerg Technol
  doi: 10.1016/J.TRC.2017.03.008
  contributor:
    fullname: S Li
– ident: 3957_CR51
– volume: 2
  start-page: 209
  issue: 4
  year: 1982
  ident: 3957_CR75
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1982.tb01384.x
  contributor:
    fullname: GJS Wilde
– volume: 172
  start-page: 216
  issue: 3–4
  year: 2008
  ident: 3957_CR12
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2007.12.009
  contributor:
    fullname: DK Chester
– volume: 2
  start-page: 133
  issue: 4
  year: 2000
  ident: 3957_CR73
  publication-title: Glob Environ Change Part B Environ Hazards
  doi: 10.1016/S1464-2867(01)00013-4
  contributor:
    fullname: JC Whitehead
– volume: 236
  start-page: 280
  year: 1987
  ident: 3957_CR62
  publication-title: Science
  doi: 10.1126/science.3563507
  contributor:
    fullname: P Slovic
– volume: 365
  start-page: 57
  year: 2018
  ident: 3957_CR19
  publication-title: J Volcanol Geotherm Res
  doi: 10.1016/J.JVOLGEORES.2018.10.009
  contributor:
    fullname: M Favereau
– ident: 3957_CR24
– ident: 3957_CR33
  doi: 10.1063/1.4947401
– volume: 33
  start-page: 1049
  issue: 6
  year: 2013
  ident: 3957_CR72
  publication-title: Risk Anal
  doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01942.x
  contributor:
    fullname: G Wachinger
– ident: 3957_CR63
  doi: 10.1007/978-1-4899-0445-4_9
– volume: 244
  start-page: 1226
  issue: 11
  year: 1980
  ident: 3957_CR16
  publication-title: JAMA J Am Med As
  doi: 10.1001/jama.1980.03310110036026
  contributor:
    fullname: BD Dinman
– volume: 8
  start-page: 118
  issue: 2
  year: 1999
  ident: 3957_CR30
  publication-title: Disaster Prev Manag Int J
  doi: 10.1108/09653569910266166
  contributor:
    fullname: DM Johnston
– volume: 5
  start-page: 1
  issue: 53
  year: 2017
  ident: 3957_CR34
  publication-title: Systems
  doi: 10.3390/systems5040053
  contributor:
    fullname: J Jumadi
– volume: 43
  start-page: 51
  issue: 3
  year: 2015
  ident: 3957_CR5
  publication-title: Magallania (Chile)
  doi: 10.4067/S0718-22442015000300005
  contributor:
    fullname: H Berroeta
– ident: 3957_CR45
SSID ssj0011629
Score 2.3511298
Snippet All decision-making processes are complex and include a high number of variables. Particularly, decisions related to disaster risk reduction despite having an...
SourceID proquest
crossref
springer
SourceType Aggregation Database
Publisher
StartPage 29
SubjectTerms Civil Engineering
Cognitive ability
Computer simulation
Decision making
Decision theory
Disaster management
Disaster risk
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Emergency preparedness
Environmental Management
Evacuation
Experimentation
Geophysics/Geodesy
Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences
Homeostasis
Hydrogeology
Natural Hazards
Original Paper
Perception
Probability theory
Risk acceptance
Risk management
Risk perception
Risk reduction
Simulation
System dynamics
Volcanic eruptions
SummonAdditionalLinks – databaseName: ProQuest Technology Collection
  dbid: 8FG
  link: http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwfV1NS8QwEA26HvQifuLqKjl402CbpmnjRURcF0FPLuytpEmKC2677hd494ebSVOLgh56KiSQl0xmMjPvIXSuQfumCDQRqY4JM1ISGQIzYm40T6NCFQYe9J-e-WDIHkfxyD-4zX1ZZWMTnaHWlYI38isK3FTWVxfhzfSdgGoUZFe9hMY62ghpkkDwlfYfvrMIIac11x6FsqFg5Jtm6tY5GwsJAsFTAKkqQn9eTK23-StB6u6d_g7a9g4jvq0R3kVrptxDm167_PVjH32C0nkFjUFjhR1HZdNPVGLrkWIoHsfaS-ngiVOfusYSl9XKvGFXUEhqHWk8H0-8mhduuMbdEGYlVU0JjqHnbIatTbOQ2PnMbOlszgEa9u9f7gbEaysQZQ_dguSsiCKdB0JxnigDjkkQ6zgwVDAmTahjKbn9tBQiAU47rWKapjxhkqc01NEh6pRVaY4QFppFUljPwsSaSZ3bmJrnPJJBkVtM0qiLLpqFzaY1hUbWkiUDDJmFIXMwZLSLes3aZ_44zbMW_C66bPBof_892vH_o52gLeq2ABT09VBnMVuaU-tkLPIzt5O-AFnh0Ec
