Constraining Decadal Variability Yields Skillful Projections of Near‐Term Climate Change

• Published in: Geophysical research letters Vol. 48; no. 24
• Main Authors: Mahmood, Rashed, Donat, Markus G., Ortega, Pablo, Doblas‐Reyes, Francisco J., Ruprich‐Robert, Yohan
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Washington John Wiley & Sons, Inc 28.12.2021
• Subjects: Adaptation; Climate; Climate adaptation; Climate change; Climate prediction; Climate variability; constrained projections; decadal climate variability; Greenhouse effect; large ensembles; Probability theory; Radiative forcing; Regional climates; Simulation; Summer; Summer temperatures; Uncertainty; Variability

Targeted adaptation to near‐term climate change requires accurate, reliable, and actionable climate information for the next few decades. Climate projections simulate the response to radiative forcing, but are subject to substantial uncertainties due to internal variability. Decadal climate predicti...