  priority: 102
  providerName: ProQuest
Title Homeostatic representation for risk decision making: a novel multi-method simulation approach for evacuation under volcanic eruption
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-020-03957-2
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2430525991
Volume 103
hasFullText 1
inHoldings 1
isFullTextHit
isPrint
link http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwlV3NT4MwFG90O-jFb-N0Lj140y5QoFBv0-wjGhdjtmSeSKElLjpmNrZEz_7htqVI_DrsQEiAFOhry3u89_v9ADjjSvsmsTiiAfeQKxhDzFbMiJHgJHCSOBHqh_5dn_SG7s3IG5U4bl3sXmQk9UJdYt1k8EKRinYslVtCct2tGuBptdV9vG1_JQ9sgnOKPayqhayRwcr83cr371HpZP7Ii-rPTWcbDArQTl5l8txcZFEzfv_N4bjKm-yALeN-wlY-XnbBmkj3wIZRQn962wcfSjd9qmBG4xhqxssCnZRC6d9CVYoOuRHmgROtZXUJGUynS_ECdXkiylWp4Xw8MdpgsGAu102IJYtzgnGoEGwzKFdIaWB5PzFb6BXsAAw77cF1DxmlBhTLKZyhyE0ch0cWjQnxY6HcHMvjniUwdV0mbO4xRuTGGaW-YsjjsYeDgPguIwG2uXMIKuk0FUcAUu46jEo_RXjcZTySETqJiMOsJMK-Hzg1cF7YK3zNCTnCknpZ9WwoezbUPRviGqgXJg3N5JyHWD2dDPuoXQMXhYnK0_-3drza5SdgE2srq3LBOqhks4U4lS5MFjXAetDpNszAlfurdv_-QR4d4tYnbSLsqA
link.rule.ids 315,783,787,12777,21400,27936,27937,33385,33756,41093,41535,42162,42604,43612,43817,52123,52246,74363,74630
linkProvider Springer Nature
linkToHtml http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwfV09T8MwELWgDGVBfIpCAQ9sYJE4jhOzIIQoBdpOReoWObEjKtG09Eti54fjcxwqkGDIFMmR_OLzs-_uPYTOFXjf5J4iIlYhYVpKIn1QRky14nGQZ7mGC_1uj7df2NMgHLgLt5krq6xiog3UapzBHfkVBW0qw9WFfzN5J-AaBdlVZ6GxjjZYYPZq6BRvPXxnEXxOS609CmVD3sA1zZStc-YsJAgcnjxIVRH6c2Nasc1fCVK777S20ZYjjPi2RHgHreliF9Wdd_nrxx76BKfzMTQGDTNsNSqrfqICG0aKoXgcK2elg0fWfeoaS1yMl_oN24JCUvpI49lw5Ny8cKU1bofQS5mVkuAYes6m2MQ0A4n5np4ubMzZRy-t-_5dmzhvBZKZRTcnKcuDQKWeyDiPMg3ExAtV6GkqGJPaV6GU3DxKChGBpp3KQhrHPGKSx9RXwQGqFeNCHyIsFAukMMxCh4pJlZozNU95IL08pVEUBw10UU1sMiklNJKVWDLAkBgYEgtDQhuoWc194pbTLFmB30CXFR6r13-PdvT_aGeo3u53O0nnsfd8jDap_R2guK-JavPpQp8YwjFPT-1f9QUs9NMp
linkToPdf http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwfV1LS8QwEA66gnoRn7i6ag7eNNimbdp4EVHX9bV4cGFvJW1SXHDbdV_g3R9uJk0tCnroqZBAZjL5kpn5PoSOJWjfZI4kPJIB8ZUQRLjAjJgoySIvSzMFD_pPXdbp-ff9oG_rnya2rLKKiSZQyyKFN_IzCtxUGqtz9yyzZRHP1-2L0TsBBSnItFo5jUW0pE9FBj4ftW-_MwouoyXvHoUSIqdvG2jKNjp9L-IELlIOpK0I_XlI1cjzV7LUnEHtdbRmwSO-LK29gRZUvolWrI7568cW-gTV8wKahAYpNnyVVW9RjjU6xVBIjqWV1cFDo0R1jgXOi7l6w6a4kJSa0ngyGFplL1zxjpsh1FykJT04hv6zMdbxTZtHz6fGMxN_tlGvffNy1SFWZ4GkegNOSeJnnicTh6eMhakCkOIEMnAU5b4vlCsDIZj-pOA8BH47mQY0iljoCxZRV3o7qJEXudpFmEvfE1yjDBVIX8hE369ZwjzhZAkNw8hropNqYeNRSacR18TJYIZYmyE2ZohpE7WqtY_t1prEtSM00Wllj_r336Pt_T_aEVrWDhU_3nUf9tEqNd4AdX4t1JiOZ-pAY49pcmic6gsIBtdh
openUrl ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Homeostatic+representation+for+risk+decision+making%3A+a+novel+multi-method+simulation+approach+for+evacuation+under+volcanic+eruption&rft.jtitle=Natural+hazards+%28Dordrecht%29&rft.au=Favereau%2C+Marcel&rft.au=Robledo%2C+Luis+F.&rft.au=Bull%2C+Mar%C3%ADa+T.&rft.date=2020-08-01&rft.issn=0921-030X&rft.eissn=1573-0840&rft.volume=103&rft.issue=1&rft.spage=29&rft.epage=56&rft_id=info:doi/10.1007%2Fs11069-020-03957-2&rft.externalDBID=n%2Fa&rft.externalDocID=10_1007_s11069_020_03957_2
thumbnail_l http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=0921-030X&client=summon
thumbnail_m http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=0921-030X&client=summon
thumbnail_s http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=0921-030X&client=summon